Serie B Trapani - Modena draw 2,87 live
Draw makes everyone happy
sobota, 9 maja 2015
Potential trap for today
Aston Villa - West Ham potential trap by bookies away win DNB 3,41 5dimes
Some thing is unexplainable, everything indicates home win as a matter of motivation and it was my initial lean until now. I can not say everything openly but today I completely changed my mind and am on West Ham Draw No Bet.
I realise this is not the 'winner in any case' bet (every second maybe lol) but consistent picking such results means I am immortal in this business for years despite shameful defeats like Cameron one recently (but still a glee he will have to declare EU referendum he is in fact europhile).
Roy Keane, ex Aston Villa No 2 (joke manager himself) publish autobiography this week claiming 'best manager in the world - or in Europe at least) in which discovered Tim Sherwood is not such a superhero like he paints himself. Look:http://www1.skysports.com/football/n...e-paul-lambert
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/foo...rt-sacked.html
http://www.birminghammail.co.uk/spor...e-says-9191261
It can be of course cry baby but it is absolutely fact and you will not read it widely Tim Sherwood is a joke manager, just pushed in media because 1. he is young 2. he is English. Look at the last speech of the miracle man
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/32665990
What drugs is he in? Read comment of ordinary people you will see even clearer picture someone got a big credit he will fail to repay on many occasions. They got couple of wins I still question this one with West Bromwich, Everton motivation and Liverpool when Gerrard plays anyone beats them recently. All their wins were lucky/opposition had no motivation/make fundamental mistakes while defeats clearly showed weaknesses this clown and his team.
Yes for Aston Villa reasons are: great spirit, roll, atmosphere, Benteke wake up. However I am going for something unexplainable finding every reason to support my pseudotheories we will see after final whistle. I was wrong with Bayern but that pick was written before afternoon and went for work after did not study informations coming. And I lost heavily, this time whole weekend ahead and I already changed mind.
West Ham - why then? You know who is majority of today's bettors on. Team having to win does not have to win. Aston Villa is a bit on a high and expectation is they easily beat West Ham. But they are no mugs, can defend, can give performance, they did not lose at 'must win' QPR.
And ONE OF MY MOST IMPORTANT SENTENCES. NOTHING HAPPENS TWICE. Aston Villa last week at home against unmotivated oppolent and they won, thank you I was on their side. Now the same case: Aston Villa at home against unmotivated opponen, everyone's logic is obvious home win. I fell int trap of such thinking and lost spectacularly this is potential trap. This is not end of the world if Aston Villa loses today, still Sunderland is main favourite to go down as looks like the league is playing against them (Crystal Palace losing to Hull at home week after winning 4-1 at Sunderland etc). Villa will be safe, this is club 'too big to fail' will be put on sale in the summer, but no way West Ham will come here to give them easy points. West Ham owners are ex Birmingham City owners and are banned and persona non gratas in Birmingham (does not matter it was rival club they are hated there) and they will not make a pleasure to any host team. I take West Ham draw no bet 3,41 5dimes. Scores 1-3 2-4 for fun.
Some thing is unexplainable, everything indicates home win as a matter of motivation and it was my initial lean until now. I can not say everything openly but today I completely changed my mind and am on West Ham Draw No Bet.
I realise this is not the 'winner in any case' bet (every second maybe lol) but consistent picking such results means I am immortal in this business for years despite shameful defeats like Cameron one recently (but still a glee he will have to declare EU referendum he is in fact europhile).
Roy Keane, ex Aston Villa No 2 (joke manager himself) publish autobiography this week claiming 'best manager in the world - or in Europe at least) in which discovered Tim Sherwood is not such a superhero like he paints himself. Look:http://www1.skysports.com/football/n...e-paul-lambert
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/foo...rt-sacked.html
http://www.birminghammail.co.uk/spor...e-says-9191261
It can be of course cry baby but it is absolutely fact and you will not read it widely Tim Sherwood is a joke manager, just pushed in media because 1. he is young 2. he is English. Look at the last speech of the miracle man
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/32665990
What drugs is he in? Read comment of ordinary people you will see even clearer picture someone got a big credit he will fail to repay on many occasions. They got couple of wins I still question this one with West Bromwich, Everton motivation and Liverpool when Gerrard plays anyone beats them recently. All their wins were lucky/opposition had no motivation/make fundamental mistakes while defeats clearly showed weaknesses this clown and his team.
Yes for Aston Villa reasons are: great spirit, roll, atmosphere, Benteke wake up. However I am going for something unexplainable finding every reason to support my pseudotheories we will see after final whistle. I was wrong with Bayern but that pick was written before afternoon and went for work after did not study informations coming. And I lost heavily, this time whole weekend ahead and I already changed mind.
West Ham - why then? You know who is majority of today's bettors on. Team having to win does not have to win. Aston Villa is a bit on a high and expectation is they easily beat West Ham. But they are no mugs, can defend, can give performance, they did not lose at 'must win' QPR.
And ONE OF MY MOST IMPORTANT SENTENCES. NOTHING HAPPENS TWICE. Aston Villa last week at home against unmotivated oppolent and they won, thank you I was on their side. Now the same case: Aston Villa at home against unmotivated opponen, everyone's logic is obvious home win. I fell int trap of such thinking and lost spectacularly this is potential trap. This is not end of the world if Aston Villa loses today, still Sunderland is main favourite to go down as looks like the league is playing against them (Crystal Palace losing to Hull at home week after winning 4-1 at Sunderland etc). Villa will be safe, this is club 'too big to fail' will be put on sale in the summer, but no way West Ham will come here to give them easy points. West Ham owners are ex Birmingham City owners and are banned and persona non gratas in Birmingham (does not matter it was rival club they are hated there) and they will not make a pleasure to any host team. I take West Ham draw no bet 3,41 5dimes. Scores 1-3 2-4 for fun.
piątek, 8 maja 2015
Newcastle should get points under the table - too big to fail!
Newcastle - West Brom home win 2,62 BetVictor
Newcastle - West Brom under 2,5 1,75 5dimes
I was on Newcastle last week and they totally surrended game at Leicester, threw the towel. That game should result in suspension of half of the team, Mike Williamson got deliberate red card, he is finished in a team, many players did not fight at all. I think in sport it should be some incentive based contracts as some players get money for nothing and this is a big mistake.
Situation is complicated in the club, search in manager in panic, but even such a loser like SteveMcClaren refused to come, even he senses it is a faied project.
But Leicester had motivation to win that game as they fight for safety and do it very good. West Brom has safety guaranteed and will definitely die on the pitch. Footballers in Midlands are all around charity and sponsorship parties, season is over for Wolves and practically West Brom, safety guaranteed, chill out.
And to be honest my pick are often based in 'politics and background'. Although Newcastle is shambles, club is a laughing stock, you should never forget club is being run well in terms of finances. They bring cheap players, make spectacular sale from time ot time, save on everything (take bin man (or tea maker as papers say) as a manager) and they get stable money from TV, sponsors which are shady like Wonga. And only long terms are frustrated because this is business, not a club anymore. And it is still good business and I believe although Mike Ashley is incompetent when it goes to club managing he is a hell of businessman and I believe all things behind the curtain will be done to avoid the drop. This is not the first case club too weak for Premiership (and rotten) could be safe thanks to good fixtures towards the end of season. This is situation everyone knows club deserves to get down, somehow they get away with the drop (West Ham 2007, Fulham 2008, Aston Villa three times). Some clubs are big, too big to fall and it would be big losses if club like this go down, so they should take care of safety. Situation is simple someone will lose to big and in his own interest is to avoid it. I will have no proof but we have a clear case of this situation and I rely on rich businessman's skills to some 'manual handling techniques' and I hope for Newcastle win. Papis Cisse is back, ideal moment to make one action hero, the rest, media hype, fans etc is a secondary.
Home win in Newcastle and if they fail I will and go down I will have a big glee much igger than units lost as Newcastle will lose tens of millions. It is the same case I was big on Cameron loss, he won and he has to declare EU referendum, something he does not like but he has no choice. Newcastle big fans protests, financial losses and of course public relations one if they go down. This club has to stay in the league. Home win, something like 1-0 despite all the Newcastle failure I am on money scenario
Newcastle - West Brom under 2,5 1,75 5dimes
I was on Newcastle last week and they totally surrended game at Leicester, threw the towel. That game should result in suspension of half of the team, Mike Williamson got deliberate red card, he is finished in a team, many players did not fight at all. I think in sport it should be some incentive based contracts as some players get money for nothing and this is a big mistake.
Situation is complicated in the club, search in manager in panic, but even such a loser like SteveMcClaren refused to come, even he senses it is a faied project.
But Leicester had motivation to win that game as they fight for safety and do it very good. West Brom has safety guaranteed and will definitely die on the pitch. Footballers in Midlands are all around charity and sponsorship parties, season is over for Wolves and practically West Brom, safety guaranteed, chill out.
And to be honest my pick are often based in 'politics and background'. Although Newcastle is shambles, club is a laughing stock, you should never forget club is being run well in terms of finances. They bring cheap players, make spectacular sale from time ot time, save on everything (take bin man (or tea maker as papers say) as a manager) and they get stable money from TV, sponsors which are shady like Wonga. And only long terms are frustrated because this is business, not a club anymore. And it is still good business and I believe although Mike Ashley is incompetent when it goes to club managing he is a hell of businessman and I believe all things behind the curtain will be done to avoid the drop. This is not the first case club too weak for Premiership (and rotten) could be safe thanks to good fixtures towards the end of season. This is situation everyone knows club deserves to get down, somehow they get away with the drop (West Ham 2007, Fulham 2008, Aston Villa three times). Some clubs are big, too big to fall and it would be big losses if club like this go down, so they should take care of safety. Situation is simple someone will lose to big and in his own interest is to avoid it. I will have no proof but we have a clear case of this situation and I rely on rich businessman's skills to some 'manual handling techniques' and I hope for Newcastle win. Papis Cisse is back, ideal moment to make one action hero, the rest, media hype, fans etc is a secondary.
Home win in Newcastle and if they fail I will and go down I will have a big glee much igger than units lost as Newcastle will lose tens of millions. It is the same case I was big on Cameron loss, he won and he has to declare EU referendum, something he does not like but he has no choice. Newcastle big fans protests, financial losses and of course public relations one if they go down. This club has to stay in the league. Home win, something like 1-0 despite all the Newcastle failure I am on money scenario
Free money for any visitor today!
Orleans - Amiens home win 10/10
It is a banker
No questions.
You will see
It is a banker
No questions.
You will see
czwartek, 7 maja 2015
CAMERON WILL LOSE TODAY
20/10 bet!!
Ed Milliband PM after election
Big day in politics today and I am all the way on 'Ed Milliband PM after election'. This is the biggest bet in my entire history as I am 99% confident Cameron will be defeated today. Pick Ed Milband PM after election (please bear in mind and be careful - do not take bet Ed Miliband next PM as this may be settled in five years.
Regional seat bets
F. Stevenage constituency winner Labour 2,37
Conservative candidate got elected thanks to national swing in 2010 rather this own personality which is close to nothing. He made some media presences which paint his picture as an operative local but everything including Lister Hospital funds were formality as it was all thanks to his boys were in power. I predict swing there in 201 into Labour - easy
G. Redditch - Karen Lumley won thanks to national swing AND Jacqui Smith affair (her husband bought porn movies and declared as public expenses). Jacqui Smith ws horribly double humiliated there and she had to step down and be forgotten. New new Labour candidate, I guess all the standard buzz and Labour to win here 4,33 goes for me. This is quite affluen area and winning by Labour is absolutely not certain but if Labour won there in 2005 that should be enough or very closely enough to win in 2015. Karen Lumley did more than little to retain her seat .Red card from me to her
H. Dudley North - Labour win is a banker 1,25
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/...ot-allegations
If Labour won in 2010 (ok slightly) they will sweep the Tories here especially after shaken Tory candidate by EDL deal affair. I guess they stood some no namer, maybe even prachuter but this is certain Labour win.
I. Walsall North Labour win (1,28). The same story, Labour won 2010 so they win today with swing into their side I know how life looks here.
Sandwell all three seats to Labour, no doubt about this but odds rubbish
J. Wolverhampton South West Labour 1,25
In general even if Labour would have name a horse or rabbit as their candidate in West Midlands, this would be a winner. Of course there are some places like Stratford Upon Avon, Solihull or Sutton Couldfield where Conservatives will retain seats but those are affluen areas, let's call them 'Surrey of West Midlands'.
K. Cannock Chase - Labour win 1,57.
The same case as Stevenage - swing in 2010 into Conservatives.
L. Norwich North - Labour 2.10.
There are some seats where Tory candidates used national swing in 2010 and can be easily beaten back by Labour even if they put a horse. Pseudopersonalities like Justine Greening or Chloe Smith are just women without political background and experience thrown into deep water and got hard if they thought life in politics is as easy as life in Pricewaterhouse Coopers or Delloite etc. Got burned and Chloe Smith and Justine Greening from Putney can be grilled in a minute and they will have hard to defend Norwich North and I wonder why Justine Greening is 1,01 in Putney. Maybe Greening will win but Labour will come lose.
Look how Jeremy Paxman grills such sweeties
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bddWaHuxTzc
If you watch this you will see that at closer look Norwich North will not be defended even if Chloe Smith is in government
Ed Milliband PM after election
Big day in politics today and I am all the way on 'Ed Milliband PM after election'. This is the biggest bet in my entire history as I am 99% confident Cameron will be defeated today. Pick Ed Milband PM after election (please bear in mind and be careful - do not take bet Ed Miliband next PM as this may be settled in five years.
Regional seat bets
F. Stevenage constituency winner Labour 2,37
Conservative candidate got elected thanks to national swing in 2010 rather this own personality which is close to nothing. He made some media presences which paint his picture as an operative local but everything including Lister Hospital funds were formality as it was all thanks to his boys were in power. I predict swing there in 201 into Labour - easy
G. Redditch - Karen Lumley won thanks to national swing AND Jacqui Smith affair (her husband bought porn movies and declared as public expenses). Jacqui Smith ws horribly double humiliated there and she had to step down and be forgotten. New new Labour candidate, I guess all the standard buzz and Labour to win here 4,33 goes for me. This is quite affluen area and winning by Labour is absolutely not certain but if Labour won there in 2005 that should be enough or very closely enough to win in 2015. Karen Lumley did more than little to retain her seat .Red card from me to her
H. Dudley North - Labour win is a banker 1,25
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/...ot-allegations
If Labour won in 2010 (ok slightly) they will sweep the Tories here especially after shaken Tory candidate by EDL deal affair. I guess they stood some no namer, maybe even prachuter but this is certain Labour win.
I. Walsall North Labour win (1,28). The same story, Labour won 2010 so they win today with swing into their side I know how life looks here.
Sandwell all three seats to Labour, no doubt about this but odds rubbish
J. Wolverhampton South West Labour 1,25
In general even if Labour would have name a horse or rabbit as their candidate in West Midlands, this would be a winner. Of course there are some places like Stratford Upon Avon, Solihull or Sutton Couldfield where Conservatives will retain seats but those are affluen areas, let's call them 'Surrey of West Midlands'.
K. Cannock Chase - Labour win 1,57.
The same case as Stevenage - swing in 2010 into Conservatives.
L. Norwich North - Labour 2.10.
There are some seats where Tory candidates used national swing in 2010 and can be easily beaten back by Labour even if they put a horse. Pseudopersonalities like Justine Greening or Chloe Smith are just women without political background and experience thrown into deep water and got hard if they thought life in politics is as easy as life in Pricewaterhouse Coopers or Delloite etc. Got burned and Chloe Smith and Justine Greening from Putney can be grilled in a minute and they will have hard to defend Norwich North and I wonder why Justine Greening is 1,01 in Putney. Maybe Greening will win but Labour will come lose.
Look how Jeremy Paxman grills such sweeties
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bddWaHuxTzc
If you watch this you will see that at closer look Norwich North will not be defended even if Chloe Smith is in government
poniedziałek, 4 maja 2015
Swedish football AIK - Hammarby
Probably only one football tip for today. But very, very high confidence - this is no fix by any means but it will be home win if my formula works.
AIK - Hammarby home win 1,72 188bet I could colour it green now. But still only 10/10.
There will be definitely US Sports picks later today so stay tuned
Remember ldips@yahoo.com is the best way to win
It was easy wasn't?
AIK - Hammarby home win 1,72 188bet I could colour it green now. But still only 10/10.
There will be definitely US Sports picks later today so stay tuned
Remember ldips@yahoo.com is the best way to win
It was easy wasn't?
UK Elections 7 May 2015
Ladies and gentlemen
Time for political bets as UK election is on the 7th of May 2015.
Before I will publish my picks I will explain some facts for people that are not familiar with political life (and most of them stay far away and have good reasons for it) but there is opportunity to make some easy money as public opinion is consistently biased and manipulated by media and I will try to exploit that fact.
This is insider knowledge and based on my own experience
Histoical background - facts.
1. UK has coalition government elected in 2010 formed by Conservative Party and Liberal Democrats.
2. Conservative Party won last election (got most seats but failed to win overall majority) thanks to three reasons:
- huge economic crisis in 2008-9, bank bailouts, etc etc I'm sure everybody knows, but more here
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_crisis_of_2007–08
- huge expenses scandal where newspapers exposed some shady habits of MPs and House of Lords members
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_parliamentary_expenses_scandal
Those habits were common in every party but it particularly hit Labour Party as this party mainly goes to power to make their representatives and their families rich by sucking public money. They always state they are 'labour people' representative while in fact most of their top officials are from rich families, well educated and introduced into politics world, like Ed Milliband. Huge majority of Labour Party especially lower tiers go into politics to turn their life rich and they do not care about labour people at all. They always will want to increase taxes or budget as this creates more opportunities for them and their families into lucrative jobs and contracts.
- huge media campaign, particularly Rupert Murdoch's ones which made a swing in support sensing political overall swing after 13 years of uncontested Labour government.
Rupert Murdoch is a media mogul, most influential person in UK media owning most popular newspaper The Sun and Sky television.
Over the years Rupert Murdoch's media were hacking into celebrities and politicals phone account, bribing police officers and getting top information. More here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_International_phone_hacking_scandal
The thing is Rupert Mardoch is a huge David Cameron fan or they made a deal (I think rather the second one) RUPERT MURDOCH MEDIA WILL HELP CONSERVATIVES TO WIN ELECTION FOR COVER UP AND SWEEPING THIS SCANDAL UNDER THE CARPET.
This is a long story and a bit complicated at the first side but just two people:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rebekah_Brooks
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeremy_Hunt_%28politician%29
The first one is long term News of the World and Sun editor and David Cameron neighbor meeting him many times privately and exchanging messages like 'we are all in this together'
https://www.google.co.uk/search?client=opera&q=rebekah+brooks+david+cameron&sourceid=opera&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8[/url]
[url]http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/revealed-the-texts-between-cameron-and-brooks-8280606.html
http://www.itv.com/news/2012-11-04/text-messages-between-david-cameron-and-rebekah-brooks-revealed/
However both Rebekah Brooks and David Cameron escaped responsibility for that as they (or power who stay beyond them) are too powerful.
The second one was Rupert Murdoch's bell boy in UK government while being Culture Secretary - paving a wide way for Rupert Murdoch lobbing for a change in law which would allow Murdoch buy biggest british newspaper News International.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leveson_Inquiry
He also managed to get away as he was promoted for Health Secretary in government reshuffle and now has a budget something like 200 bn a year.
This is how things work. Long story but I try to make things clear as everything is very clear after careful research. Murdoch media made huge campaigh in favour of David Cameron, furthermore they helped to create Nick Clegg - Liberal Democrats leader and helped Lib Dems to rise as they took away huge chunk of Labour Voters. Labour would have lost election sooner or later, all media campaign sped all changes up.
You can not underestimate Rupert Murdoch Media in connection with UK politics as they are for 'blue collar' working people and massively represent working people from lower class which are decisive factor in UK politics.
4. Please bear in mind despite this huge bias by mainstream UK media, raging parliamentary expenses scandal which sent many Labour officials to prison or ousted from politics and significant change for worse for ordinary people (no wages rise, but still inflation) Conservatives FAILED TO WIN A MAJORITY. This was very unconvincing win as Labour should be swept in normal circumstances they remain quite strong in position to strike back in 2015 and they have a real chance to strike back.
5. All the parties like Labour, Conservatives or Liberal Democrats do actually the same politics, people staying in the shadow are more important and those parties make basically show to create false impression voting people have real influence on something. UKIP claims exactly what I claim but it is true (the thing is I don't know maybe UKIP are also in this gang but never had chance to show this). There are some issues Britain will be pushed into by US which are steering this country for decades
- UK have been pushed into Iraq war - if Conservatives would be in power that time UK would go for war even faster than Tony Blair and Labour would oppose
- bankers responsible for economic crisis were not punished but managed to escape and got even bonuses for situation they created and were rescued by public money - this would have happened as international finances are not really steered in London
- UK is 'so independent country' that even the oli price in London is IN DOLLARS
This is a long story but basically UK as a country or voting people have nothing to say in contemporary world and all we see in media is a show.
6. UK has to stay in the European Union despite overwhelming majority of people would vote 'Britain OUT of the EU'
This is a banker and there is no discussion as people from the shadow said this and they will not let UKIP rise into power. To allow an EU referendum (that means 100% people will vote EU exit) we need 325 votes
Out of four-five main political parties in the UK:
- Labour - oppose referendum and will not let it (something like 280 - 380 votes)
- Lib Dems - the biggest europhiles, would not allow referendum (a lot of stipulations) - but they can only be in coalition as they will get something like 15-30 votes (currently 57)
- Conservatives - they say they will allow referendum if they win power - ZERO CHANCES FOR THIS SCENARIO. They will not get majority win this is out of question.
- UKIP - 'UK out of EU' but they will not get more than 10-15 seats and have nothing to say here
- Scottish National Party - total europhiles, as Lib Dems, this is a more radical version of Labour Party.
Conclusion is EVEN IF CONSERVATIVES SHOUT ABOUT REFERENDUM THIS IS A FALSE NOTE. AND THEY ARE SURELY NOT ALLOWED TO DO THIS BY PEOPLE FROM THE SHADOW. EU referendum scenario after election is not a reality as people would have voted UK out of the EU but this is not to be decide by british voters.
Second conclusion is even if Conservatives will win election (get most votes only, overall majority is out of their reach) they have not allies to make EU vote through as Lib Dems will basically oppose and UKIP will not get many seats. If Labour wins referendum idea is binned straight away.
7. Scottish issue and rise of SNP.
Scotland is part of the United Kingdom and out of 650 something House of Commons seats they have guaranteed 69 seats. This is not majority to rule the UK but scottish seats are much different than English ones and this part of the UK has much more to say in the UK as they should for many years as they could overturn elections and make a big two (Conservative or Labour) swing.
Basically Scotland is privileged in the UK, gets much more than they contribute (Barnett formula) and still shout they are better alone. This is total joke but some radicals get media hape and people still think Scotland is harmed watching media propaganda while Scotland is actually country on benefits (free prescriptions, much better care rules, free universities - in UK 9.000 a year). This is out of question Scotland benefits from being the part of the EU.
Look what happened: Scots got a referendum In/Out EU because PEOPLE STEERING UK POLITICS KNEW NO WAY SCOTS WILL VOTE FOR UK EXIT. So people (only in Scotland) got a referendum, voted as they do (must be suicider to cut stream of perks) but main party for Scotland Leaving UK got their media presence and attention.
THIS IS ALMOST CERTAINLY ENGLAND WOULD VOTE SCOTLAND OUT OF THE UK BUT ENGLISH PEOPLE WERE NOT ALLOWED TO VOTE. Which I think it is unfair as when we have an union or marriage BOTH SIDES SHOULD BE ASKED IF THEY AGREE.
Look Scotland and England is like marriage frog with horse. Frog was asked if wants the marriage (and get all the benefits of it) why horse - 10 times bigger have nothing to say in this issue.
Scottish National Party is strongly promoted in media now just like Lib Dems in 2010 (although in left wing medias mainly like BBC) because they surely oppose EU referendum but this is no matter if they or Labour win scottish seats as parties are the same. They do not really want Scotland out of UK because Scotland will go bankrupt months after secession they just want noise and benefits for Scotland and party members and their families. Anyway this kills any chance for Conservative single seat in Scotland and makes 'EU referendum' even more impossible
8. Huge campaign in Rupert Media (and even BBC must take digits into account) that Conservatives managed to turn economy around and they are correct people to be reelected and deserve five more years 'to finish the good things they started'
This consistant process made election from certain Labour win to most unpredictable result in years (according to the media). The facts:
- Conservatives claim they started to pay back UK Debt while in fact they only borrow less new money than Labour (but still not only do not pay debt back but they borrow new money)
[url]http://blogs.channel4.com/factcheck/cameron-busted-on-debt-claims/12556[/url]
Like it was a trillion debt when Cameron came into power and now is something like 1,4 trillion (Labour made debt from 200 bn to 900 bn, while Conservatives increased it to 1,4 bn) and Cameron dares to say 'they pay debt back'
- Conservatives increases VAT from 17,5 % to 20% and it almost wipes out increased income tax threshold.
9. Working people will decide election result.
Let's try to be in 'working people blue collar' skin and try how do they feel.
They are certainly outraged at current government and have reason to be so. They are manipulated that migrants are source of their problems while crisis was provoked by international banksters but they do not understand it and this is why they are encouraged gently to Vote Cameron as they hear he is main EU opponent. Totally ridiculous
This is not enough in my opinion. They see living costs growing, pension and wages stagnation, house price increases, queues in hospitals, benefits cuts and especially English people feel rightly harmed they contributed to the economy so long and see migrants coming and getting social housing out of the blue.
9.Undecided voters. There is deep feeling England is under represented in UK, injustice in social services and public sector unaffordable. Life is becoming tougher in UK and 99% will agree with this. How do these people vote? THEY WILL OPPOSE CURRENT GOVERNMENT. If they vote, they will vote Labour or UKIP.
General conclusions
1. Conservatives will get much less than you can see in media (and bookies) - odds are inflated by manipulated by media people.
2. Labour will get more than expected.
3. SNP will get less as they are hugely promoted in recent times, they will have to share scottish votes with Labour
4. Liberal Democrates will be obliterated in next election as their leader is proven liar (tuition fees Nick Clegg google it) and they will pay the price for being in a government. They have some certain areas when they will do well I will analyse it later and will set my own line for their MPs. This will be better line than any bookmaker can do.
5. UKIP setback. They have had huge success in 2014 EU Paramentary elections, as well s local ones, but they failed to discount that success. Partially it is their fault, partially not (they do not have strong media background like Conservatives (Murdoch) or Labour (BBC) and are only invited and allowd to make noise when they are allowed). This election is out of their reach - I can not see them getting much on the 7th of May.
So my bets will be basically Labour more than you can see in polls, Conservatives less, SNP definitely less as they are party of moment pushed like LibDems in 2010 and I will set my own line as I will challenge bookmaker lines on their seats
Have a good day bets will follow
Time for political bets as UK election is on the 7th of May 2015.
Before I will publish my picks I will explain some facts for people that are not familiar with political life (and most of them stay far away and have good reasons for it) but there is opportunity to make some easy money as public opinion is consistently biased and manipulated by media and I will try to exploit that fact.
This is insider knowledge and based on my own experience
Histoical background - facts.
1. UK has coalition government elected in 2010 formed by Conservative Party and Liberal Democrats.
2. Conservative Party won last election (got most seats but failed to win overall majority) thanks to three reasons:
- huge economic crisis in 2008-9, bank bailouts, etc etc I'm sure everybody knows, but more here
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_crisis_of_2007–08
- huge expenses scandal where newspapers exposed some shady habits of MPs and House of Lords members
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_parliamentary_expenses_scandal
Those habits were common in every party but it particularly hit Labour Party as this party mainly goes to power to make their representatives and their families rich by sucking public money. They always state they are 'labour people' representative while in fact most of their top officials are from rich families, well educated and introduced into politics world, like Ed Milliband. Huge majority of Labour Party especially lower tiers go into politics to turn their life rich and they do not care about labour people at all. They always will want to increase taxes or budget as this creates more opportunities for them and their families into lucrative jobs and contracts.
- huge media campaign, particularly Rupert Murdoch's ones which made a swing in support sensing political overall swing after 13 years of uncontested Labour government.
Rupert Murdoch is a media mogul, most influential person in UK media owning most popular newspaper The Sun and Sky television.
Over the years Rupert Murdoch's media were hacking into celebrities and politicals phone account, bribing police officers and getting top information. More here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_International_phone_hacking_scandal
The thing is Rupert Mardoch is a huge David Cameron fan or they made a deal (I think rather the second one) RUPERT MURDOCH MEDIA WILL HELP CONSERVATIVES TO WIN ELECTION FOR COVER UP AND SWEEPING THIS SCANDAL UNDER THE CARPET.
This is a long story and a bit complicated at the first side but just two people:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rebekah_Brooks
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeremy_Hunt_%28politician%29
The first one is long term News of the World and Sun editor and David Cameron neighbor meeting him many times privately and exchanging messages like 'we are all in this together'
https://www.google.co.uk/search?client=opera&q=rebekah+brooks+david+cameron&sourceid=opera&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8[/url]
[url]http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/revealed-the-texts-between-cameron-and-brooks-8280606.html
http://www.itv.com/news/2012-11-04/text-messages-between-david-cameron-and-rebekah-brooks-revealed/
However both Rebekah Brooks and David Cameron escaped responsibility for that as they (or power who stay beyond them) are too powerful.
The second one was Rupert Murdoch's bell boy in UK government while being Culture Secretary - paving a wide way for Rupert Murdoch lobbing for a change in law which would allow Murdoch buy biggest british newspaper News International.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leveson_Inquiry
He also managed to get away as he was promoted for Health Secretary in government reshuffle and now has a budget something like 200 bn a year.
This is how things work. Long story but I try to make things clear as everything is very clear after careful research. Murdoch media made huge campaigh in favour of David Cameron, furthermore they helped to create Nick Clegg - Liberal Democrats leader and helped Lib Dems to rise as they took away huge chunk of Labour Voters. Labour would have lost election sooner or later, all media campaign sped all changes up.
You can not underestimate Rupert Murdoch Media in connection with UK politics as they are for 'blue collar' working people and massively represent working people from lower class which are decisive factor in UK politics.
4. Please bear in mind despite this huge bias by mainstream UK media, raging parliamentary expenses scandal which sent many Labour officials to prison or ousted from politics and significant change for worse for ordinary people (no wages rise, but still inflation) Conservatives FAILED TO WIN A MAJORITY. This was very unconvincing win as Labour should be swept in normal circumstances they remain quite strong in position to strike back in 2015 and they have a real chance to strike back.
5. All the parties like Labour, Conservatives or Liberal Democrats do actually the same politics, people staying in the shadow are more important and those parties make basically show to create false impression voting people have real influence on something. UKIP claims exactly what I claim but it is true (the thing is I don't know maybe UKIP are also in this gang but never had chance to show this). There are some issues Britain will be pushed into by US which are steering this country for decades
- UK have been pushed into Iraq war - if Conservatives would be in power that time UK would go for war even faster than Tony Blair and Labour would oppose
- bankers responsible for economic crisis were not punished but managed to escape and got even bonuses for situation they created and were rescued by public money - this would have happened as international finances are not really steered in London
- UK is 'so independent country' that even the oli price in London is IN DOLLARS
This is a long story but basically UK as a country or voting people have nothing to say in contemporary world and all we see in media is a show.
6. UK has to stay in the European Union despite overwhelming majority of people would vote 'Britain OUT of the EU'
This is a banker and there is no discussion as people from the shadow said this and they will not let UKIP rise into power. To allow an EU referendum (that means 100% people will vote EU exit) we need 325 votes
Out of four-five main political parties in the UK:
- Labour - oppose referendum and will not let it (something like 280 - 380 votes)
- Lib Dems - the biggest europhiles, would not allow referendum (a lot of stipulations) - but they can only be in coalition as they will get something like 15-30 votes (currently 57)
- Conservatives - they say they will allow referendum if they win power - ZERO CHANCES FOR THIS SCENARIO. They will not get majority win this is out of question.
- UKIP - 'UK out of EU' but they will not get more than 10-15 seats and have nothing to say here
- Scottish National Party - total europhiles, as Lib Dems, this is a more radical version of Labour Party.
Conclusion is EVEN IF CONSERVATIVES SHOUT ABOUT REFERENDUM THIS IS A FALSE NOTE. AND THEY ARE SURELY NOT ALLOWED TO DO THIS BY PEOPLE FROM THE SHADOW. EU referendum scenario after election is not a reality as people would have voted UK out of the EU but this is not to be decide by british voters.
Second conclusion is even if Conservatives will win election (get most votes only, overall majority is out of their reach) they have not allies to make EU vote through as Lib Dems will basically oppose and UKIP will not get many seats. If Labour wins referendum idea is binned straight away.
7. Scottish issue and rise of SNP.
Scotland is part of the United Kingdom and out of 650 something House of Commons seats they have guaranteed 69 seats. This is not majority to rule the UK but scottish seats are much different than English ones and this part of the UK has much more to say in the UK as they should for many years as they could overturn elections and make a big two (Conservative or Labour) swing.
Basically Scotland is privileged in the UK, gets much more than they contribute (Barnett formula) and still shout they are better alone. This is total joke but some radicals get media hape and people still think Scotland is harmed watching media propaganda while Scotland is actually country on benefits (free prescriptions, much better care rules, free universities - in UK 9.000 a year). This is out of question Scotland benefits from being the part of the EU.
Look what happened: Scots got a referendum In/Out EU because PEOPLE STEERING UK POLITICS KNEW NO WAY SCOTS WILL VOTE FOR UK EXIT. So people (only in Scotland) got a referendum, voted as they do (must be suicider to cut stream of perks) but main party for Scotland Leaving UK got their media presence and attention.
THIS IS ALMOST CERTAINLY ENGLAND WOULD VOTE SCOTLAND OUT OF THE UK BUT ENGLISH PEOPLE WERE NOT ALLOWED TO VOTE. Which I think it is unfair as when we have an union or marriage BOTH SIDES SHOULD BE ASKED IF THEY AGREE.
Look Scotland and England is like marriage frog with horse. Frog was asked if wants the marriage (and get all the benefits of it) why horse - 10 times bigger have nothing to say in this issue.
Scottish National Party is strongly promoted in media now just like Lib Dems in 2010 (although in left wing medias mainly like BBC) because they surely oppose EU referendum but this is no matter if they or Labour win scottish seats as parties are the same. They do not really want Scotland out of UK because Scotland will go bankrupt months after secession they just want noise and benefits for Scotland and party members and their families. Anyway this kills any chance for Conservative single seat in Scotland and makes 'EU referendum' even more impossible
8. Huge campaign in Rupert Media (and even BBC must take digits into account) that Conservatives managed to turn economy around and they are correct people to be reelected and deserve five more years 'to finish the good things they started'
This consistant process made election from certain Labour win to most unpredictable result in years (according to the media). The facts:
- Conservatives claim they started to pay back UK Debt while in fact they only borrow less new money than Labour (but still not only do not pay debt back but they borrow new money)
[url]http://blogs.channel4.com/factcheck/cameron-busted-on-debt-claims/12556[/url]
Like it was a trillion debt when Cameron came into power and now is something like 1,4 trillion (Labour made debt from 200 bn to 900 bn, while Conservatives increased it to 1,4 bn) and Cameron dares to say 'they pay debt back'
- Conservatives increases VAT from 17,5 % to 20% and it almost wipes out increased income tax threshold.
9. Working people will decide election result.
Let's try to be in 'working people blue collar' skin and try how do they feel.
They are certainly outraged at current government and have reason to be so. They are manipulated that migrants are source of their problems while crisis was provoked by international banksters but they do not understand it and this is why they are encouraged gently to Vote Cameron as they hear he is main EU opponent. Totally ridiculous
This is not enough in my opinion. They see living costs growing, pension and wages stagnation, house price increases, queues in hospitals, benefits cuts and especially English people feel rightly harmed they contributed to the economy so long and see migrants coming and getting social housing out of the blue.
9.Undecided voters. There is deep feeling England is under represented in UK, injustice in social services and public sector unaffordable. Life is becoming tougher in UK and 99% will agree with this. How do these people vote? THEY WILL OPPOSE CURRENT GOVERNMENT. If they vote, they will vote Labour or UKIP.
General conclusions
1. Conservatives will get much less than you can see in media (and bookies) - odds are inflated by manipulated by media people.
2. Labour will get more than expected.
3. SNP will get less as they are hugely promoted in recent times, they will have to share scottish votes with Labour
4. Liberal Democrates will be obliterated in next election as their leader is proven liar (tuition fees Nick Clegg google it) and they will pay the price for being in a government. They have some certain areas when they will do well I will analyse it later and will set my own line for their MPs. This will be better line than any bookmaker can do.
5. UKIP setback. They have had huge success in 2014 EU Paramentary elections, as well s local ones, but they failed to discount that success. Partially it is their fault, partially not (they do not have strong media background like Conservatives (Murdoch) or Labour (BBC) and are only invited and allowd to make noise when they are allowed). This election is out of their reach - I can not see them getting much on the 7th of May.
So my bets will be basically Labour more than you can see in polls, Conservatives less, SNP definitely less as they are party of moment pushed like LibDems in 2010 and I will set my own line as I will challenge bookmaker lines on their seats
Have a good day bets will follow
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