Carling Cup 2010.10.27

60. Newcastle - Arsenal home win @ 4.50 VC or 4.39 Pinnacle

 
Arsenal with 90% fringe players of course crowd thinks they anyway will advance and care about the cup because of no success since 2005 (if yes why don't they field the strongest squad then?). Money flowing on Arsenal odds are dropping etc. We haven't had so far upset in CC this round (United won in last minute thanks to McCarthy's evacuation of key players Doyle and Bent) and I'm sure Wolves will put hard fight against City and may even have chances especially if Adebayor will play and I feel it's time for a trap.
As for Newcastle always one recipe play big odds and you are much ahead. Extremely unpredictable team won strange game in West Ham and lost at home to Stoke or Blackpool. Hughton als rests biggest players for Sunderland game but I,m here against crowd. Arsenal are back in league contention and it's time to escape from cup. Home win

Carling Cup 2010.10.26

57. Leicester - WBA home win @ 3,20 Ladbrokes

58. Wigan - Swansea Swansea + 0.5 @ 1,83 Pinnacle

59. MU - Wolves Wolves + 0.5 @ 3.55 Bet365

Yesterday another red card for one of my idiots and another miss of course last week my players conceded SEVEN red cards rivals just one (in 90th minute when it was all over). I wonder in decisive moments some teams must step back to so called 'big teams' or they are just stupid no matter one week rivals will get seven reds and we will see then.

Without squads but I don't thing odds will be declined

Leicester since Swedish playboy took controls want to run towards promotion but direct one will be very hard. Ericsson announces he wants to play at Wembley (means cup semifinal or play off final) because as England manager never had opportunity to play  there - they have a lot of time to catch play off zone and are three games till Wembley. WBA fantastic start in the league and another winnable game this weekend at Blackpool. This is not big club and should focus on the league one day you are in the run another one they want to strangle you. Chance to throwing game away
Wigan - Swansea Wigan fully involved in relegation fight till 36-37th gameday and maybe for stealing manager they owe them something. Let's take draw or away option.
And my traditional dish United. Many spculations about this club which way they want to go. I am with option club is bankrupt and domination is over rooney will go etc. Club makes very well every Carling cup in last years. Two days rest only for United after hard very hard fought wina are with us. I expect early goal for Wolves and then everything should happen. Guest bottom team but very good performance at Chelsea if they repeat it may get something today. Extremely hard schedule for Wolves now, chance for United reserves and Wolves will not field fringe players because already been punished last year and are being watched. United will screw game in next two three weks definitely because Ferguson anniversary coming and alohol will be all over again.
Thank you and good night

Pick for 25.10.2010

56. Napoli - Milan Home win @ 3.05 Pinnacle

Despite missed decision go into european cups I will consistently back teams which failed in recent cups game or played not in full power just to remeber. So far I was not rewarded as Lech played shit in cups and in the league (their village PE teacher manager should be fired tomorrow) but consistent support for teams failed to win. Absolute circus in Napoli - Liverpool game players tired after 12 minutes let's take it for misleading circumstances. Home win hopefully bookie friend of Milan will not call for their win anyway home team is strong and another tme I hope will not get scared like Stoke yesterday.
Bad week main reason red cards including for idiot from Tottenham and City in 5th minute. In many cases losses limited and whoever will play against United or Liverpool should not complain throughout the season.

Picks for 24.10.2010 not only Premiership

51. Stoke - MU Stoke + 0.75 @ 2.03 188bet
52. Liverpool - Blackburn Blackburn + 0.75 @ 2.06 Pinnacle

53. City - Arsenal City -0.25 @ 2.18 188bet

54. Celtic - Rangers Rangers DNB @ 2.35 188bet

55. Gornik Zabrze - Lech 2 @ 2.55 Unibet

Yesterday not so good day in terms of fiancial result and what pains all the dropped games were correct conclusions and all that would be missed have been chosen.
Tottenham finally lose points which owe us something and with new game we will have clean assumptions bill is cleared. Chelsea definitely not 100% play but absolutely minimum 2-0 done unfortunately this was exact score - positive losses limited. Birmingham won easier than I expect and Blackpool on the road to hell (Championship). Aston Villa huge domination and draw would include more justice result but Sunderland is also quality team and I will back them against Newcastle most probably. As for West Ham like Newcastle strange game but no indication before.

United making strange steps in current club situation. Club has bilion pounds debt and it clearly affects club policy, transfers, way of play by specific players and even lineups. Still no away win, losing leads, wins with bottom teams. They re - signed Rooney doubling his wages and either it is a crime or this is a game for big transfer and desperately search for money from transfering him. When one player gets wages double you have of course another players demanding the same silently or loudly. Van Der Sar is making big mistakes anyway pick against United is '24 hours unlimited' on my mind. Stoke plays really well and for the first time when you see goal for them there is not necessary penalty, throw in, corner or free-kick. This is hard battling team hopefully will not be scared by not 'big monster' anymore.

Liverpool another season loser and Health Secretary is warning against betting on Liverpool (if you don't want stroke or heart attack). What is worse Hodgson sees only 'positive sides' and 'good performances' and is definitely going not to resign. Liverpool saved Torres and Gerrard for this game but Gerrard is completely out of form and Torres is undergoing something like 'identity crisis'. Balls played by skippers are slow it is hard to find the way to goal for Liverpool and yet again a lot of arguments against Liverpool win. Even if they will win this win will be accidental and I will not believe in redemption. Short squad, no clue owners, self-satisfaction at Hodgson make Blackburn chances even for winning this game like never before in last 15 years

Arsenal very little chances to get something against City on their Eastlands stadium. City strongest team since Mansour arrival and deals with this kinds of rivals every year. Hard to see more than one point for Arsenal after what I sam in many Premiership games this season they are number one title challenger this season. Tevez make a difference on highest level. Fresh City team against giving everything in CL Arsenal in midweek should win this battle with many goals expected especially when Arsenal has this unstable defence and fast shots and strikers will be enormous hard exam for Fabianski - he always lets something in hopefully this time will do this repeatedly if he will get a chance.

Rangers one argument - manager old fox against greenhorn. Someone must be mad giving so called big team to guy without managerial experience for me at least couple of seasons are required to manage in highest level. Away win

Lech Poznan should win away game in Zabrze - team was rested in 'friendly' loss to City. They wrote game off before going into the pitch and are third from bottom in Polish league. Time to get up they are stronger than Gornik
On Monday another pick good night

Premiership picks 23.10.2010

Hello
back to the winning ways with strong picks this time

46. Tottenham - Everton Everton + 0.5 @ 1,87 SBOBET

47. Birmingham - Blackpool Home win @ 1,9 Betsson, 1,88 bet365, 1,87 SBOBET

48. Chelsea - Wolves Chelsea -2.25 @ 1,98 Stan James

49. Sunderland - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 0.25 @ 1,86 188bet

50. West Ham - Newcastle Home win @ 2,38 Boylesports, 2,31 Pinnacle

So far I am 0/3 in Handicap + 0.5 but this option is usually interesting and has chances up to the end of the game. Finally like Everton started winning games I will start cas in these kind of handicaps. Tottenham as predicted gave epic fight to Inter, could and should get something but one red face you know who conceded red card in second (!) minute and it could be over but it was not over at all. Such a run costs  lot of effort and I hope Everton will cash this in. Tottenham is winning a lot in the last time (and I am losing playing against them) won away at Fulham thanks to offside goal and is still better in terms of quality but let me indicate Everton arguments.
Everton finally started winning games, with a win today they from rock bottom two rounds ago can be two points from Campions League places. Draw this time is on our side Van Der Vaart has to have finally weaker game. The reason Everton may have a poor run is their lineup and lack of quality strikers OK they are good but let's say not top four in terms of Premiership and most goals are scored by midfield. I am going for Everton to finally get something and Tottenham should lose points finally - away win has also great odds.

Birmingham is maybe weaker than last season but Blackpool is much worse team which makes surprises away. Holloway with his avangarda comments about referees and FA is not most loved people at association and should be instructed that criticism is not the best option in terms of social behaviour. What he says is good way to find enemies and get relegated. Yes he was right with City their correct goals were disallowed but if it stood City would attack with double power and would have won this game anyway most probably especially as Adebayor got replaced. Game could be treacherous but I am going for a better team which gave hard fight at Emirates last week - should be even draw there but yet again penalty 'out of the blue' for Arsenal. I am sure Blackpool would attack blindly and can score but solid defence should know the way how to dismount their actions. Home win and also good cover option is away win -1 which has 7.20 odds at bet365 - draw is unlikely home win most probable result.

Chelsea simply enjoying games with 'sheams' and Wolves on the motorway for Championship (next fixtures Chelsea City United and Arsenal good luck) and minimum absolutely minimum of decency is scoring at least two. Wolves are actually one league up they should be last season have very lucky fixtures at Tottenham (Spurs secret Christmas party 24 hours before game) and when facing Burnley they started to lose everything.     I am definitely not the best admirer of Ancelotti but he inherited close to perfection tam and they can still win something over next two - three seasons. Sometimes good atmosphere and dealing with conflicts and pressure  is best treatment for club. Chelsea facet nearly all  bottom teams and this will be one of the last apart from Liverpool. 2-0 is absolutely minimum although I know odds are very very low and handicap is big it is hard to imagine everything but a rout and brutal Wolves with be shot by fast and skillful team.

Aston Villa better with every game and today nice handicap on them. They lost two away games clearly but this was before Houllier appointment with yes man an the managerial bench. For the second season running they have hole in team but I hope they will deal with this especially if they get only slightly worse replacements and twenty something millions int the bag. Team still has 95 percent of quality and speed from the last season and with 'Coolier' will be getting results. Of course hard to win today but generally I will be backing them so far 100% yield on them despite defeat with Van Der Vaart. Sunderland weaker than Tottenham, over reliance on Bent and many draws stopped me from playing straight away win. Aston Villa DNB also good option but + 0.25 is a nice, nice handicap.

West Ham should win this game. They had correct goal disallowed and should win at Wolves, are unbeaten in last four, lost to United, Chelsea and Aston Villa which are not most desired games. Defeat with Bolton was in a fight game - did not score penalty in second half and conceded shorly after. They play better than their league positions indicates. Newcastle very unpredictable and cashing games with rivals in turmoil. Problems with Carroll, Campbell out, Calderwood leaving team. West Ham have a very wide squad to choose from and even in last drawn games they were closer to winning than losing. Home win

No bet in games WBA - Fulham and Wigan - Bolton. Maybe WBA DNB is good option but they are overachieving so far, odds is low low low and Fulham mad about last defeat. Bolton may not lose this game but yet again unpredictable game and hard to take position. Biggest no bet of the season

Tomorrow also three games to choose from and bet of the week yet again. Have a nice day

Explanation of poor run in cups 2010.10.22

Hi
i conceded reverse gangbang on cups nearly everything was reverse but let's analyse my recent games:

Blackburn - Sunderland - draw was absolutely in option and it was hard to choose any other asian option. Red card for brain of my team and still they played better. Sunderland over reliance on Bent and did not score despite one man more on pitch.

Arsenal undisputed win

Chelsea should share points with Spartak but Russians unexperienced coach got cooked. Couple of dangerous situtions for Spartak before goal for Chelsea - Smurfs win in Russia was not best in terms of diplomacy.

Tottenham what a chase by Bale. They should even win this but again red card for one of my red heads

United very very strange lineup suggested they want to mix something with result. I played also United win by exactly one goal which is in POD competition at BA forum and it was cashed in I know it does not count here
Anyway United is bankrupt and will desperately search for money I oppose them nearly all season and is a matter of time they will bring us money back

Valencia did not necessarily have to win after early goal for MU and expecting another goals by Red Turkeys - if simultaneuosly  Bursasopr would be getting something I am sure Valencia would be running more but also draw was not excluded and bad result for them

Napoli played friendly game by strongest team total circus with 40% Liverpool squad. They have Champions League clash with Milan and rested themselves standing

Lech Poznan fielded also reserves against City reserves that even with Adebayor scored more than one goal  conclusion Lech should win in the league and we will regain our money

Premiership from tomorrow and apart from Wigan - Bolton game I should play every single game - including big confidence games.

Europa League fixtures - Liverpool and City games

43. Napoli - Liverpool over 3.5 @ 4.25 Centrebet
44. Napoli - Liverpool Napoli -1 @ 2.75 bet365
45. City - Lech under 1,5 @ 5 bet365 5.50 bwin
Liverpool is 'on fire' after just one win 19th in Premiership. Much better in Europa League but time to concede something. Italians very long waiting for cups and they do not won to finish their participation on group stage. How dngerous they are showed game with Steaua when they scored three gols very early and could even more. Liverpol underish general but I am hoping to see a fast ball game or/and mistakes by defenders odds 4 for such quality and fast players are just too high and anything could happen. It means Liverpool will most probably get smashed I am also choosing over which also includes scenario Liverpool will surprise everybody and score early goal or two. I strongly doubt they will hold the lead so this written scenario would be even good for us also people betting on Napoli will have some heartache - I wish you 4-0 for Napoli guys but for me over.Last argument about Anglo - Italian battle - did you see what happened on yoesterday's game Inter - Tottenham?? This ca happen when we have two quality teams bags of goals could be shipped in minutes. Let's go for an over
Liverpool  resting Torres and Gerrard another argument to go for Napoli.
City - Lech - value bet but with Hart on goal and Adebayor in attack 1-0 is not excluded. Adebayor is anemic player when he was subbed on Sunday City scored in two minutes let's hope he will play 90 minutes today. I tell more if Adebayor will play 1-0 is most probable result today. Under 1.5