niedziela, 30 grudnia 2012

Wigan - Man Utd

159. Wigan - Man Utd 1 @ 7 Ladbrokes

Game will be tomorrow but United will surely rotate squad and might help their neighbours and  friends to avoid relegation. Wigan can surrend any game to United in any moment as they are their bitch but at the moment United have cushion and for everyone's interest is keeping league equal until the very last moment - that sells. WBA was unlucky but incredible streak of luck for United is on a verge of ending and they must lose soon - that would be even healthy for them and of course league.

One thing is sure - odds wil fall for Wigan with the time and I am on Wigan anyway. If they don't catch stupid red card in the initial moments Wigan wil give them hard test

QPR - Liverpool

158. QPR - Liverpool  home win @ 4,8 BetVictor

QPR very discriminated by referees in recent times throws all their stars today - Liverpool without Rodgers on bench

Dogfight - QPR just can not afford to lose

Everton - Chelsea

158. Everton - Chelsea home win!

My friends

if Chelsea is so tempting how can you explain opening odds like 2.50 on them?

Last three seasons
Everton Chelsea 2:1 5.21 3.56 1.69
Everton Chelsea 1:0 3.03 3.28 2.32
Everton Chelsea 2:0 3.12 3.20 2.31

And all of these games were won by Everton.

I think Chelsea away win opening odds are th highest in the history since Abramovich arrival

If away win is so 'obvious' why bookies give generous 2,50 odds?

And I still believe this chelsea team is the WEAKEST of any of those three lost games - Chelsea team in three previous seasons was stronger and still suffered defeat there

In Chelsea Lampard may be gone in January players may rebel

Chelsea optimists rely on Fellaini suspension and good run of Chelsea recently. I am sure Everton will not give easy game - they always fight till the end with big guns and keep getting results...

I can't see Chelsea win
Everton is quality team which makes life hard for top opponents. They will give a challenge today - usual for them - and game will be decided by details

sobota, 29 grudnia 2012

Arsenal - Newcastle

157. Arsenal - Newcastle 2 @ 8,5 totesport


Very big factor is game referee if you are in UK you know how Chris Foy is mentioned. 

I am betting on penalty for Arsenal red cards also likely, Newcastle can be tired but United will be the same as big part of the team was involved in the game.

United will mix squad that is sure thing I am waiting Arsenal will be rested but bear in mind last two games (of three) they won thanks to referees only. They lost at home with Sansea game before Arsenal is not firepower - just a bit better club than Liverpool (most of the teams are) so if you say Newcastle is tired - Arsenal is much worse than United and they gave United a good game


Chris Foy is referee in Arsenal - Newcastle game

I thought this guy was put into care home in midweek because of scandalous mistakes in recent QPR-WBA game Harry Redknapp got warnings letters from FA instead - Redknapp was fuming at referee did not giving clear penalty for QPR for handball and allowing uncorrect goal for WBA.

This referee gave two penalties for Stoke-Tottenham last year and two stupid red cards in QPR-Chelsea game last season - he made much more scandalous mistakes and should be if not put in care home relegated to lower class - absolutely rubbish referee

Bear in mind Arsenal won two of last three games after penalties out of the blue as with WBA and with Wigan they were outplayed or at least their advantage was covered by weather factors (Wigan)

Arsenal will try to open the score from penalty as this referee is vulnerable 

29. December - Premiership

151. Aston Villa - Wigan 1 @ 2,88 BetVictor
152. Man  Utd - West Brom 2 @ 12 Stan James BET OF THE MONTH
153. Fulham - Swansea 1 @ 2,3 William Hill
154. Norwich - Man City 2 @ 1,62 William Hill
155. Reading - West Ham 1 @ 2,94 pinacle
156. Stoke - Southampton 1 @ 2 William Hill


Hello

nice starter with Tottenham

Man Utd absolutely rubbish team and they want to lose today. West Bromwich Victory is the most recommended bet by me today. Away win!

Villa odds are pumped by Wigan optimists so good odds for home win

West Ham no Diame = Reading will not lose today

See you before Arsenal - Newcastle game

Sunderland - Tottenham

150. Sunderland - Tottenham clear away win


Very much the same squad for Tottenham and hopefully similar approach.
There are tiredness factor (but I think Sunderland must be much more tired after defending in City game)  and 'nothing happens twice' against us but still hard to resist to go against much better team in this game. Hopefully Tottenham started to play their style all the time - if so 0-2 score is minimum. However I think home team will score and my estimation is something like 1-2 1-3 in this game.
Away win!

środa, 26 grudnia 2012

Stoke - Liverpool

149. Stoke - Liverpool 1 @ 4,1 BetVictor

Maybe it will be easy, maybe not..in Liverpool squad too many pensioners and greenhorns. In Stoke all the guys know what to do and how to make life for oposition hard. Fanatic home support today and let's go for a better team overall playing at home. Liverpool odds are misunderstanding they will not be second Tottenham, not only because Stoke is much better than Aston Villa recently...Home win

Aston Villa - Totteham

148 Aston Villa - Tottenham Tottenham -1 @ 2,82 Pinnacle

Quite offensive line-up by Tottenham. Actually very offensive. Away win is most probable today, let's hope for a thrashing one

Boxing Day Premiership

142. Everton - Wigan 1 @ 1,6 William Hill
143. Fulham - Southampton 2 @ 4,33 Ladbrokes
144. Man Utd win + Man City win double @ pinnacle 
145. Norwich - Chelsea 1 DNB @ 4,40 many bookies
146. QPR - WBA 1 @ 2,5 William Hill
147. Reading - Swansea 2 @ 2,5 Stan James

Hello

welcome after the biggest miss in site's history on Aston Villa not to lose there can be only better today

And it will be - let's start

City + United double

I assume Adam Johnson is banned from today's display not the injury 

This is not the same Sunderland as the side who beat City 1-0 in their last fixture and City is not and if you remember the reasons for Sunderland win were:

- City away crisis - not winning away for two months that time
- extreme luck for Sunderland home team 8 shots City 25 including 
- most important Sunderland was on a wave of enthusiasm by o'Neill appointment which is long gone - enthusiasm but not o'Neill 

Coming intho this game we have hungry team after United home defeat and much better team coming to a team which luckily escaped with three points from Southampton, even despite Southampton suicadal changes (Lallana pretended injuries to have time off, Kelvin Davies the worst goalkeeper in Europe on goal ssomehow selected).
I think City limit of no luck exceeded with Reading and today they just have to switch off Fletcher and they play empty net. 

City can not afford to play friendly away draw they have to follow United which has a string of easy games. I have no doubt who is the better team here and don't see mercy for downtrending Sunderland.

Newcastle United give their head on the axe today, waiting for last line up if I like surprises I do not see it in Old Trafford today. Looks like Newcastle will write this game off and they are quite happy with last two home wins considering their injuries and lack of form players like Cisse or Gutierrez.

City + United win



Interesting direction of Reading.
New owner (Russian) before the season with chairman remaining.
This club will go Portsmouth way or ....Actually I don't see them stable any more
They bravely announced interest of bunch of players like QPR before the season but no spendings or little spendings so far...
It is true referees harm them in many last games and it looks like they are not welcomed in this division anymore

Read this article

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/20828545

He is right but Reading played for a draw total obstruction and did not get it.

Tasty odds I can't decide which way to go although I feel outcome of today's game will be very clear.

4-0 or 0-4 this is the question I go on Swansea


I don't believe in Fulham and don't trust them - they have stood last two games playing absolutely nothing and are generally in poor for with many injuries. Southampton was unlucky against Sunderland, made last minute changes looking they wanted to lose and even despite this made good appearance. Maybe Kelvin Davies wil have one good appearance in the season just today? 


Everton odds risen so much that 1,6 on home win is takeable and I take it they are strong side

Have a nice day see you before Aston Villa game

niedziela, 23 grudnia 2012

Villa not to lose

141. Chelsea - Aston Villa Aston Villa not to lose @ 3,3 Unibet

sorry for late pick
Computer problems
You can still bet live

Swansea - Man Utd

140. Swansea - Man Utd 1

Very good morning

Apologise not to write more yesterday about strong leans to Sunderland - I even changed my previous thought to bet on Southampton. The reason was Nigel Adkins decided in last moment to rest their top player Adam LAllana and put on goal the most shambolic goalkeeper of Premiership - Kelvin Davies. If you saw yesterday's game you will realise why I am saying these words. Paul Gazzaniga - their best goalkeeper was also rested - the reason could be Kelvin Davies wanted to have 600th appearance but both of these changes were like own goals, so I changed mind in last moment and did not write.

Everton game - even despite Fellaini absence - was clear favourite to win because of Diame's absence - the player West Ham relied very much on, the player which have won Chelsea game and after his change Liverpool turned the game over at Upton Park - that game was deliberate suicide of Hammers still I don't know why as the game looked won in the 45th minute

Liverpool have won to be honest as expected but I did not expect Fulham did not care yesterday - there were some signs but I was hoping for Liverpool unlucky posts and crossbars and humble win


Swansea trip for United today. I am waiting for the last moment to see United line-up as very much depend on their attack formation. By default I will play home win if any of these two Van Persie or Rooney will be rested - thatt means  United plan to lose this game maybe not deliberately but they open streak of five tough games in fifteen days.

Look at club website

http://www.manutd.com/en/News-And-Features/Football-News/2012/Dec/sir-alex-will-mix-up-his-team-selection-over-festive-period.aspx

They will rotate squad and Vidic return may not click instantly and Pablo Hernandez and goalkeeper Vorm back at Swansea = United will be served by all the best home dishes. If you look their h2h United lost SIX times and I expect the same story today. Swansea will not afraid to play atacking style and have resources to secure backs. Home win

sobota, 22 grudnia 2012

Liverpool - Fulham

137. Liverpool - Fulham Fulham + 1,5 @ 1,75 BetVictor

Hello again

Another very good Saturday and let's continue with winning pick

Fulham knows how to play against Liverpool for couple of seasons and despite their injuries mix-up home team is not trustble in general. However after Villa disappointment and such a rubbish odds suggesting Liverpool will win it I see one goal win for Liverpool as maximum they can afford. Liverpool wins such 'easy' games by one goal exactly usually (Reading' Southampton, QPR last year) and I expect the same style - huge attack by home team and many missed chances, posts and crossbars. However Fulham possess a bit more quality than poor teams and maybe they will get something more? I see one goal win for Liverpool as most possible outcome today.
Fulham + 1,5

BONUS PICK

138. Simon Whitlock - Colin Osborne darts Osborne win odds 7 BetVictor

Simon Whitlock let's say andy Murray of darts - good performances not so many won tournaments and he plays against local talent Colin Osborne - a player who may surprise him when he will go full speed. He is a slow starter but has nerves to even turn the game over after reaching full power. Not many surprises at Alexandra Palace so far let's try the undergog I watched a bit in midweek action. Colin Osborne win

22. December - Premiership

131. Man City - Reading Man City - 4 @ 3,75 Offsidebet 4,4 bet365
132. Newcastle - QPR 2 @ 3,8 BetVictor, 3,74 pinnacle BET OF THE WEEK
133. Soutampton - Sunderland 2 @ 4 Stan JAmes
134. Tottenham - Stoke Stoke + 1 @ 1,82 188bet
135. WBA - Norwich 1 @ 2,1 BetVictor
136. West Ham  - Everton 2 @ 2,63 BetVictor

Hello

bad start of the day but bet on Arsenal would be pointless long term. I have big hope for QPR, unbeaten under Redknapp, to win over struggling Newcastle.

I also see the end of Norwich run and solid shower at QPR

Sorry for long preview had busy pr Christmas period at work and let's have a profitable day

Wigan - Arsenal

130. Wigan - Arsenal 1

Hello

if you want a long preview:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/20738364

I'm on Wigan side. Reasons:
1. horrible weather
2. Wigan plays good against big guns for last 2-3 years
3. Everyone will be on Arsenal after their rolling over Reading

Home win and see you later

poniedziałek, 17 grudnia 2012

Reading - Arsenal

129. Reading - Arsenal 1 @ 6,17 Pinnacle

Hello


I'm guessing you know my four consecutive attempts on Reading win but all of those was away games to reegation rivals and unfortunately Royals lost all four dogfights.

Today they have no choice than go for a win as draws will not help them at all - Arsenal without Giroud and despite winter wime there will be hot temperature at Madejski - as always. Their fans are one of the best and stadium should help them to grab finally some points.  Reading stadium was the first I visited in UK and not knowing who they are and what they want Arsenal will have a hard test today. Home win!

niedziela, 16 grudnia 2012

Premiership - 16. December

127. Tottenham - Swansea Swansea + 0,5 @ 2,38 Canbet
128. West Bromwich - West Ham 2 @ 4 Stan James

Hello

huge thank you for yesterday's congratulations for Liverpool defeat and QPR win and certainity about the City - I was maybe the only one to play all these games in correct way. Stoke was also very unlucky with Cameron Jerome dancing in Everton's box.

Big sorry not recommending you Chelsea defeat as there will be still a comedy all over the season with this red nose pig on their managerial bench.

Today we have a games which we should be on plus again and I am really not afraid to bet in this way - we know after fantastic days come tragic ones (still we are on significant profit all these years) but I hope today will be not correctional day.

Totteenham if we take table up to 80th minute they should be a leader but the thing is Villas Boas is a pseudo manager and after one goal lead he makes changes and they try to defed result and in most of these cases they lse lead. They lost won game in Everton and this is most recent example. Although they trick me in many occasions I am on away team not to lose today as they screw a lot of games and Swansea is a surprisingly good team which stuns many opponents with players like Michu making one goal from half of situation. The drw today is most pesimistic version for me today (hope Swansea will win comfortably bettingwise) and I really want to win this pick.

As you sam Liverpool had no right to win at West Ham without Suarez and I would report case for investigation how they turned game over last Sunday. I was the first person who claim Liverpool should pay for this losing next home game and accidentally they did ;) Second part is West Ham should claim points back after surrending to Liverpool. I still clame Liverpool's win at Upton Park was arranged away win and Liverpool should lose and did next home game and West Ham should be repaid today.

Even if this theory is rubbish and Liverpool defeat yesterday was lucky for Villa West Brom started to play poor games and have defeat after defeat. No surprise if they lose again. Away win!

sobota, 15 grudnia 2012

15. December - Premiership

122. Liverpool - Aston Villa 2 @ 10,5 Canbet
123. Man Utd - Sunderland Sunderland not to lose @ 4,95 Nordicbet
124. Norwich  - Wigan 1 @ 2,38 William Hill
125. QPR - Fulham 1 @ 2,75 VCbet
126. Stoke - Everton 1 @ 3,4 Pinnacle

Good afternoon all

nice win on City hopefully back to long winning run

Liverpool had no right to win at West Ham and hopefully they pay back the price of that win today. I am on Villa win anyway Villa has 5 games unbeaten run. Liverpool winning without Suarez means hopefully Liverpool losing next game with Suarez.

City has started to recover and United won unexpectedly at City for many but not for us. Hopefully Sunderand surprise them it can fight for a draw if they beat Reading 3-0 ;)

I can't see surprise at Norwich - best available team for them apart from second choice goalkeeper but still very good against team depleted by injuries. Wigan win would only mean game was dishonest but Norwich is a very profitable team for me and I trust them

Hunting for QPR win part IV under Redknapp

Stoke will give a hard fight to Everton today - they made one single chance at Villa no corners just stood on the pitch and there is a time for a strong display

Let's have a good day

Bet on City today

121. Newcastle - Man City definite away win 

Clear away win to City today. They are wounded after United game and will recover. There was a lot of talk about Mancini and his future but he will stay till the end of season. That means players have no other choice than playing football. Sunday's derby defeat was caused mainly by Balotelli which will definitely not play today as his relations with Mancini are zero. Newcastle is one of the poorest teams last months despite good game at Fulham they are class below City. Away win

wtorek, 11 grudnia 2012

Sunderland - Reading

120. Sunderland - Reading 2 @ 4,8 BetVictor

Hello


anyone seen Sunday's game knows that games should not go other way and two goals conceded by Tottenham in 90th minute and West Ham in 80th minute were scandalous and prevented us fantastic jackpot. Let's hope you won at least on yesterday's Fulham win but have to admite although Newcastle lost feel they should get something out of this game.

Another relegation dogfight for Reading and they have to go into the dark corner with knife and give a fight. I lost three times on them as they lost to relegation rivals at Aston Villa, Wigan and Southampton - draws came into defeats and I hope they win at least once away this team still has potential and quality.

On the other side we have a sinking club with economic ignorants at their steer, getting foundations as their sponsor shirt instead of commercial company and from what I see manager looks like old and tiret but first of all disappointed man. Out of last 24 (!) games Sunderland won just twice, both games thanks to red cards for opponents (Wigan and Fulham).

If the game would be played on originally scheduled date I would have no alternative to play home win but there are much problems of Sunderland appearing in the limelight. Dark times for this club and Reading have a chance, odds for home win considering their form and teamspirit are low. I am trying away win

poniedziałek, 10 grudnia 2012

Fulham - Newcastle Monday Game

119 Fulham - Newcastle Fulham - 1,5 @ 3,55 bet365

Last Newcastle win was a big matter of referee's early decision: penalty and red card for Figueroa did the job. This time away game, no referee help and do not forget Newcastle play  awful for most of the season. On the home side Hangeland returns and time for Fulham to get a win - no bad atmosphere in team despite poor run and I am going for the better team. Home win

sobota, 8 grudnia 2012

9. December - Premiership

116. Man City - Man Utd 2 @ 3,47 5Dimes
117. Everton - Tottenham 2 @ 3,99 pinnacle
118. West Ham - Liverpool 1 @ 3,15 pinnacle BET OF THE WEEK, MEGA CONFIDENT

Hello

early published picks today and I am not even waiting for lineups.

Yesterday it was a tricky day, today we should have a proftitable one as I am mega confident about West Ham win and have a cheeky feeling United will break City home record.

Let me tell you why. City like Juventus are waiting for home defeat which wold make a lot of fresh air - something has long gone at City. Citizens were close to home defeat last week to Everton but they equalised - that game Everton made with them what they wanted and should have wone - maybe not only won because some 'experts' like top television journalists expect something and brought us bad luck.

If not last week, I will hunt for their defeat again as there is no good mood around club and board and many supporters but FIRST OF ALL PLAYERS are tired with Mancini and lack of european success. Another hammering will not happen let me say some players want to show Mancini unhappiness (Toure brthers the first ones). Maybe losing clearly today will show this more obviouly and will lead to changes on the bench? Do not bet on City today

West Ham should win with Liverpool - they have Suares suspended and have no striker today. With bunch of sleepy hollows like Shelvey and pensioners like Caragher and Steven Gerrard this club is an easy meal for everyone. Needless to say without Suarez goals team will be 2nd bottom. To be honest under Brendan Rogers demise of this club was predictable as he is managerial welsh clown without clue. Club has stupid policy buying 'young english talents' for huge money and falling in trouble. Now they only wait for transfer window there will not be bread from this flour. West Ham win

Tottenham win is a shot for me as game is the least predictable from today's

Let's have a fantastic day

Premiership - 8. December

110. Arsenal - WBA 1 @ 1,62 William Hill
111. Aston Villa - Stoke 1 @ 2,8 William Hill
112. Southampton - Reading 2 @ 4,3 pinnacle
113. Sunderland - Chelsea 1 @ 6,84 pinnacle
114. Swansea - Norwich 1 @ 1,8 William Hill, Paddy Power
115. Wigan - QPR 2 @ 3,43 pinnacle


Hello

scottish bastards did not go our way but we strike back with English football. Celtic will pay for today's mess


I do not see second surprise in Emirates in a row. Swansea win was some kind of shock which has no right  to repeat. Furthermore, WBA is CL rival, no way for Santa Claus today, although guests ay fight a draw I am taxing most probable Arsenal result when they are in trouble.


Aston Villa - Stoke balanced game but lack of Charlie Adam leans me into home win.

Very mysterious goalkeeper rotaton at Southampton, the best one Gazzaniga is not playing and it means they are vulnerable today. After good run Southampton can afford to drop points today, they are no wounded animals anymore and Reading might take advantage - I will trust them maybe for the last time.

No belief in Chelsea under Benitez at all hopefully Sunderland will win today as Chelsea can not beat anyone in the league - 1,60s for a team which have not won in the league for over a month is a joke

I believe odds suggest that Norwich is going for holiday today - they are on fantastic run and can afford to lose points today, no tragedy for them if it will happen. Swansea playing their football may win and most probably will win with relaxed Norwich. Home win


Have a nice day

Celtic - Kilmarnock Scottish early game

109. Kilmarnock - Celtic Kilmarnock DNB

No matter place and who is the opposition here.
Kilmarnock win or equalize when they will be trailing so if Celtic will take the lead lay Celtic is a must!
Story repeats after 'fantastic' CL performance Celtic would screw game even with snails and turtles team
I suspect they make extra profits by fixing 'easy' games and will win championship just a piece not smashing everybody. We have 4-0 away at Hearts and every second of their game is a 'surprise'
Kilmarnock DNB
See you before 3 p.m.
Tricky day today I will study absences and formations until the very last minute

wtorek, 4 grudnia 2012

4. December - Champions League

107. Olympiakos - Arsenal 1 @ 1,95 Betway 1,98 5Dimes
108. Borussia - Man  City 1 @ 2,15 Stan James

Hello
both english teams with rubbish squads and everything is over in their respective groups. I am sure City does not want to play in Europe this season and they are resting most important players before Sunday Manchester derby.
Odds on Olympiakos was 2,6 yesterday but I never play before as things may be screwed up in between - Stoke was the last example how can Premiership teams manipulate game changing lineup in last minutes and completely changing 'planned outcome'. Still think Olympiakos win is the only option if the Greeks have a bit honour and decency they should splash this Arsenal which shouldl not be worried about as they are through.

Slaughterhouse for English teams which should not be worried about today's fixtures. Home wins

Have a nice day

niedziela, 2 grudnia 2012

2. December Norwich - Sunderland

106. Norwich - Sunderland 1 @ 2,1 William Hill

Hello


not sure about Sunderland direction towards safety as the irish colony were replaced by economic ignorant Mr Milliband at thir steer. Team continues to play worse and worse, does not score, does not create enough threat...even brilliant manager seems to be tired....last Sunderland was thaks only to red card by Fulham.
Norwich on a fantastic run and I see no reason apart from referee intrusion to stop it - they are way better financially manager - real sponsor insteadof sofa charity and no doubt who is stronger and on the rise here. Home win

sobota, 1 grudnia 2012

1. December - Premiership

99. West Ham not to lose with Chelsea
100. Arsenal - Swansea Swansea DNB @ 6,5 Betway
101. Fulham - Tottenham  1 @ 3,10 Ladbrokes
102. Liverpool - Southampton Liverpool -1 @ 1,57 Paddy Power
103. Man City - Everton 2 @ 7 totesport
104. QPR - Aston Villa 1 @ 2,05 Paddy Power BET OF THE ROUND
105. WBA - Stoke Stoke + 0,5 @ 1,77 Ladbrokes

Swansea may stun Arsenal they took inspiration from Arsenal strategy when Martinez created modern Swansea they played similarly to old Arsenal. Arsenal is no great team by any means anymore they are selling club and hope cheap(not so) replacement will do the job.

I see no chance for surprise in Liverpool as Southampton can't stop them with their defence and goalkeeper

Everton is one of the few teams able to broke City home run as they kno whow to play them and they always leave heart on pitch when they play top teams.

Something fishy with odds for WBA win I go for Stoke not to lose although home team is great. Looks like some big fishes are sure Stoke will not lose this game. Draw and Stoke lead until halftime at odds 15 recommended.



Good morning
I skipped last Wednesday as I was getting frozen, there is a big freeze in UK and I got cold. I was in red period due to various reasons but we  are comming to profitable time today again.

Even scoring goals is hard to teams managed byBenitez, not mentioning about winning games - they look limited and harmless with toothless strikers like Torres and if we won't see his revival today (there is always some chance) the only outcome of today's game is another draw, maybe scoring ones like 1-1. Chelsea still has Champions League game  (easy) ahead but most probably they only will play in Europa League in 2013. Weather is another factor reducing quality difference and with physical play Chelsea can be stopes - hard game ahead of them. Wesh Ham somehow drops easily games with so called 'top teams' but this is a prestigious game and this is their opportunity to attract more fans. Hopefully they won't give game like getting taken from behind by Arsenal or United but Chelsea is unconvincing, the machine is broken and no one sees solution. Home win or (most probably) draw

Stay tuned BET OF THE ROUND before 3 p.m.