13th November Premiership picks

Just one for now later the rest (after analysing squad)

83. Aston Villa - MU 2 @ 1,8 Ladbrokes

84. MC - Birmingham Birmingham +1,5 @ 1,72 188bet

85. Newcastle - Fulham Fulham +0.5 @ 1,95 Stan James

86. Tottenham - Blackburn Blackburn + 1 @ 1,85 188bet

87. West Ham - Blackpool Blackpool DNB @ 3,05 Betsson not much less serious bookies

88. Wigan - WBA Wigan DNB @ 1,88 188bet

89. Wolves - Bolton Bolton + 0.5 @ 1,58 188bet

90. Stoke - Liverpool Stoke DNB @ 3.00 Stan James

I can write and repeat many sad but true words about United. Last sentence of Ferguson 'We do not need any incoming players' please read as 'We have no money for new players, there is huge pressure on finance from owners and creditors club is sinking' but as I wrote this is icon ang will get silet help so they always will benefit  referee factor. Aston Villa is weaker comparing to last year's Houllier still has to convince us he is a right man. Got eough credit from me problem for this team is lack of efficiency and not enough firepower. He has bad assistant McAllister which managerial career was failure but Gerard is responsible for recruiting staff as he is a manager there. Winning 3-2 with Blackpool reserves does not convince me at all. United clearly better from City in last derby and draw was result that allowed them keep unbeaten run and would settle for this if given for above. Away win

There are conflicts in City. Tooo many useless overpaid players and without productivity. Bad rotation by Mancini ugly performances some bright points like Joe Hart. Birmingham weaker than last season but good in defence and it's hard to imagine them losing by more than one goal ok maybe derby game or unlucky game but not this game for me. I'm on Birmingham side they will be hard to beat especially if Adebayor will be on the pitch. I am very pesimistic about City

Newcastle as I said many times very unpredictable winning hard games away losing easy games at home. Just another home defeat to average team will be too much but why not draw. Away win also will not surprise me but draw is also very much in options as Fulham are kings of draws. I won last time on Newcastle home defeat and apart from unpredictability of NUFC and kings of draws for Fulham there's not really much more to say about this game. No way I can touch home win at this odds and from what I saw

Tottenham in obvious crisis. Van Der Vaart playing but is sick. Bale on defence not in midfield so not his natural position - with Inter he was brilliant in midfield. They are throwing all the forces to go for a win as thy have many days off after this game but these power is not full players are tired. Tottenham no value at all. Blackburn manager old fox and we can be sure he has something in mind to surprise Tottenham we are justified to expect this. I don't think Blackburn will even lose this game but et's compromise Totttenham will not smash thhem in current situation

I will play Stoke DNB. You know situation of Liverpool. I will study financial background but let's focus on the manager. Imagine old grandfather is bragging himself because he can have sex once a month and is very happy. But his neighbour can have sex three times a day with girlfriend, has a lover and goes for a quickie with girl from work from time to time. This is picture of situation Liverpool play bad and Hodgson sees positives.
Stoke has many stings and is extremely hard to beat at their fortress. Dangerous from set pieces and will not be afraid of Liverpool because no one is afraid of them now. Liverpool is an average team and it is not hard to win with them as many teams proved this season. I'm up for Stoke

Have a good day!!

12th November

1. No time today too many things up
2. I will write a lot more about Liverpool owners will do the study of their background many interestig things will be disclosed about Monday
3. Tomorrow all the games very strong picks from Premiership as usual

See you tomorrow

11th November Truth about Manchester United

Some people are calling Manchester United 'The Saintssaint' and the same goes for Alex Ferguson. I will write some words why it is cheap lies.

United is in agony. The truth is club has huge debts and owners are not eager to pay huge amount for club any longer. Players are in queue for bigger contracts demanding more money as Rooney did. Imagine you having old grandfather dead and still not report him to get his pension every month. This is club's policy. Why they keep winning?

1. Referees decisions nearly everytime they benefit of them. Even ex referees give interview about special treatment for United players

2. This is a league's and country's symbol. They have silent support in football federation because United are still good selling product around the world and have to play in Champions League, popular in Asia etc

3. Blackmail of media - Ferguson says I will not speak to them if'... and everyone is silent. Why if some things are not right? Ferguson is definitely not the saint LOL

4. Rivals are afraid of them without reasons. This club is now anemic players are 'tesco value' and some icons are getting older and older. Rivals play defensively not going for the clash and United win most games by one goal scored at the end

5. Good relations with some clubs some clubs give hardest performance against their rivals and lose easily or not but lose with them like Wolves which wins over MC or fight till the blood with Chelsea.


Real and Barca have exclusive television rights deals and in England money from TV is shared more eaqually. Real sells just his rights for huge amounts record in the world amount. MU has television money from joint agreement between Premier League and Sky and ESPN. Second thing in therms of debt to value of the club United has dramatically bigger rate of debt and for Real is very easy to cancel debts in one click like selling estates and Manchester have just stadium and training grounds. They also have socios which pay for club every year at least Barca United membership is few quids a year. Very easy for Real to find businessman which will throw 250 millions of euro and bring big transfer like Flores. United already billion of pounds debt and if new owner comes must deal with this or club is sold and asset is not enough to cover creditors.


As for media BBC was right son of Ferguson was agent of Louis Saha and wanted make share in transfer fee. Scheme : United makes transfer pays 10 millions two millions is fee for agent which was Ferguson's son. In this situations transfers can be made not in the name of quality or demand but more important who will get the cash. What makes Ferguson? Silence and red nose and offended. Why? Can you tell me?

I can write much more about United no point strange that so many fans are blind.


Tomorrow truth about Liverpool's future and stats of my picks. Today another busy (and rest) day. See you

10th November Premiership picks

Hi
sorry for lack of activity last time I was mega ultra busy. Some people which know me got Premiership picks on private basis and only they can state what it was - I will not brag ablut Liverpool. Back to blog activity - statistics on its way but I am working about shape and dimensions how it should look like and priority is quality not rushing

76. Aston Villa - Blackpool 1 @ 1,71 Betsson

77. Chelsea - Fulham Fulham + 1,75 @ 2,01 Pinnacle

78. Newcastle - Blackburn 2 @ 4,62 Pinnacle

79. West Ham - West Bromwich West Ham -0.25 @ 1,95 Bet365

80. Wigan - Liverpool Wigan + 0.5 @ 2.10 188bet

81. Everton - Bolton 1 @ 1,67 Ladbrokes

82. MC - MU 2 @ 2,90 Unibet 2.87 Pinnacle

Aston Villa still believe will catch the momentum and convert wide range of opportunities into efficiency. Blackpool is the weakest opponent since Houllier's arrival and if not now when? Next game is United and it will be harder when it goes for full stake. I don't like McAllister he is useless in this team but full responsibility on Houllier. These players even replacements like Ireland or Dunne have quality to win such games and they have to hurry up if they don't want to have lost season anyone is losing points and still in contact.

Chelsea dropped away game at Liverpool I was not surprise as on private meetings I said to anyone I will play for Liverpool and there is no one which I told bet on Chelsea. Drogba had malaria last week. Large handicap on Fulham and they are kings of draws. Fulham not easy to beat and Stamford Bridge is very close for them if they lose very narrowly. Guests are quality team well organised maybe not the best away but unconvenient for Chelsea.

Newcastle prefer to be unpredictable that means let's play highest odds - simple. Blackburn hard schedule and 'brain' Samba missed games so they are maybe close to relegation zone but will finish league higher than they are at the moment. Benjani and Djouf injured but they still won over Wigan on Saturday. They are able to draw this game if not even win. Newcastle just too many wins in the last time crash will be unexpectedly for just one more time - away win

West Ham unlucky in lost and drawn games also played hard schedule. In addition to this they miraculously lost games where they were supposed to win but now they have to make points up. I still think this is an artificial club stayed in the league thanks to hidden support in authorities (winning 8 out of last 10 games three years ago) and somehow they manage to stay in league year by year. They have to start collect points sooner or later and teams from Birmingham surrounding area are paper tiger. Some people may think WBA is sensation and after two games it changes dramatically. It is not and it will not be stable winning team they have just ambition to rescue league. No time and place for draw in such games. Home win

Time to stop Liverpool. All this media attention and shout about fantastic time coming is bunch of lies. Owner is typical yankee yuppie with wife 30 years younger and has no clue about football. Hodgson is not manager for big calibre clubs and squad is average. They will not replace manager because club started winning run and it has no point at the first sight. Reality is Torres is tragic Gerrard not much better and Chelsea game was an exception. Wigan no win for longer time and time to beat someone in order to stay out of relegation zone, they have not much worse squad and fans will equal the balance even more - I believe they will get something out of this game because Liverpool is not hard opponent at the time.

Everton - Bolton similar to Everton - Stoke game underish and 1-0 2-0 or 0-0 or 1-1 :)

MAIN BET City United. United is in agony. The truth is club has huge debts and owners are not eager to pay huge amount for club any longer. Players are in queue for bigger contracts demanding more money as Rooney did. Imagine you having old grandfather and still not report him to get his pension every month. This is club's policy. Why they keep winning?
1. Referees decisions nearly everytime they benefit of them. Even ex referees give interview about special treatment for United players
2. This is a league's and country's symbol. They have silent support in football federation because United are still good selling product around the world and have to play in Champions League, popular in Asia etc
3. Blackmail of media - Ferguson says I will not speak to them if'... and everyone is silent. Why if some things are not right? Ferguson is definitely not the saint LOL
4. Rivals are afraid of them without reasons. This club is now anemic players are 'tesco value' and some icons are getting older and older. Rivals play defensively not going for the clash and United win most games by one goal scored at the end
5. Good relations with some clubs some clubs give hardest performance against their rivals and lose easily or not but lose with them like Wolves which wins over MC or fight till the blood with Chelsea.

Point four plus inferiority complex at City plus conflicts at MC plus homeseek crisis for Tevez plus everyone is on City today makes me backing United. Away win

6th November Premiership picks

Hi
Today just plain picks as I am megabusy and on the road to see Bolton - Tottenham game

68. Bolton - Tottenham Bolton +0.25 @ 1,92 VC 1,9 Asia

69. Birmingham - West Ham 1 @ 2,06 Pinnacle

70. Blackburn - Wigan 1 @ 1,77 Pinnacle 1,8 Expekt

71. Blackpool - Everton 2 @ 1,83 Stan James

72. Fulham - Aston Villa Fulham -0.25 @ 1,95

73. MU - Wolves Wolves +1,75 @ 1,89 Canbet

74. Sunderland - Stoke Stoke +0.5 @ 1,88 Canbet

75. Middlesbrough - Crystal Palace 1 @ 1,8 Ladbrokes

All picks strong, official etc. No time to make templates of statistic yet will be around Monday.
Middlesbrough apart from Championship but new manager and time to win with bottom team

4th November Analysis of losing picks end of October and Europa League picks

37. Blackburn - Sunderland red card 1st half and even though Blackburn better team
38. Chelsea - Spartak Chelsea did not respect hospitality of Russians, unexperienced coach for Spartak, bad lick Spartak did not convert situations they also have
40. Inter - Tottenham - Idiot Gomes red card 2nd minute game was to be won by Tottehnam which they proved in second half in that game and in second match
41. MU - Bursaspor - it is a long story about MU they scored early and saved guests there are some teories they don't beat asian handicaps (with Rangers or WBA also) on many games we have no reason to believe ;)
42. Rangers - Valencia - as an early lead by MU Valencia did not need to win away home slashing of Rangers is enough to be promoted if draw was not out of option I risked straight away win and lost my bet
43-44 Napoli - Liverpool absolute parody of game Liverpool traveled without key players both clubs played friendly the only 0-0 result from rthat day of EU bad luck I counted on Italians
45. City - Lech - City is rubbish with Adebayor in squad in all occasions apart from Lech game when he had hattrick - next two games City lost . Anyway bets 43-45 were hunting for high odds with definite reasons
48. Chelsea - Wolves Wolves gave very hard performance 10 saves by Cech and 2-0 could be only 1-0 or draw hard game and unexpectedly hard resistance but minimum was 2-0 and it was 2-0
49. Sunderland - Aston Villa lucky win for Sunderland Villa has still too week attack to win games by lack of scoring  hopefully they will sort it out befor it's too late for Europe. Sunderland lost 1-5 next game when I bet they will get something record defeat for them
50. West Ham - Newcastle good game for home team for 20 minutes and than turnaround. WHU give good performances generally and this weekend I will be on them again
51. Stoke - MU again Stoke one of the teams which are afraid of nothing special United. They scored equaliser but played with shaked legs last 10 minutes and MU restored lead.
52. Liverpool - Blackburn best performance of the season for Liverpool and I was again at bad time on wrong place. Blackbburn cashed next game with Chelsea Liverpool won.
53. City - Arsenal again idiot red card in 5th minute and game over. I wonder was it beginning of a conspiracy against Mancini or sheer stupiditytime will tell.
54. Gornik - Lech Lech went for a win but again red card and defeat manager was fired after that game and Lech won next two games and Gornik lost next game
55. Napoli - Milan  again red card for my team and I predicted Milan will lose next game to Juventus Napoli win next game away. I think still it was an order Milan to win this and if Milan won with Juventus I believed bookies do not interfere with some teams and sport is clean
56. Leicester - WBA completely evacuation of Leicester from the cup Eriksson make fool everybody including me he wants to play in Wembley. Maybe - but in play off final. West Bromwich lost next game Leicester won next game away
57. Wigan - Swansea Swansea gave up game and won next league game and Wigan lost next game, another pick bad time and place
58. MU - Wolves - game x2 under every circumstances and Wolves gave game removing strikers. This game will have consequences on Saturday as clubs play again in league. I will describe it
59. Newcastle - Arsenal - 'mighty' Newcastle 'stars' rested their asses and sent reserves. Tim Krul was a trance master but nexh game Newcastle wins 5-1 and Arsenal won very very lucky and yesterday lost
61. Arsenal - West Ham the only game of Arsenal with under at home this season bad time and place
64. MU - Tottenham Gomes idiot strikes back and even if United won even if deservedly (post for Tottenham) definitey not with two goals margin

65. Aston Villa - Birmingham - Aston Villa advantage not converted (post) too small power up front absolutely acceptable and possible draw but Villa is better team

66. Newcastle - Sunderland - worst performance of season for Sunderland match of life for Nolan acceptable loss

67. Bolton - Liverpool no complaints here 

A bunch of losing picks with many different reasons: flood of red cards, controversial referee decisions, bad moment bad place, some of money rescued on next games like Napoli or Juventus and life is going on. This is a long term project and if next month using the same approach will be red I will chenge approach. Sometimes I am romantic and wishful thinking pushes me to bet what I like to be but if November is again red I will play against 'my' teams which should bring better results. Counting that referees will not whistle for United is starting to beeing naive but what to do this is reality of English football.

I am still creating template of summary it will be prepared tomorrow as there are picks for today again unofficial. Strong picks back on Saturday

1. Napoli + 0.5 @ 2.11 Pinnacle - Liverpool awaiting Chelsea and I am strongly convinced for Liverpool  - Chelsea game which I will describe on time. It will be even stronger if Liverpool will not win today.

2. Lech - City home win @ 6.05 Pinnacle draw no bet also to play. Lech is not a bad team there is obvious conflict with City and Mancini may be soon gone. Maybe City even will win but even if they will get smoked in league as players are clearly against manager. Absolutely not worth away win at these odd but faders have my point of view

Respect

3rd November Champions League

1. later tonight will be analysis of the month with hammering conclusions
2. Champions League may be good for faders as well as I am on vacations until weekend so unofficial

Shakhtar - Arsenal home win @ 2,80 Ladrokes
Chelsea - Spartak Spartak + 2 @ 1,75 Canbet

1st fixture Arsenal does not have to win at al qualification is safe trip is into cold area for hom team they will not suffer seriously if they will not win but anything more than defeat is a bonus and huge boost, also crazy odds on Arsenal and they already spanked Partizan on hugely appreciating odds

Chelsea also won away unexpectedly with Spartak, very weak young coach is big disadvantage  for Russian club which can be cooked by old fox on every corner. Today again dozens of situations I hope Russian will at least convert something in first game very unlucky with situations also. Spartak + 2