wtorek, 1 stycznia 2013

New Year's Day - Premiership

161. Man City - Stoke Stoke DNB @ 11 Stan James
162. Swansea - Aston Villa 2 @ 6,38 Pinnacle
163. Tottenham - Reading Reading DNB 8,56 
164. West Ham - Norwich 2 @ 4,2 Bet Victor

Hi

fantastic start of the year and short comment today

Don't forget Wigan pick which I full.

West Ham without Diame = they will lose another match.

Hopefully Stoke will not stand silently but will give a game and who kows maybe they will win.

Swansea won undeservedly at Fulham = > Fulham have points back and Swansea should give points away

No one expects Reading success at Tottenham - that is just main reason to bet on away win

See you before Southampton - Arsenal game

Happy New Year and let's have a winning start


160. WBA – Fulham 2 @ 4,2 BetVictor

Hello and Happy New Year

Fulham had a streak of poor games however their last game was 'to be planned as won' – most of their stings returned and Swansea was supposed to be an easy meal without Michu. However Fulham lost that game, mainly because of last – minute swap of goalkeeper – Stockdale played instead of Schwarzer – and even despite that Fulham hade huge dominance over the game.

I am expecting an away win today as they already have team capable of winning places 6-8 back as usual in last seasons and additionally they started to have relegation fears – they have to start wining, Swansea game was supposed to be the first for revival period.

West Brom have no chances for Champions League, base on home games but they do ot have momentum anymore from end of November when Clarke was awardedmanagerial reward – haunt for any manager.

These teams have comparable power and I expected them rather to swap places at the end of the season. Odds are based on table which is wrong as Fulham is close to their optimal line -up.

Before the game please check who is goalkeeper of Fulham and WBA line-up as they can make last minute changes. I am going for an away win anyway as even reserve goalkeeper has to repair the damage he has done on Saturday

See you before 3 p.m. games

niedziela, 30 grudnia 2012

Wigan - Man Utd

159. Wigan - Man Utd 1 @ 7 Ladbrokes

Game will be tomorrow but United will surely rotate squad and might help their neighbours and  friends to avoid relegation. Wigan can surrend any game to United in any moment as they are their bitch but at the moment United have cushion and for everyone's interest is keeping league equal until the very last moment - that sells. WBA was unlucky but incredible streak of luck for United is on a verge of ending and they must lose soon - that would be even healthy for them and of course league.

One thing is sure - odds wil fall for Wigan with the time and I am on Wigan anyway. If they don't catch stupid red card in the initial moments Wigan wil give them hard test

QPR - Liverpool

158. QPR - Liverpool  home win @ 4,8 BetVictor

QPR very discriminated by referees in recent times throws all their stars today - Liverpool without Rodgers on bench

Dogfight - QPR just can not afford to lose

Everton - Chelsea

158. Everton - Chelsea home win!

My friends

if Chelsea is so tempting how can you explain opening odds like 2.50 on them?

Last three seasons
Everton Chelsea 2:1 5.21 3.56 1.69
Everton Chelsea 1:0 3.03 3.28 2.32
Everton Chelsea 2:0 3.12 3.20 2.31

And all of these games were won by Everton.

I think Chelsea away win opening odds are th highest in the history since Abramovich arrival

If away win is so 'obvious' why bookies give generous 2,50 odds?

And I still believe this chelsea team is the WEAKEST of any of those three lost games - Chelsea team in three previous seasons was stronger and still suffered defeat there

In Chelsea Lampard may be gone in January players may rebel

Chelsea optimists rely on Fellaini suspension and good run of Chelsea recently. I am sure Everton will not give easy game - they always fight till the end with big guns and keep getting results...

I can't see Chelsea win
Everton is quality team which makes life hard for top opponents. They will give a challenge today - usual for them - and game will be decided by details

sobota, 29 grudnia 2012

Arsenal - Newcastle

157. Arsenal - Newcastle 2 @ 8,5 totesport


Very big factor is game referee if you are in UK you know how Chris Foy is mentioned. 

I am betting on penalty for Arsenal red cards also likely, Newcastle can be tired but United will be the same as big part of the team was involved in the game.

United will mix squad that is sure thing I am waiting Arsenal will be rested but bear in mind last two games (of three) they won thanks to referees only. They lost at home with Sansea game before Arsenal is not firepower - just a bit better club than Liverpool (most of the teams are) so if you say Newcastle is tired - Arsenal is much worse than United and they gave United a good game


Chris Foy is referee in Arsenal - Newcastle game

I thought this guy was put into care home in midweek because of scandalous mistakes in recent QPR-WBA game Harry Redknapp got warnings letters from FA instead - Redknapp was fuming at referee did not giving clear penalty for QPR for handball and allowing uncorrect goal for WBA.

This referee gave two penalties for Stoke-Tottenham last year and two stupid red cards in QPR-Chelsea game last season - he made much more scandalous mistakes and should be if not put in care home relegated to lower class - absolutely rubbish referee

Bear in mind Arsenal won two of last three games after penalties out of the blue as with WBA and with Wigan they were outplayed or at least their advantage was covered by weather factors (Wigan)

Arsenal will try to open the score from penalty as this referee is vulnerable 

29. December - Premiership

151. Aston Villa - Wigan 1 @ 2,88 BetVictor
152. Man  Utd - West Brom 2 @ 12 Stan James BET OF THE MONTH
153. Fulham - Swansea 1 @ 2,3 William Hill
154. Norwich - Man City 2 @ 1,62 William Hill
155. Reading - West Ham 1 @ 2,94 pinacle
156. Stoke - Southampton 1 @ 2 William Hill


Hello

nice starter with Tottenham

Man Utd absolutely rubbish team and they want to lose today. West Bromwich Victory is the most recommended bet by me today. Away win!

Villa odds are pumped by Wigan optimists so good odds for home win

West Ham no Diame = Reading will not lose today

See you before Arsenal - Newcastle game