wtorek, 19 października 2010

Champions League - MU, Tottenham and Rangers games 2010.10.20

40. Inter - Tottenham Tottenham +0.75 @ 2.12 Canbet
41. MU - Bursaspor 2 @ 16,47 Pinnacle
42. Glasgow Rangers - Valencia 2 @ 2,20 many, many bookies

Previews:
Since Benitez took over Inter is on a mudslide and this process of dismounting team will be continued. This team still has majority of Mourinho men machine team and money of course but I doubt they will be winning Serie A title and they have no chance in Champions League for many reasons. So far I doubted them in CL fixtures but they proved me painfully in the game with Werder where they smashed German team.
I see Tottenham game a lot harder. Club has not so many injuries, is on a good run, is well managed by Redknapp (no difference here with Werder) and has stable squad with a lot of money - let's enjoy their first Champions League season. They can advance to the next round but they can not have paper legs. Inter is absolutely not the best club in the world anymore (if ever was). If Spurs will not be scared they could even win away. They should not lose this game and I see enough quality not to lose.

Manchester United is dying at the moment (and also Liverpool the only difference with those clubs is MU know how to collect points). I oppose them nearly everytime this season espeecially away as they have old core of the team older and older, and they will not sign any new costly players over next years. Times of big transfer are over for them this is selling club - reason one billion debt. I wrote Rooney is over and I was convinced this all the time and they will sell him to get some money for rescue. Of course he has an option to buy his contract out but he will not do this because of unofficial agreement between top clubs and will be sold for significant amount of monay in January. His time is up. I was convinced WBA will get something on Saturday game and it was a draw I was too cautious taking big handicap.
Bet on Bursaspor is cheeky but there are reasons on United side. I don't know why odds are United are 1.20s - it would be justified if they keep winning but they don't do this and are vulnerable. It is a bit strange how Bursaspor loses games in CL (this is because a debut seasons in cups) and I hope they are developing towards first point or even a win tomorrow.

Glasgow Rangers like Scottish clubs and national teams are overestimated. Big shout and always disappointment. We can not compare top Scottish club witremiership clus this is definitely anther league. If Celtic and Rangers would join Premiership one of these clus would e relegated straight and second will be struggling till the end of season. They can not attract big players because the wages just pensioners like Robbie Keane and such kind of players are still at top in Scotland. This season anyway Rangers did very well but Valencia after selling Villa Zigic and Silva before season plays exceptionally well. They are much stronger than Scots might settle for a draw but nothing is sure in this group yet. Every combination of clubs may advance - even Bursaspor especially if they win tomorrow. Away win
Let's go for a win at least in two cass including Bursaspor.

Champions League - Chelsea and Arsenal fixtures 2010.10.19

38. Spartak - Chelsea Spartak +0.5 @ 1,88 Pinnacle
39. Arsenal - Shakhtar over 2,5 @ 1,80 Stan James
Due to political reasons (owner of Chelsea is Russian) it is hard to imagine for me Chelsea will go and win in Russia. They could go for a win if they have played against another English team like 2008 CL final. Did not read a lot about game yet but maybe I have a clean head and not biased thanks to it. Anway these teams on six points and if they share points practically one point in last two games would be enough to advance to last 16. Spartak for win here. 0 degrees in Moscow, artificial pitch and Chelsea injuries means Spartak will win here but with draw no one will complain. Good game is on the carda. Home win
Arsenal should concede and score. Odds for home win are too big to home win something may be wrong here or some big fishes  play against Arsenal and they know more. Despite bad weather over 2,5. Guests not to lose is also not a bad bet and 1-1 correct score I would recommend as a cover option for someone who places his last penny into this bet.
It's time for English teams slashing after  last unbelievable round

poniedziałek, 18 października 2010

Blackburn - Sunderland point of view

37. Blackburn - Sunderland Blackburn -0.25 @ 1,88 Pinnacle


This game is very similar between Saturday game Bolton - Stoke (I had also this handicap, I did not place a bet, it would be won finally but thanks to last minute goal). Home team no masterpiece but hard work,  manager sometimes with megalomania  and Chris Samba brain of team. Since Allardyce replaced complete failure at this level Paul Ince Blackburn is home power and can challenge the biggest boys from time to time. They very rarely and narrowly lose at Ewood Park.
Sunderland appointed Steve Bruce to finally finish with yoyo club tradition and this is good appointment if you just want to stay in the league calmly. They won't  be fighting for biggest challenges will be resting their stars (Darren Bent doubtful), and have solid squad just to stay in chill area. Draw is not excluded in this game home team should not lose it (if they will that will be incident) but I am going for home win secured partially with draw. Blackburn to win

niedziela, 17 października 2010

Blackpool - City Sunday Supplement

36. Blackpool - Man City 2 @ 1,61 Pinnacle
Only two up to three clubs will be fighting for Premiership season and only two of them have money (City and Chelsea). Big pressures on Mancini to finally deliver something with his resources and fantastic pportunity to make some distance up as yesterday war predicted slaughterhouse for favourites apart from Tottenham which had an offside goal (Gallas) and that goal denied us jackpot. Strong offensive lineup for City and Blackpool definitely will play attacking style. I rely on Joe Hart and lethal counterattacks from Tevez apart from attacking style of City. I was suppused to play nothing more but after studying solid squad of MC and free money delivered by Everton (bet of the week with big confidence) This time I am choosing the favourites here. Straight away win is the best bet here . Away win

sobota, 16 października 2010

Pick of the week!!

35. Everton - Liverpool 1 @ 2,65 Pinnacle
With a win at Birmigham Evertou the usually slowly starters began turning things around. Club is stable, manager once again proved me wrong and seems to stay with club and Everton is really well organised. I could have some reservations about lineup 4-5-1 even at home games with bottom teams which denies winning convincingly.
Liverpool saga about taking over seems to have and and and even if the future may be bright without new signings this team just can not target highest achievements. Roy Hodgson is good but maybe for bottom clubs, if Liverpool has high aspirations managers must be ot good but excellent, one of the top managers in the world. Squad is not deep, some players are tired, Torres has bad healths conditions from time to time. Even if takeover is a good kickstart for the club I doubt they achieve wins anytime soon with this squad. They can not count on mercy on Merseyside derby.
Absolute cracker game for today let's hope Everton will take advantage of Liverpool turmoil. Home win
I will not touch the second game because one of my main sins is that I stick for or against club - maybe it's sometimes profitable but clubs like Tottenham and Man City are winning a lot in the last times. I personally doubt Blackpool wil lose this game but no bet.
Have a nice day

Premiership picks for weekend 16-17.10.2010

30. Arsenal - Birmingham over 3 @ 1,9 Pinnacle
31. Fulham - Tottenham Fulham + 0.5 @ 1,58 188bet
32. MU - WBA WBA +1,75 @ 1,9 SBObet
33. Wolves - West Ham 2 @ 3,52 Pinnacle
34. Aston Villa - Chelsea Aston Villa + 0.75 @ 1,77 Expekt


A few words as usual ;)
Arsenal in big injury crisis; also they have shaky and unstable goalkeepeers which make fans scared everytime they touch the ball. In scenario 'over 3 goals' we have: fried or scrambled eggs by Arsenal (6-0 or 4-0) which is very unlikely before Champions league games or high scoring draw - another Arsenal defeat is hard to imagine. With Cameron Jerome, Zigic or MacFadden they have strikeforce able to hurt unstable defence of hosts. As Arsenal plays at home we can also be certain they will create twenty something situations, hopefully they will cover line.
75 % of Tottenham power represents new signing Rafael Van Der Vaart. He wol game with Aston Villa through one man show and this club owes me something. Before CL midweek they can save top strikers and Fulham unbeaten this season this game has draw painted all over the pitch.
Wolves are s(t)inking towards Championship steadily, they started good but only win was with depleted Sunderland at that time. West Ham after extremely tough schedule and unlucky defeat with Bolton started collecting pints. This is relegation battle and Wolves are not favourites at all.
MU is also sinking (of course let's save proportions for them sinking is fourth place). Rooney is over there - totally bad form and I really doubt he will ever be pitched maybe for some kind of farewell game nothing mre. Valencia out and strikeforce relies on Berbatov. WBA sensation of the season after very tough schedule just behind Champions League spot and hopefully they will survive and get something of this game. United are vulnerable at the moment and they will have ifficulties to sign notable players as debts are at critical level.
Chelsea has only two days rest until Spartak game and draw for them will definitely not be a tragedy. Big chance to rest strikers, anyone can check squad before kickoff but I am going for Villa. They are still power at home and very inconvenient rival for Chelsea.  I see the score 2-1 for the Villains but let's take huge handicap in current situation.
Good luck for today and tomorrow BET OF THE WEEK with big confidence. Have a nice day

poniedziałek, 11 października 2010

EM 2012 Qualifiers 2010.10.12

28. England - Montenegro under 2,75 @ 1,9 bet365
29. Scotland - Spain 2 +
Faroe  Islands - Northern Ireland 2 @ 1,86 Unibet

I see England game as a similarity between games on WC with Algeria or Slovenia, not sure they score goal or not but hard to see guest scoring and in current squad crisis 1-0 is completely satisfying.
Scotland this time can be overish Levein announces changes in formation so Spaniards if only a bit improve their efficiency will score at least three.
Northern Ireland very good start and also huge gap between teams. Away wins