ATP plus two matches as a starter

Hello again

Arsenal over perfect, but that tennis greek gay rubbish so only slight plus yesterday

For today

1. Federer - Monfils Federer win 1,38 5dimes
2. Berdych - Tsonga Tsonga + 1,5 sets 2,04 Unibet
3. Wawrinka - Simon Simon + 4,5 games 2,17 Pinnacle
4. Nishikori - Gabashvili Gabashvili + 7,5 games 2,20 Pinnacle
5. Legia Warsaw - Wisla Krakow 2 7,5 many bookies
6. River Plate - Rosario Central 2 5,85 Pinnacle


Yesterday if Murray went into court he surely stumbled over Kyrgios exposed ass at every occasion, today underdogs will have a much beter day. Apart from Monfils.

Legia is much overestimated, four important players suspended, play shit in general but wins over friendly teams or thanks to referees, in normal circumstances they will lose game.

River big success three days ago eliminating Cruzeiro from Copa Libertadores and hopefully they drink and smoke a lot. Rosario no defeat so far so they may well win at Monumental. And I wish them!

ATP two picks for today plus accumulator odds 35!

1. Murray - Kyrgios Kyrgios + 6,5 games 2,55 Marathonbet but this price is absurd, normally 2,14 Pinnacle and this will be settle when one day I made calculation LOL
2. Nadal - Kuznetsov Kuznetsov + 10 games 1,84 Pinnacle


Both games ATP French Open third round.

Remember about Arsenal over

I will send coupon later today based on Serena Williams win etc

 Murray over 3,5 sets 2,27
- Cilic win 1,57- Goffin win 1,5- Kokkinakis + 9,5 gems- Gasquet 1,25- Ferrer 1,06- Kvitova 1,4- Mladenovic 1,25- Serena Williams 1,35 

Accumulator 35!!

FA Cup final - something like 50 units of profits from tennis two days ago!

Welcome back.

Sorry I was too busy post picks, I had a winning Thursday, losing Friday so time to go back to winning as I will have a lot of time now.

FA Cup Final

1. Arsenal - Aston Villa over 2,5 1,84 Marathonbet
2. over 3,5 3,10 BetVictor

Arsenal was a struggling for top 4 team (usually finish fourth sometimes easy, sometimes not) until Alexis Sanchez appointment who made a positive impact and this is their top 4 ticket forever for next many years, but they might think they can get something more. And they have chance even for second place! Title would be very big surprise still but they can finish second next three years in a row and I would not be surprised.
second turnaround was benching Szczesny and replacing him with brilliant Ospina and Arsenal is the best team of 2015, series of wins came exactly after benching Szczesny. Yes they struggled to convert chances last two games but look what healthy team has done to WBA, team stronger than Aston Villa, with a much better manager last week 4-1!!! and over was before HT.

Now Villa. This team is a false hero, yes they had some wins since Tim Sherwood appointments but practically all of them was like a maximal fluke (if not a deal) like with West Brom, used wobble of Tottenham, and all the rest was against totally unmotivated opposition. They even managet to lose with Newcastle, Burnley at home. If they will sell Benteke in the summer (60% they will) they will be in a very big trouble next season. Tim Sherwood is a managerial clown, I will always repeat this, he will have a good press and will be pushed into the light as he is 'young, English, managerial talent' - complete bullshit!

Considering this is a final and in normal circumstances Arsenal should win 4-1 5-1 there are some issues. Benteke might be allowed to score to sell him more expensive in summer (every game in PL is a product placement, Arsenal should have a lot of cahnces as they can not defend and if Szczesny will be allowed to play this is a big risk Arsenal will lose this game, so no point to go for Arsenal in regular time in odds like 1,6. No arguments for Aston Villa either as this is one of the poorest teams in PL

More picks later today

ATP 27/05

1. Klizan - Simon Klizan win 20/10 . Kurs 2,45 Bwin. Big chance to retire by Simon

2. Baghdatis - Dzumhur Dzumhur win 20/10 2,52 Pinnacle

3. Thiem - Cuevas Thiem 1,9 Bwin

4. Bautista Agut - Rosol Rosol 5 5dimes



5. Kohlschreiber - Andujar Andujar 3,2 Pinnacle

6. Matteo Viola – Guido Pella Viola win 3,80 Winner Challenger Vicenza

7. Gulbis - Mahut Gulbis 3-0 2,2 BetVictor

Surprises day in French Open today

Not so many favourites win as yesterday....definitely

But firstly Favourites win

1. Carreno Busta to beat Estrella Burgos 1,85 Marathonbet
2. Almagro to beat Dolgopolov 1,58 many bookies, this is banker, Almagro dark horse in this tournament despite long break
3. Duckworth to beat Arnaboldi 1,67 William Hill 2-0 2-3 rig!!
4. Janowicz - Hamou Hamou + 2,5 sets 1,61 everywhere

Now time for surprises. I am quite sure about Cilic

5. Haase to beat Cilic 3,72 Marathonbet
6. Hamou to beat Janowicz 4,77 Pinnacle
7. Bertens to beat Kuznetsova 5 Marathonbet
8. Berrer to beat Chardy 5,23 Marathonbet
9. Sock to beat Dimitrov 4,55 Marathonbet
10. Lacko - Ferrer Lacko + 2,5 sets 6 everywhere


If you want coupon for double money or bankers for today there are Ferrer (but can easily lose set), Sousa to beat Pospisil, Nadal, Almagro, Anderson, Djokovic, Gasquet, Kvitova (if no dicks in her head like Radwanska but most probably not).

Very possible upsets of Bouchard and Madison Keys

Good luck!

Accumulator for today French Open ATP + WTA

Svitolina
Radwanska and now in her head dicks instead of playing tennis :(
Stosur
Sharapova
Azarenka

Stakhovsky 4/7 live!
Coric 5/6
Goffin 1/7
Kyrgios 2/7
Schwartzmann 1/2
Monfils 1/9
Koukkinakis 1/6
Giraldo 2/9
Troicki 1/3
Kuznetsov 1/3
Mannarino 8/15
Edmund 1/2
Bolelli 1/5

Accumulator pays 1050 for 20 stake!!

I recommend Del Bonis live (he is losing), Vanni, be careful of Feliciano Lopez, Robredo win

French Open Monday!!

1. Kyle Edmund to beat Stephane Robert 1,56 Unibet
2. Dominic Thiem - Aljaz Bedene Bedene + 4 games 2,02 Pinnacle
3. Thanasi Kokkinakis - Nikoloz Basilashvili 3-0 2,47 Pinnacle
4. Alize Cornet - Roberta Vinci under 21,5 games 1,9 bet365
5. Johanna Konta - Denisa Alertova under 2,5 sets 1,57 bet365 most probably Alertova 2-0 win at 2,91 also option
6. Maria Sharapova - Kaia Kanepi Sharapova 2-0
7. Sharapova - Kanepi Sharapova - 6,5 2,08 Pinnacle

Many picks but most of them are good. I can not promise everything goes smoots, Edmund+ Kokkinakis + Sharapova good double money, the same goes for Alertova win, etc up to you, I have only long term profits.
Will prepare accumulator which I will send in William Hill soon later today

Newcastle relegation shot. Stoke big win already!!

Odds 6 everywhere.

Go and die Newcastle!

Second bet in case United will not surrend United win + West Ham win

One of this should be easy.

Also Liverpool to lose if Gerrard plays.

Rest of games total lottery

French Open first round - should be plus!!

ATP:

1. Wawrinka  - Ilhan 3-0 1,35 Pinnacle
2. Karlovic - to beat Baghdatis 1,85 many bookies
3. Rosol to beat Ymer - game in play already sorry for posting late, still can be live

WTA:

4. Larsson - Gavrilova Larsson + 4,5 gems 2,21 Pinnacle - game tomorrow!!
5. Cetkovska - Doi Cetkovska + 4,5 gems 2,05 Pinnacle
6. Schmiedlova - Van Uytvanck Van Uytvanck + 4 gems 2,05 Pinnacle
7. Smitkova - Townsend Townsend + 4,5 2,01 Pinnacle

What a day today! Granada - Atletico fixed draw!

Granada must stay in the league. This is too big laundry to get relegated. They are part of big business!!


Apart from this
Barcelona - Deportivo away win odds 15 Pinnacle What a fixed game, draw enough for Deportivo, if Deportivo needed three points would get easily, odds 100-1 on draw when 2-0 Farca!
Malaga - Sevilla home win 3,2 Coral

Bundesliga last day

HSV - Schalke home win

pays 2,25 William Hill

Good luck!!

Big money on this game!!!! EASY!!!

Amkar - Zenit home win!!

no fix but Zenit don't give a fuck!!

Home win pays 2,92 5dimes

Home win as fuck!!

Italian Serie B hopefully FIXED all

Ternana- Varese home win
Trapani - Pro Vercelli DRAW
Cittadella-Perugia home win
Carpi - Catania DRAW
Bologna - Lanciano home win
Vicenza - Frosinone home win

Two fixed matches for today

ldtips@yahoo.com

Arsenal - Sunderland + 52 Units main bet!!!

Arsenal - Sunderland DRAW
6,2 Pinnacle
over 2,5 1,6 5dimes

Draw makes both sides happy. Sunderland is safe while Arsenal will be 99.99999% third. It is Sunderland has to fight for a draw and they will go for it. Not realistic second consecutive Emirates defeat for Arsenal.
It will be a great bet to play live as probably Arsenal will score early and will be surprised by equalizer. Sunderland may even take a lead when Arsenal will equalize at the end....ok this is my dream scenario but I have a dream ;)

Money is flowin all the time for the home win and over 2,5, we have to fade it.

For fun

2-2 CS odds 23 easy to find
3-3 odds 67 minimum

ATP Nice picks 20/05 - remember aabout Lucic, 150 units on Monday great win!!

199. Carreno Busta to beat Lajovic 1,80 Pinnacle
200. Dolgopolov to beat Gulbis 1,56 Marathonbet
201. Thiem to beat Kyrgios 2,19 Pinnacle

WTA for a starter today

198. WTA Strasbourg Ljucic Baroni to beat Madison Keys 4,60 bwin
A lot of retirements denied me a big Monday WTA win, in my opinion player retiring should be automatically banned for health reason for two weeks and not allowed to participate in French Open. Players like Kerber, Govortsova, Tomic would NEVER retired if it was a case. But someone gets paid to have this circus. Anyway much bigger odds in one set bookie but I want hit something in tennis this week finally big. 

Yesterday small card, still penalty for Galatasaray in last minutes ruined another great hit. Today much better day in terms of football, great 20 units bet from Premiership but somehow if I write much before much does not go my way and if I hit like quarter an hour before kick off everything goes flawless. This is a big problem happens over months so no idea before 19:30  

Possible big profits today but don't kill me if not. Only people from Israel win every day

WBA - Chelsea

WBA win 5,75 BetVictor
HT/FT 1/1 9,5 everywhere

Things are simple. Chelsea have title secured and should have respect for home team and let them win as smart would be saving themselves for deserved rest and holidays. Having secured title, Chelsea drew as expected at home to Liverpool, now time to lose away.

West Bromwich will be put on sale in the summer with the chairman announcing leaving and the club should make a good impression to potential buyers, as it goes. Berahino probably would go so very reasonable is to promote him, letting to score, leave good impression.

More at stake for home team than it looks like, time to pack the team and players attractive.

West Brom always difficult for Chelsea anyway.

This is another 20 units play

Premiership + ATP + Spanish leagues (it will be more later today) - DIE NEWCASTLE!

Spanish 3rd league - segunda division B

153. Atl Astorga - Guijuelo home win (1,65) + Compostela - Aviles Aviles not to lose (1,42) 2,34 TipicoGroup 1. Things are simple Aviles most probably will win but draw can make them safe Tipico, slightly less odds Paddy Power, bet365 etc

154. Getafe B - Leioa away win 2,38 Ladbrokes (same sitation as Rizespor in midweek) despite lower in the table they are favourites as win makes them safe Group 2

155. Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas B away win 1,95 BetVictor Group 2 - win for LAs Palmas B means they are in play offs

156. Eldense - Baleares home win 1,55 Betway Huracan - Badalona home win 1,53 2,37 Betway Group 3

157. Federer to beat Djokovic 3,25 5dimes158. Federer + 3,5 games 1,96 MarathonbetATP Masters Rome Final

159. Swansea - Manchester City home win 5,09 Pinnacle
160. Manchester United - Arsenal away win 2,94 5dimes

Key for Swansea is keep the defence level as from Arsenal game. It should be easier to beat City at home than United away, somehow they managed to win at Emirates thanks to fantastic Fabianski performance. That game was like Arsenal achieved everything for this season, winning even too much recently so luck was on Swansea side.
If (a) Giroud plays from the start (b) Ospina plays (c) Ozil and especially Sanchez will play it means Arsenal will win this game. United more than happy to be back in top four, things could be worse, but someone has shaken Van Gaal into playing with Rooney up front and ditch 3-5-2. Still Arsenal is a much better side, with Sanchez coming things I knew they will be surely much better this season and not struggle to get top four anymore. Manchester has no arguments with Arsenal for last months if we compare teams. This game is also important how United will treat Hull game away. In my worst scenario (City one point gives top three for sure!) United win today means they could beat Hull at weekend but this time I will go fully optimistic into my scenario. Better tea wins today and United are locked in 4th place. In case of draw Arsenal also 99% 3rd place.

So I have to puts two units to two draws today Unibet pays 13,97 for City draw + Arsenal draw. This scenario would do for Arsenal and City and cancels all losses if I am totally wrong and it has to be very twisted scenario to ride me around.

But still I am assuming City and Arsenal top three while United are and should be more than happy with fourth place and they know the do not deserve more with this joke manager and team

QPR - Newcastle probably fixed game

142. QPR - Newcastle away win 2,50 20 units bet
QPR is in big trouble and shambles. Main reason is owner, rich and quite smart businessman listened to wrong, obsessed in the past people, additionally racially prejudiced ones. Wondering who recommended Les Ferdinand to QPR owner, maybe because he spent many years there as a player took its toll. But managing is a disfferent story and now we have a clear evidence how poor Les Ferdinand is when it comes to action. Club is down, players made a laughing stock and he brought Chris Ramsay a guy without managerial experience into the post. Furthermore both Ramsay and Ferdinand want Ramsey to stay despite relegation and this club demise will continue if everything continue like this. Fact is Les Ferdinand is no good manager, Chris Ramsay is no manager at all and no bright future for the club with them. They will go down and no way they return to Premiership. One of the first new season's long terms will be QPR relegation from the Championship but I guess they will be one of bookie's favourites to go up but this story will not happen.
Chris Ramsay went outburst yesterday about some players
[url]http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-3082225/QPR-boss-Chris-Ramsey-admits-club-offload-bad-eggs-following-Premier-League-relegation-disaster.html[/url]
And players like Zarate will never play for the club again. Anyway it's obvious QPR managerial team has a lack of skills and negative results were a matter of time. With this squad and budget commitments no one serious will take QPR as it is damaging for his reputation and things went even worse when Harry Redknapp escaped.
Newcastle - a lot of their own problems, their owner is a ruthless businessman who will not hesitate to destroy Newcastle if things go wrong as what he is doing wirh Glasgow Rangers now.
Anyway two reasons for QPR to to lose this game for me hence double stake.
One of this is very good connections between clubs in person of Les Ferdinand who spend many years in Newcastle and if Newcastle are looking for helping hand (I have no doubts about it) they will get help and will get three points. Sportswise Newcastle win is also nothing surprising as they have something to fight for, home team is finished. Knowing how ruthless business environment is I have no illusion Mike Ashley will look for help from QPR to assure they will lose today as Newcastle have so much lose in case of relegation. Newcastle can get three points today, from West Ham they will not even contact them, they have very big chances for a win today. Away win for me as hell, also many sport arguments for this but in normal circumstances Newcastle would not win this game but I have every reason to think Newcastle will win today, even if they have lost last 999 games. Newcastle have very friendly environment in QPR, despite of all QPR problems Newcastle should not win today there, but 90% (or maybe more) they will. See after a couple of hours
I mean if it was mid season game Newcastle had maybe 10 per cent chances to win there, when is no stake anymore for QPR Newcastle have much bigger chances to grab a win. I suspect also QPR will be approwached by Newcastle owners to let them win - it would only work for my favour

Newcastle - QPR most probably fixed away win

142. QPR - Newcastle away win 2,50 20 units bet
QPR is in big trouble and shambles. Main reason is owner, rich and quite smart businessman listened to wrong, obsessed in the past people, additionally racially prejudiced ones. Wondering who recommended Les Ferdinand to QPR owner, maybe because he spent many years there as a player took its toll. But managing is a disfferent story and now we have a clear evidence how poor Les Ferdinand is when it comes to action. Club is down, players made a laughing stock and he brought Chris Ramsay a guy without managerial experience into the post. Furthermore both Ramsay and Ferdinand want Ramsey to stay despite relegation and this club demise will continue if everything continue like this. Fact is Les Ferdinand is no good manager, Chris Ramsay is no manager at all and no bright future for the club with them. They will go down and no way they return to Premiership. One of the first new season's long terms will be QPR relegation from the Championship but I guess they will be one of bookie's favourites to go up but this story will not happen. Chris Ramsay went outburst yesterday about some players 
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-3082225/QPR-boss-Chris-Ramsey-admits-club-offload-bad-eggs-following-Premier-League-relegation-disaster.html

And players like Zarate will never play for the club again. Anyway it's obvious QPR managerial team has a lack of skills and negative results were a matter of time. With this squad and budget commitments no one serious will take QPR as it is damaging for his reputation and things went even worse when Harry Redknapp escaped. 
Newcastle - a lot of their own problems, their owner is a ruthless businessman who will not hesitate to destroy Newcastle if things go wrong as what he is doing wirh Glasgow Rangers now.

Anyway two reasons for QPR to to lose this game for me hence double stake. 

One of this is very good connections between clubs in person of Les Ferdinand who spend many years in Newcastle and if Newcastle are looking for helping hand (I have no doubts about it) they will get help and will get three points. Sportswise Newcastle win is also nothing surprising as they have something to fight for, home team is finished. Knowing how ruthless business environment is I have no illusion Mike Ashley will look for help from QPR to assure they will lose today as Newcastle have so much lose in case of relegation. Newcastle can get three points today, from West Ham they will not even contact them, they have very big chances for a win today. Away win for me as hell, also many sport arguments for this but in normal circumstances Newcastle would not win this game but I have every reason to think Newcastle will win today, even if they have lost last 999 games. Newcastle have very friendly environment in QPR, despite of all QPR problems Newcastle should not win today there, but 90% (or maybe more) they will. See after a couple of hours

QPR - Newcastle very possible fixed match in Premiership today!

Stay tuned, I smell fixed match today. Will deliver more info later today

NBA 14/05

139. NBA LA Clippers - Houston under 218 @ 2,20 Pinnacle
140. NBA Houston win (1,25) + Cleveland win (2,20) 2,75 Pinnacle
I don't buy the story Gasol back so they will beat Cleveland. Maybe but the bonis for the better team is additional couple of days rest and avoiding Game 7 risk, this is not so obvious difference (thanks to Cleveland nonchalancy) between teams like between Clippers and Rockets. 

I expect Clippers to squash Rockets today, not allowing them too much today, more important will be the win than scoring 125-130 points again, Clippers will be a winner today

138. Boca Juniors - River Plate away win 4,23 5dimes

As for River Plate. This is South American Manchester City. Huge money, no results in american CL, national success every second year, relegation recently, all like City. In group stage they failed to win first five games including home with being 95% favourite against Juan Aurich and got promoted thanks to leader Tigres despite not having to beat Juan Aurich away sending reserve team. It is like City failing to win first five games sneaking through thanks to reserves Bayern beaten Roma away. Big fluke for River but now is a different story. All of sudden they were favourte to beat Boca which have won all six games in group stage. Wonder why odds were set River favourite with one win in group stage when Boca won all six! I guess no one can answer but that game was all about River, all the time pressing, 12 corners, penalty and they got 'surprising' win. Now rematch with Boca favourites, still considering what these teams shown in group stage it should be 1,4 on Boca, like Barcelona - City odds (something like 1,4). And we have 2,10. I don't think it will be home team the winner today. River not to lose is a present, River to go through of course, I am sharp going for away win. It can be 1-5 1-4, it can be 4-4 wide options available but even if all odds theories are wrong South American City have beaten South American Barcelona. And deservedly! If they show similar football today draw is absolutely minimum

US Sports 13/05

1. NHL NY Rangers Washington Washington ML 2,45
2. NBA Atlanta win + Golden State win odds 1,54 accumulator
3. Atlanta - Washington under 199,5


Favourite's night tonight in NBA with Atlanta surely will have lesss percentage. No way both teams will go over 100 points each

Another + yesterday + ATP Card

Another successfully own fried NBA picks, another wrong NHL (what a run by loser)

ATP Card

113. Dolgopolov to beat Garcia Lopez 2,23 Marathonbet
114. Chardy to beat Murray 6 bwin
115. Isner to beat Mayer 1,53 Ladbrokes
116. Dimitrov to beat Fognini 1,58 Marathonbet
This might be not everything from tennis, there will be football picks, and probably US Sports later today

Ballikesirspor big win!! NBA + NHL 12/05

As you see game odds 7 cashed in!! Karabukspor two goals disallowed to deny second win, Bayern wan and it was only centimetres from another big win!

NHL Tampa Bay - Montreal Montreal ML 2,4 bet365
NBA Cleveland - Chicago home win 1,45 5dimes
NBA Houston - LA Clippers home win 2,35 5dimes

Well considering team potentials and LeBron vs Derrick Rose duel I have no doubt who should sweep the other one. Wondering how Chicago stole game away at Cleveland but LeBron James is a class above. After losing Game 1 Cleveland swept Chicago wit a margin even I did not expect, then two buzzer beater game. Things are getting serious and time for LeBron to accelerate in decisive moments and for god's sake less ignorance and arrogance as they could be 1-3 with his complacence. He is a great player but he has a zig zag games: one game he is hero, another one zero. Even when he got buzzer beater he was bad overall and I expect from him to turn the fifth gear today as stronger team should make a step ahead.

As for Houston game I have hesitation. Watching all the games and Quote
'If you have watched one game of this series, you would never consider betting on the Rockets. Clippers are on a mission and the Rockets won't stop them.' I fully agree. But they lead 3-1 and have a lot of air. Just like Barcelona today, they can afford to lose, no tragedy, they still keep home court match and if they want they will beat Houston convincingly. No chance if it was one game - winnergoes through for Houston. But they are losing 1-3 and it is air to not put 100% effort, but I reserve right to say tomorrow if Clippers really want to win this game, they will win it. Up to them, I am not sitting in their mind, I can assume they will step back as Rosenborg today. Away it is easier..

12/2 Turkish Day today!!

Karabukspor - Eskisehirspor home win 1,78

Apart from this
Istanbul Basaksehir - Sivasspor (away win odds 7 already 0-1!)

Kasimpasa - Balikesirspor away win odds nearly 7 now!

And Bayern

Football 12/05 - Some teams have to clear the bills for bookies!

As far as recent bad run is concerned I can see main reason was work distraction in the last week, unsuccessful shots on teams like Barcelona, Juventus, Rosenborg, Astra, what made big profits in first week failed this time (it could). Anyway this is a long time thread , staying away from work secured and it is a good moment to jump into bandwagon (or the cliff if you think) as there is no excuses from now on, another week on the way up. Some picks like Bayern or Balikesirspor still needs to clear bills for me and pick 
102. Bayern - Barcelona Bayern - 1,5 5,20 Marathonbet
103. Bayern - Barcelona over 2,5 1,65
104. Kasimpasa - Balikesirspor away win 6,98
105. Basaksehir - Sivasspor away win 7
Guardiola is not going to be sacked. He will also not go for City. He said 200 000 001 times he will stay at leadt one more year with Bayern. And both sides will have to eat this sour grapes and suffer another yer under Guardiola (Bayern) and suffer another year in Bayern (Guardiola) http://forum.bettingadvice.com/image...es/biggrin.gif
If Bayern will fail today to go throu whose fault it is? Guardiola or not? I would blame 85-90% Guardiola as he is manager responsible for managing the team and all the injuries are somehow puzzling. There are just too many of them Partially reason is fragile players like Robben.
Defeat with Augsburg is meaningless here. Even if all the players played they made a circus and did not take this game seriously. Augburg is their regional friend, they helped them to get Europe, cities are maybe 45-50 km apart, and also helped them last year to avoid relegation. No reason to panic Bayern lost with full squad to no namers. Yesterday Arsenal put the best team and lost at home, put a lot of effort but lost and Bayern lost without effort. Everything can happen.
Three scenarios for this game:
- Bayern win and going through
- Bayern win, fight bravely till the end but winning like 2-0 3-1 and still eliminated with heads up
- Bayern humiliation at home and losing game.

Losing three goals in 15 minutes is a big shame for Bayern and Guardiola, whatever you can say about Messi etc Bayern are no gherkins. 

Last week public favourite Barcelona won game, bookies paid a lot, this time Bracelona is public favourite again, but they have cushion, even if they lose 1-4 they are through. BTS is a good bet, Barcelona score and are through, over and Bayern handicap win are good bet, cause both sides will be happy (Bayern slightly less) Bayern through seems impossible but many impossible things have happened before.
Bayern -1,5 5,20
Over 2,5 1,65For me. I believe in Bayern win as it could do for Barca, save partially Guardiola and Bayern supporters will be cooled. However even for me it's hard to believe Bayern will overturn such a huge loss and will get eliminated. Losing today will put big ice bucket mass challenge gangbang on a head of Guardiola. It is his personal responsibility to get a result today and no excuses. Bayern win
If Bayern fails to win it is Guardiola's responsibility as simple as that. We will see if public will win twice in a row. Much 'smart money' went for Basaksehir last time, and I guess it's going again. Let's see and be ready for bookies to strike back and cancel my recent losses

ATP 12/05 Rome Card

1. Cilic to beat Garcia Lopez 1,78 Marathonbet 1,74 Pinnacle
2. Goffin to beat Arnaboldi 2-0 1,37 Pinnacle
3. Bautista Agut to beat Granollers Pujol 2-0 1,76 everywhere
4. Kevin Anderson + 2,5 2,21 Pinnacle

Only the last bet can be a losing one. Of course everything is possible, everywhere but three first are certainity and it should be enough after first three matches  to spend on risky 4th

Good luck!

US Sports 11/05

NHL Tampa Bay - Montreal Montreal ML 2,4 bet365
NBA Washington - Atlanta Washington win 2,7
NBA Memphis - Golden State away win 1,59
NBA Memphis - Golden State over 197,5 2,17 5dimes

Atlanta is utter rubbish, Washington can easily beat them again, absolutely no reason Atlanta to be favourite again.

Throughout the playoffs Atlanta Hawks very little reminds superteam of the regular season. Unconvincing win over no name team New Jersey Nets with many games down to the wire, big trouble in this series from the start. They only won Game 2 when Washington was a bit more relaxet. Game 3 Washington without John Wall, everyone expected easy Atlanta comeback, somehow they got beaten again. Final score (buzzer beater by Paul Pierce) is not representative at all as Atlanta was losing by something like 20 points and they came back to draw. This is not going to happen again, Washington will be more careful and they have veterans able to win again today. Atlanta is wobbling and hard to believe they are NBA Finals contender. Washington if play carefully have a great chance to win again and they should do it. Home win. Biggest problem of Washington are vulnerability for mistakes like attaacking foul or turnover in key moments, when they eliminate it they win very clearly.

It is not 'value on Memphis'. It must be a reason for such low odds despite they lost Game 2 (almost no one expected) and Game 3 (majority did not expect).
I think majority follows the tend in general and we see odds still lower on Golden State. If someone expect Golden State to recover it was Game 3. Now 'logic' is rather home win to win. 
And this is why Warriors will be a winner today for me. Memphis wins are combination of Conley heroic (will not be fully fit) and Golden State awful 3pt percentage (this is going to improve). Golden State win 1,52. Over 196,5 2,03. Golden State must and will improve their threepointers. No tragedy also for Memphis if they lose while very hard position for Warriors if they will


Golden State will win today.

NBA Sunday - own pick (after study)

NBA Clippers - Houston Clippers - 6,5 1,86, surely can be higher in Pinnacle bu this is live

Quote
'If you have watched one game of this series, you would never consider betting on the Rockets. Clippers are on a mission and the Rockets won't stop them.' I fully agree

NHL Sunday

1. Washington - NY Rangers under 4,5 1,83 bwin
2. Anaheim - Calgary over 5,5 2,06 SBOBET
3. Anaheim - Calgary Calgary moneyline 3,25 Boylesports, Stan James etc

There will be NBA pick, stay tuned.


Greeks fixed game today big win already

This should be fix

Kalloni - Atromitos draw 2,20

Live bet365

City - QPR

 City - QPR - potentially dramatic-advertising game.

City is no way trustable since January and QPR has to fight for a win - otherwise they are relegated. 

I believe in many goals, one goal win for City, with comeback. Try to cash in differetn scenarios - no way everyone would cash in but with 0-2 1-2 HT and City win 3-2 three bets would cash in

4 bets 5 units each

- QPR win 15 William Hill - Things are simple for QPR - three wins with Newcasyle losing twice till the end of season or they are relegated - up to them - good luck today 

- HT/FT 2/1 QPR must do something and with defence like Mangala-Demichelis  they will get something. QPR to score is a certainty today

- Over 4,5 goals - 3,2 Bet Victor

- City to win by exactly one goal 4,75 BetVictor 

I see dramatic win by City but QPR definitely getting goal or two rtoday. In case QPR wins we have a first scenario, Betting on 1,15 City is a madness long term 

Chelsea - Liverpool Liverpool not to lose, simple. Season is over for Chelsea, this game will be draw or away win. I think Chelsea and Mourinho have too much respect to fans to lose this game but champions do not care. Liverpool not to lose today. I am sure Gerrard will be fielded and all the media hype on him, maybe they will allow him to score, maybe he will score hat trick, but Liverpool not to lose is a winning bet today. As simple as this