US Sports 11/05

NHL Tampa Bay - Montreal Montreal ML 2,4 bet365
NBA Washington - Atlanta Washington win 2,7
NBA Memphis - Golden State away win 1,59
NBA Memphis - Golden State over 197,5 2,17 5dimes

Atlanta is utter rubbish, Washington can easily beat them again, absolutely no reason Atlanta to be favourite again.

Throughout the playoffs Atlanta Hawks very little reminds superteam of the regular season. Unconvincing win over no name team New Jersey Nets with many games down to the wire, big trouble in this series from the start. They only won Game 2 when Washington was a bit more relaxet. Game 3 Washington without John Wall, everyone expected easy Atlanta comeback, somehow they got beaten again. Final score (buzzer beater by Paul Pierce) is not representative at all as Atlanta was losing by something like 20 points and they came back to draw. This is not going to happen again, Washington will be more careful and they have veterans able to win again today. Atlanta is wobbling and hard to believe they are NBA Finals contender. Washington if play carefully have a great chance to win again and they should do it. Home win. Biggest problem of Washington are vulnerability for mistakes like attaacking foul or turnover in key moments, when they eliminate it they win very clearly.

It is not 'value on Memphis'. It must be a reason for such low odds despite they lost Game 2 (almost no one expected) and Game 3 (majority did not expect).
I think majority follows the tend in general and we see odds still lower on Golden State. If someone expect Golden State to recover it was Game 3. Now 'logic' is rather home win to win. 
And this is why Warriors will be a winner today for me. Memphis wins are combination of Conley heroic (will not be fully fit) and Golden State awful 3pt percentage (this is going to improve). Golden State win 1,52. Over 196,5 2,03. Golden State must and will improve their threepointers. No tragedy also for Memphis if they lose while very hard position for Warriors if they will


Golden State will win today.