środa, 1 lutego 2012

1st of February Premiership picks

146. Aston Villa - QPR 1 @ 1,85 Pinnacle
147. Blackburn - Newcastle 1 @ 2,45 Pinnacle
148. Bolton - Arsenal Bolton + 0,5 @ 2,47 Pinnacle
149. Fulham - WBA Fulham -0,5 @ 1,86 LAdbrokes
150. Sunderland - Norwich Norwich DNB @ 3,89 Pinnacle

Hi

much better results than yesterday expected as it looks like Newcastle gave up game at Blackburn and they just travel there to assist analysing their lineup. Also Sunderland may be in trouble today as Norwich option has a great value and they can give also a good game. I don't think Norwich will lose this game considering Sunderland absences

Good luck

wtorek, 31 stycznia 2012

31st December Premiership picks

Chelsea win Wigan + 1,5 wolves win

more will foollow just back home

141. Swansea - Chelsea 2 @ 1,99 SBObet
142. Tottenham - Wigan Wigan + 2 @ 1,85 Pinnacle
143. Wolves - Liverpool 1 @ 5,30 188bet
144. Everton  Man City Everton DNB @ 3,35 betsafe and many others manually
145. MU - Stoke Stoke + 1,5 @ 1,82 Ladbrokes

Hi no coment today as picks are really last minute (most of picks you will catch even better odds in play as picks are 'brave and sharp' - cold weather today but good luck for us
Cheers!

niedziela, 22 stycznia 2012

Big day picks

139. Man City - Tottenham Tottenham DNB @ 3,33 Pinnacle
140. Arsenal - Man Utd 2 @ 2,75 William Hill


I  think Tottenham will break City home win streak and won't lose this game. City have one win in last month winning one in five last aways and losing last two home games. Tottenham is some kind of last two home games tests and will get something at Eastlands. City without Toure brothers can relyy only on Aguero, Silva and of course goalkeeper Hart. 

I personally don't buy City champion story considering their resluts they are fading for quite a time. Last time they were defending result with last team Wigan and if Wigan played smarter they could get something, they lost only one goal from set piece so it's only Wigan's fault they lost not City fought for win





In normal circumstances Man Utd should smash Arsenal.
Arsenal is in fact a selling club over years, not investing in quality big names, just letting players go to City mainly and this kind of policy means no trophies for seven years (and I personally think for next twenty seven unless they will start make significant buys) and fans frustration.


They have a poor goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny who makes big mistakes every second game and actually they don't concede when position don't make any shot. The rest of goalkeepers are injured or even worse. Thirry Henry may scare teams like nameless Leeds but Premiership is not his league anymore. They will rely on RVP as Arshavin or Chamakh are totally out of form. In general terms this team may scare Championship defenders and more and more teams know how to deal with them. 


United is not a firepower as this is first hard test for them after home defeat to City two months ago but I feel only something weird would make Arsenal winning this game. Miracles happens like Chelsea win over City but in normal circumstances any other choice than an away win is hard to imagine


If Lindegaard will pley definitely away win 



sobota, 21 stycznia 2012

21 January Premiership picks

132. Everton - Blackburn 1 @ 1,67 William Hill
133. Fulham - Newcastle 1 @ 2,0 Bet365
134. QPR - Wigan 2 @ 4,1 188bet
135. Stoke - WBA WBA + 0,5 @ 1,94 188bet
136. Sunderland - Swansea 1 @ 1,95 Expekt
137. Wolves - Aston Villa Aston Villa DNB @ 1,98 188bet
138. Bolton - Liverpool Liverpool -1,5 @ 2,59 Pinnacle

Hi

a lot of games today but I don't believe in QPR after Hughes arrived in and this belief in team has nothing to do with manager. If they repeat last two performances they will be gone today. The question is can Sparky spark the team up now? I don't think so without any signings

I believe in convincing win for Liverpool today and rest of games will go favourites way.

Huge games tomorrow with wide analysis.

Good luck

Chelsea....why didn't you win

131. Norwich - Chelsea 2 @ 1,62 William Hill


Do not be biased by Norwich results: Newcastle sent weakened team there, QPR we know play nothing and games like with Arsenal or Tottenham were lost very clearly maybe after fight but clearly
I am the last person who will write anything positive about current Chelsea team, management and owners but still think quality gap is big and recent Norwich result is not a good indication. I would compare this game to Arsenal or Tottenham visit - upper table teams know it is a hard nut to crack but still possible to win if you know that.
Something like 1-2 1-3 here


Check for updates at 15:45

wtorek, 17 stycznia 2012

QPR - MK Dons pick

130. QPR - MK Dons MK Dons DNB @ 3,42 Pinnacle


Look at the story before first game:


118. MK Dons - QPR 1 @ 2,90 Ladbrokes BUT NEIL WARNOCK HAS BEEN SACKEDHithis is game outside the Premier League but home win is an only outcome - take at early odds and then whatever you do - make all green or stick with this.Year by year teams managed by Neil Warnock get eliminated as early as posible and QPR are relegation threatened team - just because they are playing poor football it's worth enough to take home win but in this case QPR will deliberately lose the game.Home win


QPR equalised lst minute and next day manager was dismissed. Seem like he did not want to lose game from owner's order and paid with his position.I think indication is clear and they must drop FA Cup and focus on league safety and start winning games there.Look at their official websitehttp://www.qpr.co.uk/page/Preview/0,...574952,00.html


They know opponent's team lineup they don't know their's? Anyway they may field a lot of fringe players or just assist in the game odds for Dons can only fall. Away win or MK Dons to go through no hesitation and I am additionally mad because of first game last minute equaliser so maybe I will even try away win in handicap


Pay attention odds is about 1,8-1,9 for HW in this game
This odds would be justified if guest will be low table Premiership team like Wigan which comes to Loftus Road on Saturday. Real odds should be like 1,4 -1,5 - hey guests are two leagues lower isn't it strange we have nearly 2 odds on home win?
Last time Arsenal showed at Swansea how much 'bargain' is odds around 2 when it was excptionally high.
I still think QPR will be eliminated today if not lose this game. Of course they are better quality side than QPR but why the hell we have odds 1,9 from the beginning?

QPR - MK Dons pick

130. QPR - MK Dons MK Dons DNB @ 3,42 Pinnacle


Look at the story before first game:

118. MK Dons - QPR 1 @ 2,90 Ladbrokes BUT NEIL WARNOCK HAS BEEN SACKEDHithis is game outside the Premier League but home win is an only outcome - take at early odds and then whatever you do - make all green or stick with this.Year by year teams managed by Neil Warnock get eliminated as early as posible and QPR are relegation threatened team - just because they are playing poor football it's worth enough to take home win but in this case QPR will deliberately lose the game.Home win

QPR equalised lst minute and next day manager was dismissed. Seem like he did not want to lose game from owner's order and paid with his position.I think indication is clear and they must drop FA Cup and focus on league safety and start winning games there.Look at their official websitehttp://www.qpr.co.uk/page/Preview/0,...574952,00.html

They know opponent's team lineup they don't know their's? Anyway they may field a lot of fringe players or just assist in the game odds for Dons can only fall. Away win or MK Dons to go through no hesitation and I am additionally mad because of first game last minute equaliser so maybe I will even try away win in handicap

Pay attention odds is about 1,8-1,9 for HW in this game
This odds would be justified if guest will be low table Premiership team like Wigan which comes to Loftus Road on Saturday. Real odds should be like 1,4 -1,5 - hey guests are two leagues lower isn't it strange we have nearly 2 odds on home win?
Last time Arsenal showed at Swansea how much 'bargain' is odds around 2 when it was excptionally high.
I still think QPR will be eliminated today if not lose this game. Of course they are better quality side than QPR but why the hell we have odds 1,9 from the beginning?