4th December Premiership picks

Welcome back I was in business trip last weekend miracles happened luckily I lost a few aftre trhee great rounds. Went sick this week and cold days here so be careful with picks. Here are my

104. Arsenal - Fulham Fulham +1.5 @ 1,9 Stan James

105. Birmigham -Tottenham Birmingham +0.5 @ 1,83 188bet

106. Blackburn - Wolves 1 @ 1,8 Stan JAmes

107. Chelsea - Everton Everton +1.5 @ 1,78 SBObet

108. MC - Bolton Bolton + 1,25 @ 1,86 188bet

109. Wigan - Stoke Wigan DNB @ 2,28 188bet

Arsenal many surprises at home this season even lost games and at least one closely won game and Fulham very rarely losses by more than one goal even away. This is derby game so no problem for travel Arsenal with Flappyhandski could mean trouble. They still have to secure CL promotion and have Man Utd away as next game so with exactly ole goal win they will be extremely happy. In this winter circumstances even this is not certain as we may see surprise

No one had more effort and harder games schedule in last time than Tottenham. They beat Liverpool Arsenal Werder in just ten days and must rest sooner or later. Maybe some kind of party after CL promotion was forbidden but they beat Liverpool and deserved one 'easy lover' game. Besides from this Birmingham is a solid and well managed team very very rarely losing at home and will put hard resistance it is hard to break them even if you do the best like Chelsea two weeks ago. In this circumstances I can't see them losing today's game

Chelsea very weird news from this club ald detrimental results on the pitch. Juto one win in last five ok some of them lost by injuries but some by attitude. Everton always doing well at Stamford and players like Cahill will cause trouble for defence and goalkeeper. Everton very low in table they have no other choice than put a solid fight in every game they can not afford to drop games they want. I think they even will not lose

Blackburn is my most certain bet for today. This is a team and manager which will put best effort at home and fans are used to some standards. They are just stronger and too strong for such kind of opponents like Wolves and should convert advantage into beating. Wolves bottom team and they even think they will stay in league dropping some games like United everytime - this will be decisive factor in sinking them into Championship. Blackburn two home defeats already but with Chelsea and Arsenal so no shame and Wolves 0-1-6 away so 'good luck' for them today. Home win in handy is also in options

Weekend Premiership picks

Hello as I am going to Birmingham tomorrow here are some picks for weekend this time unofficial because I can not control situation fully. I will be watching Aston Villa-Arsenal game and will have fun in pubs around later.

Here are picks

MU - Blackburn
Pick: Blackburn + 1.5 @ 2.03 

Reason: United is a dying club and in this year it's really obvious they play very weak football. Even if they are on second place this is big coincidence and I could discuss about it for hours face to face even with Alex Ferguson. 
Let me explain what happened yesterday in Champions League: United sent no defence and Rooney in forward - that means either they did not care about Rangers game or they knew they won the game before kick-off. 
Look at fact: when player is back from injury usually (95% cases) playing whole game straight is a big risk and player like Rooney should go off from the pitch or should come from substitution he played for some reasons whole game. That suggested he had a role in the game I felt it watching game and was not wrong although I picked Rangers before game. I was 100% sure he will score penalty.
What is going on: media in England and fans need hero although Rooney is in total rubbish form for nine months he will be pitched because of some mysterious reasons - I can speculate they can create myth to sell him because United is a selling club for last 3 years. If Rooney will play he will not score if the opposition is normal and United can even lose this game very much depends on defence and Van Der Sar.
Allardyce has good record with United but only at home United very rarely beats his teams away from home also very much depends on Blackburn players approach new owner and I believe it is a boost like with Aston Villa game. Allardyce and Ferguson are sitting in the same pot (as goes for agent's provision both were accused and both refused to talk to BBC) conclusion for one more time I am against United this can be one goal win and nothing more if only sports factor will decide definitely not smashing. If Blackburn will not be afraid and I believe they won't they can even beat United as this is not a big power for some time
Blackburn +1.5


Aston Villa - Arsenal
Pick: home win or draw 
Reason: To be honest I don't believe in Houllier for long term there are many indications that if Randy Lerner will sell his top player every summer this club will not progress. Also appointment of Gary McAllister is something I can't understand maybe you are more secure when your assistant has not clue about football as he does not make conspiracy against you with players or management this could be the reason.
But anway Villa does not lose at home they stopped United so draw or home win are definitely in options. Arsenal has rubbish goalkeeper which makes many mistakes Wenger has secret romance with french waitress so this is more in his head than team preparation and Arsenal is in trouble - four defeats in last five games. Very similar teams of 'virgins' I mean twenty years old players against another youngsters Villa youngsters are weaker and have less experiece but I believe they are able to stop Arsenal and even win over them extending their agony.
Villa +0.5


More picks will follow without analysis later this week

24th November Champions League unofficial picks

Tottenham - Werder Werder + 1,5 @ 1,81 over is good option but primarely Werder 1.5 not bad
Rangers - United Rangers DNB @ 4,10 bet 365 Rangers + 0.75 @ 2,17 IBCBet also good option

Tottenham before this game had Arsenal in league and thay won imo they will smash Liverpool on Sunday but look t fixtures they have what a hard schedule. Majority of people will be on Tottenham side today of course they can win but one goal win apart from ny surprise is on our side. Werder stable team doing their jobs despite results no one is afraid there of anything. Manager will stay whatever happens players know each other very well Werder can be champion on year in league and close to relegation another season

It is cear for me United and Rangers helping each other and and I don't think Rangers will lose this game. Question is Rangers has third place rather secure if United want to push their brothers for second. If rangers win today they have a chance to romote but this is a big risk for United Valencia can win over them over last day because United is a bad team this season. Anyway for sports reasons case of advance is open till the end and Rangers are not a bad team especially on their own pitch. United already gave them a draw which complicated things a bit and reality is United need just one point. I rely on Rangers can even win here if strange things will not happen again in United match. Rubbish Rooney will play, defence rocksolid Vidic and Ferdinand are sidelined means United may prepare a gift for their scottish friends - this could also mean United win is certain they can afford to send for holiay some key players but I am going for a  Home win!

22th November Sunderland - Everton pick

103. Sunderland - Everton Everton DNB  @ 2,02 Canbet

Majority of people will praise Sunderland's marvellous win at Chelsea but I wrote (and stated before the game) that Chelsea defeat was a result of mysterious internal problems. Suddenly they forgot how to play football and Sunderland adressed precisely 50-50 yards balls into Chelsea penalty area with ease. Something was not normal there something fishy in that game Chelsea suddenly forgot how to play football although despite their absences they still pitched better team in terms of quality!! I do not mention great h2h of Everton against Sunderland even during Steve Bruce era Everton are able to win there. Many teams lost points and winning this game Everton is closer to Europa zone. As for Sunderland don't overestimate Darren Bent's return - without him they won at Chelsea so may be boost may be detrimental influence. I believe after team selection analysis Toffees are able to win there but this is definitely not easy game - let's say if I did not pick this game Everton would win 4-0 and I would regret so this is my pick
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21th November Sunday Premiership picks

101. Blackburn - Aston Villa 1 @ 2,43 Canbet 2,41 Pinnacle
102. Fulham - Man City 1 @ 3,50 5Dimes

What a day yesterday I also cheated destination not betting on West Ham. Be careful after fantastic day may be way down but selections for today hard to find arguments against above presented leans. Let's go

 Before the season Villa was traditionally weakened by selling Milner and O'Neill stepped down because of disagreement with club owners. Club appointed new manager I gave them many opportunities they did not convince me they are able to win games, not mentioning about winning games convincingly. OK pace is fast but they have lack of fire power and experience. Even if they lead they are not able to finish the opposition like MU game. This could be winning team but not yet and never will be if Randy Lerner will treat Villa as selling club. They have good image in media because many English 'young talents' play for club and there is not much noise about off-pitch problems. Gary McAllister is hopeless assistant of manager and Houllier this is not the same young bright Houllier with fresh look as we remember from Liverpool spell - they did noc convince me they are able to win games - sorry but one win with Blackpool reserves is definitely not enough.
Blackburn has new owner and even in normal circumstances they are favourite in this game but new owner presence is additional boost. I am sure this will be positive influence not stage fright as Blackburn has experienced manager and players. Fans are used to certain level of decent game since Allardyce arrived there. So many arguments do you see any for Villa side?  Home win

Second game is absolute clash and dignity game for Mark Hughes. He was fired from City 11 months ago and many fans remember him as better manager than Mancini - the fact is he had less desired players and City played much better football - it was very attractive football. This italian clown bought many expensive players and maybe 30% of them are giving heart in the game. City play ugly - they are afraid to attack even in home games, some players are treated like rubbish and they open mouth after leaving - many good players could not find place in basic eleven so thay are on loans or on bench - there are conflicts in City and I doubt Mancini can be a fire man here - someone else decides in City. Another pick aginst City from my side and I am pretty sure Hughes will prepare some 'surprises' for guests. Cracker game. Home win

20th November Premiership picks

94. Arsenal - Tottenham Tottenham + 0,5 @ 2,42 Canbet
95. Birmingham - Chelsea Birmingham + 1 @ 1,72 Canbet
96. Blackpool - Wolves Blackpool DNB @ 1,87 Canbet
97. Bolton - Newcastle 1 @ 2,25 188bet
98. MU - Wigan Wigan + 2 @ 1,84 Canbet
99. WBA - Stoke Stoke +0.5 @ 1,81 VCbet
100. will be Liverpool game here and I want to win this game

Hi
I am taking all games not to miss good leans. Let's begin
Arsenal is no revelation in last three home games. They barely beat low-mid table West Ham and Birmingham lost to unpredictable Newcastle - for this game Jermaine Defoe is back it means attack options are very strong hopefully they will not field useless Robbie Keane. Arsenal as shaky goalkeeper which will screw five more games in this season. Also more Arsenal players played during international midweek friendlies and this is a derby everything can happen. Tottenham will go for a win here as they are getting more and more experience in international games and definitely are not afraid to go with Arsenal into dead end. I believe they will get something out of this game as they have to keep watching fourth place. Draw
Next analysis after squad announcements about 14:00

Before season big majority of fans claimed Wolves are grown team but I am saying from the bginning till the end: this is a 'sheam' - which means team completely changed way of play after promotion and this strategy will not pay off in the long term - Wolves will be relegated sooner or later, may be next victim of  'second season syndrome'. Blackpool plays offensively creates a hell of situations and have nothing to lose, they can only surprise us in a positive way. Wasted a handful of situations at West Ham should have won that game but were extremely unlucky. Look: Blackpool won over WBA which are stronger than Wolves after red cards for guests but opening goal was scored before. This is a relegation clash and defeat will be painful for Blackpool they will be relegated anyway in my opinion but will give 'a head and hand'. Blackpool should not lose this game.
Bolton are surprising me in a positive way. Tey have decent players in correct positions and a boss is 'from the heart' grown there. All this is making perfect connections, they give hard and fast performance when you are not giving 100% against them you can not count on mercy. Newcastle very good appointment of Chris Hughton and won a lot of games unexpectedly new national team starter Andy Carroll has water in brain and smart and cheeky approach to him will force him to make mistakes in forward. Goalkeeper could be perfect but could be very unstable and generally speaking Bolton is a stronger team. Home win

14th November picks

91. Chelsea - Sunderland  Sunderland +2 @ 1,77  Asia and bet365 definitely
92. Swansea - Middlesbrough Middlesbrough DNB
93. Inter - Milan home win @ 2,62


I believe in Chelsea case minimum in return of the stake. Something wrong at Chelsea at the moment with assistant leaving club out of the blue. Because of general recession in English football they win a lot despite internal problems and potential conflicts have been exinguished. Ancelotti is definitely not top manager in the world but he inherited good team for two or three years able to compete and is very good in h2h with top of the table. Lampard and Alex missing for this game Essien also started ssupension. Last year's 7-2 makes me feel this time will be no goal fest and 2-0 is standard procedure in this game which makes us neutral but I believe in one goal margin win here - that is result Chelsea would settle four

Middlesbrougn new manager and won two games. Swansea may splash them but this is not going to happen if Boro will not give game away. In my opinion they should get at least a draw

As for Milan derby Inter will win this game this is a bonus pick