Always Remember you are the winner Agata

140. Chelsea - Bolton Bolton + 2 @ 1,66 Canbet

141. Wigan - Arsenal Wigan + 1 @ 2 Stan James

142. Liverpool - Wolves Wolves DNB @ 9,55 Betfair

Hello

more interesting things to do this evening than writing a long story and West Ham does not play today ;)

In normal circumstances no way Chelsea wins by more than one goal - team is in slump and there is no way out possibly players are against manager Ancelotti. Bolton has good position in table and plays attacking football hopefully they will not be scared

Wigan a lot of easy games until end of February apart from two games with Arsenal. One of them should be won like last year

Wolves plays with teeth grit with top teams. Won over City and lost in last minutes with Chelsea or MU away. Reds are a joke team this season top players have identity crisis - Wolves has no other choice than go for a win here

That's it for today have a nice evening AGATA

28th December Premiership picks

133. MC - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 1.25 @ 1,82 Canbet

134. Stoke - Fulham Fulham + 0.25 @ 2,42 188bet

135. Sunderland - Blackpool 1 @ 1,65 Gamebookers, 5 Dimes

136. Tottenham - Newcastle Newcastle + 1 @ 2 bet365 x2 or away win also playable

137. WBA - Blackburn Blackburn + 0.5 @ 2,16 Pinnacle

138. West Ham - Everton West Ham + 0.5 @ 1,77 IBCbet

139. Birmingham - MU Birmingham + 1 @ 2,07 188bet

Hello

Today's picks are mostly against the public. Everyone thinks that Blackburn or Fulham are rubbish because of last time's pathetic display. I told you West Ham and Stoke went for a win there especially first heroes because of 'off the pitch reasons' - time for balloon t explode and teams like WBA or Stoke will explode very soon

City should win game with Villa please read Boxing Day comment what is going on in Villa but I have a sneaky feeling handicap is way too high on guests which will be irritated by second home defeat on Saturday. Team still has some quality and may surprise one time or another especially if City struggle at home many times this season. Handicap + 1.25 means we are cashing in even if City will win by one goal which also will not be easy - Newcastle game was won in first five minutes thanks to giveaway day by Tim Krul City is also not 100% team

After Fulham - West Ham result majority of people think Fulham is near the bottom and lose this game easily or not but lose - I don't think so. I will write special post about situation with West Ham in free time but tragic team wo game in Craven Cottage and Stoke won away - this is potential trap  - Stoke is not quality team to take such games easily remember game with Blackpool. Fulham not to lose this game

Sunderland will win today. Some miracles happened and half of the city is healthy one day after game with Man United. Fit Sunderland is way too strong for anonymous newcomers and will cook them. Handicap options also playable but straight home win we have nice odds and I'm on it.

I see Tottenham - Newcastle game as a potential landmine. Those are friendly teams at least as far as owners are concerned. Mike Ashley is pure Londoner and fan of Tottenham (bought northern team because bigger power bought Tottenham) but 'Cockney fatman' is still in good relations with Tottenham management. He shipped them already Sebastian Bassong and big transfer may be done in January: swap Andy Carroll - Robbie Keane + Peter Crouch + money is possible and may bring a lot of beefits for every side apart from Newcastle fans side. Great display of Andy Carroll today may only increase the price. Other reasons are: Defoe red card, Van Der Vaart still not 100% fit after what I saw on Villa park and Newcastle result with City deludes everyone. This team can afford epic performances as proven many times this season already. Even away win is possible today!

I can write a long story about West Ham in my opinion they will win game over Everton and don't believe 'Experts' West Ham is tired after Fulham game. This team will be winning and safe because of 'far from the pitch' reasons the question is only which games they will select to win. Everton is a partner to talk in this case like in 2007.

What can I say about West Ham roster? From what I saw yesterday I would not risk a single penny on this team if I did not study their connections. Victor Obinna should be back to reinforce forward yesterday's forward was tragic players like Ben Haim means someone has big laudry in this club

Nevertheless West Ham at least not to lose this game is my pick of the day yet again

Good luck for today let's go for clean sweep again

Boxing Day Premiership picks

124. Fulham - West Ham West Ham + 0.5 @ 1,97 Pinnacle

125. Blackburn - Stoke Stoke + 0.5 @ 1,69 5Dimes

126. Blackpool - Liverpool Blackpool + 1 @ 1,71 IBCBet

127. Bolton - WBA  Bolton -0.25 @ 1,84 188bet

128. Everton - Birmingham Birmingham + 1 @ 2 Canbet

129. MU - Sunderland Sunderland + 1,75 @ 1,88 VCBet

130. Newcastle - MC MC -0.25 @ 2,05 188bet

131. Wolves - Wigan Wigan + 0.5 @ 1,84 SBObet

132. Aston Villa - Tottenham Tottenham DNB @ 1,7 188bet

A lot of games today and I have an early view which is I admit based more on weather and behind the scenes action than on sport based factor. Many positive handicaps as I think it will be hard to break theoretically weaker teams and in Christmas period we generally not see many goals.

First game is ne of the most obvious for me as West Ham has no choice must start collecting points now, before games with Chelsea or Arsenal come again. This team has a lot of FA connections and gets a helping hand many times should be relegated many times but still treading above the water. This seasoon thy just have to stay in league pressure is huge. Team has no manager I mean no manager hired on content-related basics just on national basics and results are poor. Team has interesting squad and plays better than results indicate and has no other choice tha go for a win in every match every point is priceless. Fulham trip they definitely treat as opportunity to make some points up and know this rival very well. West Ham were so close many times to away win (hit the post last week in Blackburn and being much better in second half) so they will go for point(s) on Craven Cottage. I think West Ham has squad able to get at least draw from this game.

Blackburn new manager without experience and I wonder who gives ideas to new club owners - they hired manager delivering constatntly certain level of services and entertainment and hired Mr Nobody. I bet they will pay for this team will struggle players like chris Samba will leave - Stoke are vultures in such situations and will go for a win here.

Liverpool woeful away form and another game they seem to gt nothing away because of Hodgson policy nothing more to talk about here as game could be called off - regardless of absences and rivals Liverpool should be naver favourite in away games

Bolton - WBA is a bit suspiciously high odds on home win taht's why I will not choose straight home win which in normal cirrcumstaces is the most obvious pick. 70% chances home team will win here but they already stumbled with Blackpool so the handicap -0.25 seems to be logical conclusion

Everton - Birmingham after away win with City where they had 4 shots and zero corners in whole game they have to face defensive-minded team quite hard to beat although rarely winning. I am sure Everton in home games where they seem to be clear favourite will be in trouble to break the opponent. They lost ad drew many 'easy' home games this season and I will never trust this team without quality strikers anymore. Birmingham should not even lose this game but + 1 handicap is so large it is hard not to take. One of the two most obvious picks for today

MU nearly always struggling this season winning the most games with one goal margin scoring often in injury time but they still win a lot and are clear leaders (with two games in hand). Sudderland for this game has suddenly seven absentees (which I thing will be fully back for next game) and I think what is going one. The fact is both managers are friends but for Steve Bruce duels with Ferguson are prestigious and he gives a hard fight. Even if United will winwith one goal margin handicap is on our side - playing Rooney means relax for Sunderland goalkeeper it should not be MU - Blackburn repeat

Man City will meet definitely hard resistance in Newcastle - home team has big firepower: Carroll, Nolan and will give a fight like in the game with Chelsea about month ago. City is a bit better team and last home defeat should help them to put things together and go for a win if they still want to be in contention. They won clearly a lot away games this season and in my opinion have slight but edge here. Away win DNB is also option because to be honest draw is more realistic result than away win - City will not have an easy life in that game

Wolves is a 'sheam'  and odds for home win in Wigan game are far too short. It could have a point if it would be an arranged home win which will not be a case. Relegation battle and away team will give a desperate fight. They have 'striker killer' Al Habsi on goal which already denied many teams from scoring in last months. Wigan is not rival you can win 4-0 or 6-0 anymore for some time. They have players which can have a bright moments out of the blue and experience from rescuing themselves from relegation. They have to fight today.

Aston Villa is youngster's selling club according to Randy Lerner and club will be in huge trouble this and maybe next season. It is their choice I only regret beguiled fans which are 90% of them very nice and friendly people. Some power is steering from above and behind and club with heart and tradition is a business tool in last fourteen games they won only two with surrounding clubs (WBA and Wolves) I see no way they win today with wide developed and rostered guests. Away win DNB

GL and cheers

20th December City - Everton game

123. Man City - Everton 1 @ 1,83 Pinnacle 

Only one result for me here. Everton can give sometimes hard resistance against top teams but this will not be the time to get anything in my opinion. Tevez will play and has to play and when he plays he always gives 100%. Unles big striker signings or Donovan will arrive Everton will sink in the table they are already deep. Too big quality difference, too big opportunity for leading the table efor Christmas. In my opinion Citizens will beat Everton. Good luck

18th December only one game today

122. Blackburn - West Ham West Ham DNB 3.66 Pinnacle


1. Blackburn sacked manager Allardyce on Monday
2. There is a big rumour Allardyce will be new West Ham manager
3. Blackburn play West Ham tomorrow at home
4. Blackburn paid Allardyce compensation for breaching contract few millions => hole in budget - new Blackburn owners are not too generous
5. West Ham has to stay in the league just has
6. For an away win theoretically West Ham may cover budget hole for West Ham and three points are won - I am considering away win very strong at delicious odds
7. 'Great escape' in 2007 started from away win at Blackburn - this was a big circus
From WHU website
Jonathan Spector knows a thing or two about Hammers survival battles.
The US defender was a big part of the West Ham United squad that won seven of the last nine matches in the 2006/07 to stay up against all the odds. The first match of that memorable magnificent seven? Blackburn Rovers away on 17 March 2007.
8. This club should be relegated years ago and struggling nearly every season after Curbishley departure but has very good relations with FA and in my opinion club has special treatment
9. I am not saying West Ham has bought three points tomorrow but there are some strange moves around this game
10. There is also contradiction: if West Ham wins away Grant will be safe (I believe Jew will never give a Jew bad treatment so Grant is safe) and Allardyce will not come to West Ham - so in my opinion even if spread well rumour is still a rumour

11. Blackburn new owners are under heavy fire from British media and sport people but I believe they know what they are doing and will be OK - in my opinion they will lose today and appoint new manager next week and fans and media will be calmed down

I m going for away win in this game never would risk a pence in club on artificially triggered turmoil. Away win

17th December Carlos Tevez situation

Hi let me write about Carlos Tevez's dispute wit Man City management - my point of view.

He is a little child crying but cashing big money to play for Man City - he is to play football not comment situation - if I was manager I would never let him go but placed on a bench and break his career - with this approach he has nothing to search for in a world of professional football. He is good but his behaviour outside the pitch is childish and adolescent. The same if I was a manager of any club I would never hire him this is potential ticking bomb.
I repeat Teves should focus on playing football nothing more as he has in contract - conflicts have nothing to do in adult life you have to sort it out he is not six years old come on be a man.
e is a very simple man from Argentinian village on etime missing for his home and family another one wants transfer request - this is ridiculous and for me City board should put him in reserves or in a bench if after talk he will still criticise club. They have all the cards contract until 2014 and the lub is side which set rules here.
Probably it's all aboutth money (like Rooney but I still believe Rooney will go out) some misterious agents (Kia Joorabchian) are around Tevez (and Macherano) and they adviced him to argue  - anyway club's  way of dealing all this  may be man to man talk and radical action. Carlos  Tevez has little (if nothing) to say

See you tomorrow another Premiership day

15th December Blackburn new owners

Hi
Let me tell you few words about Blackburn's owners Balaji Rao and brother Venkatesh.
Many people claimed sacking Allardyce is a crazy move but I do not see things so bad. They bought Blackburn Rovers to steer club higher than they used to be. Of course Jack Walker times in Abramovich or City era is little realistic but Blackburn may be top six club for few seasons in a row.
These businessmen are very respectable for me although first test will be new managerial appointment. Somehow I have belief in them they are serious not like this yankee joker from FC Liverpool or pornography sellers from West Ham - they want a good and stable future for the club. Not the biggest money are behind them but well managed club may fully fulfill everyone's expectations. Blackburn is not an expensive club for English circumstances and although we can not expect radical improvement things will be better for a long time
Anyway decent guys deserving at least some credit - good luck

14th December special pick

121. Martin Jol next Blackburn manager
odds will check later two hours ago was 3.5 update 4.4 Betfair 4.3 Betdaq 2.87 Bodog

Club fired Sam Allardyce out of the blue this means one. New owners have plan to get better results and have a vision and maybe already proper person to realise this vision.
Allardyce sacking does not reflect current club situation which is absolute not bad and results were not disappointing at all. Martin Jol is free man - Newcastle did not sign him and he may lead Rovers into new way with even more attacking style. He has good reminiscences in England at Tottenham butthat bulgarian bitch Berbatov caused him to lose this job. I feel Martin Jol will be enjoying return to England and he still has something to prove here. He is main bookies's favourite
No Premiership game  today but odds are worth attention.

Crazy things are happening in the last days that even days without any game are interesting. I could ask myself was Bolton - Blackburn if Blackburn players were convinced by someone to lose this game deliberately to have justification for remowing Big Sam? Even if it was not the case sacking has no objective reasons and they have to bring big name to improve things.

Out of the candidates for managerial position from Blackburn I can say Alan Curbishley will definitely not be in this position  he does not want to move outside London and people from London have disrespect in other parts of England so he does not want to be stressed - besides Blackburn board is interested in something more than midtable position - and definitely Sven Goran Eriksson is out of options. Martin o'Neill will not accept this job as  Diego Maradona is a total joke. Martin Jol very much in options.

Have a nice day!

13th December Man Utd - Arsenal

120. Man Utd - Arsenal Arsenal DNB @ 3,33 Betfair, 3,25 Bet365 away win also to consider big recommendation

End of fairytale for Manchester United believers - dream is over. They have not a single Premiership defeat this season but after one week they will have two - this club is definitely not for a top four and some top teams will show them lesson. Only Arsenal con is goalkeeper unexperienced Wojciech Szczesny but Chamakh, Arshavin, Nasri, and so on means heavy fire Arsenal goes for a win here - they are much much better team in terms of quality - this game is the beginning of Manchester United demise - no one more will give them game on a plate like Wigan Wolves or Blackburn this game is hard, very hard exam - in my opinion United will fail it completely. Certain away win!

12th December Premiership picks

117. Bolton - Blackburn Blackburn + 0.5 @ 1,85 188bet
118. Wolves - Birmingham Birmingham DNB @ 2,38 188bet
119. Tottenham - Chelsea 1 @ 3,21 Pinnacle

Hi
thanks for good opinion about my work I will continue this job and will not change approach as long as we are winning in the long term

Blackburn and Bolton are quite similar teams and they reside not far away from each other. This is Lancashire derby and Blackburn will not go there for a head slashing but will put heart and effort. What will be result? Like everytime everything is possible but odds should be more equal as for me away win has the same chances as home win. These are mirror teams and Allardyce has slightly bigger managerial experience and is in Rovers for years and I repeat he assures certain game of playing. Away side not to lose this game

Many people said Wolves are an adult team before start of this season. Of course they made some promising signings but this is not a team for top tier of football - not many people like hyenas and vultures and in normal fight Wolves usually have nothing to say with experienced teams. They can put best effort against carefully selected teams (always giving away games to Machester United) and play reserves against others. This will be decisive factor as this is surely team for last place in the table at the end of season. Birmingham is well managed club, this is a derby so guests are not without chances to get something out of this game

And cherry on cake

Tottenham - Chelsea - I just can't understand someone claiming Chelsea will get something here. This club is in turmoil and Abramovich makes stranges moves like firing Wilkins. Teams plays bad, Ancelotti has not a clue when problems appear and he has no dignity at all when owner fires his comrades and he even does not xomment it. Tottenham is developing constantly, collects a lot of experiences from interational games and are well managed financially. Club has stability allowing it to fight for biggest prizes after playing very attractive football.
Call me crazy (fans of both teams will) but I like both teams I have reasons. Chelsea is on turbulent period Tottenham is developing and on the rise and future is bright. Home win

11th December Premiership picks

112. Aston Villa -WBA Aston Villa DNB @ 1,88 188bet

113. Everton - Wigan Wigan + 1,25 @ 183 bet365

114. Fulham - Sunderland Fulham -0.25 @ 188bet

115. Stoke - Blackpool 1 @ 1,67 Paddy Power

116. WHU - Man City 2 @ 2,02 Pinnacle

Everton brilliant performance at Chelsea but this is crisis club. I had a feeling that they will not lose at Chelsea and they were even closer to win the game - Chelsea penalty was incorrect decision by referee. Yes Leighton Baines played brilliant game but this is young player very vulnerable after beautiful performance may have nine averages ones. Wigan have one factor - unpredictability and they may stune hosts like WBA did. Everton until Landon Donovan will come in January I will be always against when they will play against lower-midtable teams especially at home they will disappoint fans and backers 90% of games. It will be hard game for hosts even if Rodallega will not play and chances of Everton winning by two goals and more are approximately 10%. I don't believe in current Everton when they are favourites constantly

Despite Tevez is suspended City announced very strong squad for West Ham game and goes for a win although it will be hard. LEt's analyse the lineup: rocksolid Hart on goal,  strong defence without 'brains' like Boyata (who normal gets red in 5th minute??), always stone midfield although without James Milner but with many other options and forward without this Togolese loser and parachute but with Balotelli and Silva - this means Robert Green under heavy fire City goes for a win here and I am backing them despite hard resistance which hosts will definitely put. Anyway away win City is stronger

6th Decembet Liverpool - Aston Villa game

111. Liverpool - Aston Villa Aston Villa +1 @ 1,95 gamebookers, 1,93 bet365

Friendly match against teams in clear downtrend. I have a cheeky feeling that Villa +1 will be returned money at least let's elaborate why. Liverpool with doubtful Gerrard and Torres in identity crisis - they played magnificent game at Tottenham so I feel now it's the time for weaker game. The chairmen are both Yankees so maybe it's a deal between them to help one other who knows these guys both know what they are doing. Sport factors are much behind when it comes to politics in English football. I was watching last time Aston Villa game this team would be OK if scored more goals and when scores at least one they do not need to make dozens of tragic mistakes in defence like Arsenal game. Awa side not to losing this game is my point of view

5th December game of the day and maybe of the weekend

110. Sunderland - West Ham Draw or away win (West Ham + 0.5) @ 2,03 Pinnacle

Let's face some truth about West Ham United - I wrote a lot last week about situation in this club but they unexpectedly started winning run confirming good form with red turkeys smashing.
Truth is this club should be relegated three years ago but had fantastic run ending last day's away win at Old Trafford. I am fully convinced it was a deal you will sell Tevz to United you will winn at United you will stay in the league.
This club also has good relations with many FA officials hired there as former West Ham players like Trevor Brooking for example they are receiving special protection no one will say it opennly but everything indicates on it for me at least.
I will say as a maniac West Ham will not be relegated despite league position there is too much money involved the question is only they achieve safe status with Avram Grant or without him. Last events show they will try to save him as Jew (David Gold) always will protect Jew (Avram Grant) they have it stated in their bible and respect this.
Poilitics is much more decisive in this club results than sport form but this is still much better club than league position shows us sure thing is there are few weaker teams in Premiership than they. Even with presented backgrounds they still have chances to draw today's game (and with handy +0.5 we have still great deal of counter options if West Ham will score first) - Sunderland is very convnenient rival for them out of last eleven head to head games only one Sunderland win and Avram Grant never lost with Steve Bruce in six premiership games including leading Portsmouth.
Draw or away win the only pick for me for today

As for second game result is unstable. In normal circumstances home win should be option but Newcastle is unpredictable and although they will most probably lose this game I am skipping it
Good luck

4th December Premiership picks

Welcome back I was in business trip last weekend miracles happened luckily I lost a few aftre trhee great rounds. Went sick this week and cold days here so be careful with picks. Here are my

104. Arsenal - Fulham Fulham +1.5 @ 1,9 Stan James

105. Birmigham -Tottenham Birmingham +0.5 @ 1,83 188bet

106. Blackburn - Wolves 1 @ 1,8 Stan JAmes

107. Chelsea - Everton Everton +1.5 @ 1,78 SBObet

108. MC - Bolton Bolton + 1,25 @ 1,86 188bet

109. Wigan - Stoke Wigan DNB @ 2,28 188bet

Arsenal many surprises at home this season even lost games and at least one closely won game and Fulham very rarely losses by more than one goal even away. This is derby game so no problem for travel Arsenal with Flappyhandski could mean trouble. They still have to secure CL promotion and have Man Utd away as next game so with exactly ole goal win they will be extremely happy. In this winter circumstances even this is not certain as we may see surprise

No one had more effort and harder games schedule in last time than Tottenham. They beat Liverpool Arsenal Werder in just ten days and must rest sooner or later. Maybe some kind of party after CL promotion was forbidden but they beat Liverpool and deserved one 'easy lover' game. Besides from this Birmingham is a solid and well managed team very very rarely losing at home and will put hard resistance it is hard to break them even if you do the best like Chelsea two weeks ago. In this circumstances I can't see them losing today's game

Chelsea very weird news from this club ald detrimental results on the pitch. Juto one win in last five ok some of them lost by injuries but some by attitude. Everton always doing well at Stamford and players like Cahill will cause trouble for defence and goalkeeper. Everton very low in table they have no other choice than put a solid fight in every game they can not afford to drop games they want. I think they even will not lose

Blackburn is my most certain bet for today. This is a team and manager which will put best effort at home and fans are used to some standards. They are just stronger and too strong for such kind of opponents like Wolves and should convert advantage into beating. Wolves bottom team and they even think they will stay in league dropping some games like United everytime - this will be decisive factor in sinking them into Championship. Blackburn two home defeats already but with Chelsea and Arsenal so no shame and Wolves 0-1-6 away so 'good luck' for them today. Home win in handy is also in options