sobota, 30 kwietnia 2011

30th April Premiership picks

236. Blackburn - Bolton 1 @ 2 Ladbrokes
237. Blackpool - Stoke 1 DNB @ 1,87
238. Sunderland - Fulham Fulham DNB @ 2,07 Canbet
239. WBA - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 0.25 @ 1,87 Expekt
240. Wigan - Everton Wigan DNB @ 2,21 188bet
241. Chelsea - Tottenham Tottenham + 1.25 @ 1,88 Pinnacle

Hi

Last week was busy and unsuccessful in picking, this one is also busy but delivered picks will have more accuracy. This time we pay attention on a motiuvational side of event as few team like Fulham, Sunderland, Aston Villa escaped relegation nightmare. There are still  alot of teams which will bite and fight till the very end, no matter that opposition will not give easy points.
To be honest odds on Blackburn are low and Blackpool is not a side to trust but sometimes must is a must especially in rich society like Premiership - I mean of course not buying games but securing places at television rights table - those money is vital for any club not only to survive but to attract and keep quality players.

WBA seems to be on a slide, Wigan is another team that 'has to do' and anyone who was watching last Chelsea game knows win was not so obvious , at least margin of it. Tottenham may surprise today and another Chelsea win by more than one goal is less certain.

I'ts a sin not to take advantage from this weather so I'm going for a day long walk, picks are ready and have a beautiful day like me. Cheers!

sobota, 23 kwietnia 2011

23 April Premiership picks

228. Man Utd - Everton Man Utd -1 @ 1,86 Canbet
229. Aston Villa - Stoke Stoke + 0.5 @ 2 bet365
230. Blackpool - Newcastle 2 @ 2,50 Pinnacle
231. Liverpool - Birmingham Birmingham + 1.25 @ 1,86 Pinnacle
232. Sunderland - Wigan Wigan + 0.5 @ 1,76 Canbet
233. Tottenham - WBA 1 @ 1,58 Paddy Power and many other bookies
234. Wolves - Fulham Fulham DNB @ 2,19 Canbet
235. Chelsea - West Ham West Ham + 2 @ 1,82 188bet

Happy Easter everybody!

Due to lack of time this time I can not afford to write a lot but let me recommend playing against Blackpool this has always reasons and future ;).
United should win easily or not and I expect finally something from West Ham defenders (and goalkeeper)

Once again good luck and les enjoy free time

środa, 20 kwietnia 2011

20. April Premiership

226. Chelsea - Birmingham Birmingham + 2 @ 2,01 188bet
227. Tottenham - Arsenal Arsenal DNB @ 1,77 188bet

Hi
no analysis today - back to work so I'm a bit excited - and lazy because of weather ;)
All the best with your picks and have a good night especially Agata :)

Cheers!

wtorek, 19 kwietnia 2011

19. April Newcastle - Man Utd

225. Newcastle - Man Utd Newcastle  +0.75 @ 2,05


Hi
no nig comments this time the main reason is I believe in strong home support and away Man Utd 'form' plus their busy  run of fixtures. Let's hope it's enough

niedziela, 17 kwietnia 2011

17. April Arsenal - Liverpool

224. Arsenal - Liverpool Liverpool + 0.75 @ 1,92 Stan James


Hi everyone


Arsenal is one of the WEAKER sides in the last time as traditional spring crisis arrived (don't know why as their stadium is perfect for sunny weather games but it happens every year and it's a matter of time catching their bad run of results).


I'm sure Liverpool can stop Arsenal mini march |(is it really a big deal to beat Blackpool last time?) with most of their performances they have given under Dalglish tenure even despite significant absentees and also considering Arsenal woeful playing style in recent games we can expect fully justified away win.


The only question is will Liverpool help Arsenal to catch their biggest rivals like Chelsea last year but I wouldn't say so. It is too early in the season to do something which may them cost Europa League places with Everton sitting on the tail, Liverpool disappointed their fans so many times and really another spectacular defeat is not in their options at all.


Arsenal have some owner's movements but this is not affecting their attitude at all with everything going normal and they are on the slide despite still close distance to United.


Even if Arsenal wins which I don't believe at this should not be win by more than one goal but I am considering draw or away win for this game - do not listen to Arsenal fans, journalist and bookmakers in this case.

sobota, 16 kwietnia 2011

16. April Premiership picks

219. Birmingham - Sunderland 1 @ 2,10 Ladbrokes
220. Blackpool - Wigan 2 @ 3,11 Pinnacle
221. Everton - Blackburn Blackburn + 0.75 @ 1,98 188bet
222. WBA - Chelsea WBA + 0.75 @ 1,97 Pinnacle
223. West Ham - Aston Villa West Ham - 0.25 @ 2,12 188bet

Hello
the less I coment the bigger accuracy so just one sentence today as I am in a middle of a pleasurable weekend - Wigan pick is a biggest confidence should win easy or not but if Wigan lose and all other picks will be correct I wouldn't be mad
Have a nice day see you tomorrow

sobota, 9 kwietnia 2011

9. April Premiership picks

212. Wolves - Everton 1 @ 2,62 PAddy Power, Stan James BET OF THE WEEK
213. Blackburn - Birmingham Blackburn -0.25 @ 1,76 Expkt
214. Bolton - West Ham West Ham + 0.5 @ 1,72 Canbet
215. Chelsea - Wigan Chelsea -1.75 @ 1,9 Expekt, 1,88 Pinnacle
216. MU - Fulham Fulham + 1.25 @ 1,73 Canbet, Expekt
217. Sunderland - WBA WBA + 0.5 @ 1,72 Canbet
218. Tottenham - Stoke 1 @ 1,75 many, many bookies half of them actually


The less I write the better accuracy of picks is but sometimes I just have to write something, somewhere...

Wolves have fantastic chance for another three points here and i'm following them this time. Checking back I bet on them four times this season and each time they won (including Liverpool away). - everybody following this thread knows how sceptical I am about this team but sometimes is a must to change mind for week or two. They (and their manager) are old foxes which focus on chosen games and we have a full right to expect it will be today - not only they have no special choice but alse Everton is throwing this game after squad analysis. Their injury list is huge and they have a space to give away and there will be no disaster if they lose or even draw today. They have a cushion and Wolves will fight for survival desperately. I believe and have a big confidence Wolves will win this game


Blackburn pick is based on motivational factor like Birmingham-Bolton or Wigan-Birmingham game and this strategy succeeded in last weeks but this time we have the lowest confidence with draw also possible scenario

Teams unexpectedly high and far in FA Cup sometimes forgetting about eague games and besides of West Ham on- and off-the-pitch factors there is a big chance Bolton will pull back in Premiership a bit especially after guaranteed survival (their chances to stay are more than 99.9 %) - about last West Ham game there could be various opinion but I skipped that game last time feeling they can lose easily especially after Carling Cup Winter game and they lost too easy. Anyway West Ham has to have motivation, have quality players and are able to get something out of this game and most probably they will get something like a draw.

It's time to get back on track for Tottenham as they still have to play Arsenal, Chelsea and City this season and beating City away, winning game in hand and matching all other City results they are in Champions LEague again (can forget already about this year's edition). Stoke will save themselves for a historic Wembley FA Cup semifinal - will avoid injuries and they have nearly 50% chances for a final of FA Cup. Tottenham have opportunity to neat counterattack and set-piece team and there will not be many easier games this season considering all circumstancies. Tottenham to win today despite all injuries

Good luck and see you tomorrow

niedziela, 3 kwietnia 2011

3rd April Premiership picks

210. Fulham - Blackpool Blackpool + 1 @ 2,25 Pinnacle
211. Man City - Sunderland Sunderland + 1 @ 2,04 188bet


Hello


it could not have been better than yesterday with board smashed again it could be worse ;)


As for today games low odds on home teams and at least one of these games will not be so easy.


Blackpool has nothing to lose but go even for a win here. We all know how Fulham is dangerous at home and after injury returnes started to play their game away. All we can expect today is a crazy game and home win is not so obvious at all. Blackpool will be dangerous and have players able to bite hosts more than once and score draw is something I expect here in this relegation clash. Maybe with season going newly promoted teams have less to surprise but I have a feeling not in this case.


Man City play as they stopped to believe they can achieve anything in the league for some time and time is proving they were wrong wit United losing games recently. It is a mentality issue they want 'not to lose with top teams'  and 'get into top four to attract even better players for next season'  such a team, maybe one of two strongest on paper and not so bad manager should go for a little bit higher targets ;) Sunderland is on a slide losing game after game (Bent selling damage them more than helped Villa) and let's be honest I don't remember be correct with pick on them but I am trying once again with pick against the odds - this time maybe with less confidence than against Arsenal but I see no reason to believe in City when they don't believe in themselves


Let's have a good day after a good day

sobota, 2 kwietnia 2011

2nd April Premiership picks

203. Birmingham - Bolton 1 @ 2,5 Ladbrokes and others
204. Eeverton - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 0.5 @ 1,88 Stan James
205. Newcastle Wolves 1 @ 2,06 Pinnacle
206. Stoke - Chelsea Stoke + 0.75 @ 1,99 VCBet
207. WBA - Liverpool WBA + 0.5 @ 1,74 Canbet
208. Wigan - Tottenham Wigan + 0.5 @ 1,71 Canbet
209. Arsenal - Blackburn Blackburn + 1,5 @ 2,4 188bet


Hello


a lot of games so one sentence analysis


Birmingham have to win a game - the question is are they able to win? For me yes - Bolton has a space to give up - in normal circumstances relaxed play helps to get better result but pressure is pressure especially in Premiership


Aston Villa game will give a clear answer is it time for Houllier to go (tooo late) r is he able to get something out of the team - I believe in motivational factor this week - also Everton has a space to give up and main striker injured. I think Villa will get something here, especially considering last week result


Tottenham before Real Madrid trip will also give a space here and that creates huge opportunity for Wigan to win a game and clear the air further - they are not done yet at all and will play at least for a draw in this fixture


Everytime after Winter it's time for me to oppose Arsenal as their traditional crisis continues. Even if they play against one of the worst sides away (and actually managerless) some magical hurdles arise on them and they are getting clinched year by year. I see harder game than all bookmakers, media and home fans see. Who is right? We'll gonna see but I am not afraid of my conclusions at all ultimately


Have a good luck and see you tomorrow