20/10 bet!!
Ed Milliband PM after election
Big day in politics today and I am all the way on 'Ed Milliband PM after election'. This is the biggest bet in my entire history as I am 99% confident Cameron will be defeated today. Pick Ed Milband PM after election (please bear in mind and be careful - do not take bet Ed Miliband next PM as this may be settled in five years.
Regional seat bets
F. Stevenage constituency winner Labour 2,37
Conservative candidate got elected thanks to national swing in 2010 rather this own personality which is close to nothing. He made some media presences which paint his picture as an operative local but everything including Lister Hospital funds were formality as it was all thanks to his boys were in power. I predict swing there in 201 into Labour - easy
G. Redditch - Karen Lumley won thanks to national swing AND Jacqui Smith affair (her husband bought porn movies and declared as public expenses). Jacqui Smith ws horribly double humiliated there and she had to step down and be forgotten. New new Labour candidate, I guess all the standard buzz and Labour to win here 4,33 goes for me. This is quite affluen area and winning by Labour is absolutely not certain but if Labour won there in 2005 that should be enough or very closely enough to win in 2015. Karen Lumley did more than little to retain her seat .Red card from me to her
H. Dudley North - Labour win is a banker 1,25
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/...ot-allegations
If Labour won in 2010 (ok slightly) they will sweep the Tories here especially after shaken Tory candidate by EDL deal affair. I guess they stood some no namer, maybe even prachuter but this is certain Labour win.
I. Walsall North Labour win (1,28). The same story, Labour won 2010 so they win today with swing into their side I know how life looks here.
Sandwell all three seats to Labour, no doubt about this but odds rubbish
J. Wolverhampton South West Labour 1,25
In general even if Labour would have name a horse or rabbit as their candidate in West Midlands, this would be a winner. Of course there are some places like Stratford Upon Avon, Solihull or Sutton Couldfield where Conservatives will retain seats but those are affluen areas, let's call them 'Surrey of West Midlands'.
K. Cannock Chase - Labour win 1,57.
The same case as Stevenage - swing in 2010 into Conservatives.
L. Norwich North - Labour 2.10.
There are some seats where Tory candidates used national swing in 2010 and can be easily beaten back by Labour even if they put a horse. Pseudopersonalities like Justine Greening or Chloe Smith are just women without political background and experience thrown into deep water and got hard if they thought life in politics is as easy as life in Pricewaterhouse Coopers or Delloite etc. Got burned and Chloe Smith and Justine Greening from Putney can be grilled in a minute and they will have hard to defend Norwich North and I wonder why Justine Greening is 1,01 in Putney. Maybe Greening will win but Labour will come lose.
Look how Jeremy Paxman grills such sweeties
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bddWaHuxTzc
If you watch this you will see that at closer look Norwich North will not be defended even if Chloe Smith is in government
Brak komentarzy:
Prześlij komentarz