niedziela, 24 lutego 2013

24. February - Premiership + Carling Cup

224. Newcastle - Southampton 2 @ 3,6 Coral, 3,58 5Dimes
225. Man City - Chelsea Chelsea + 0,5 @ 1,86 5Dimes

Hello

Double sorry - first for Real not winning (anyone seeing game saw how lucky United was and how they were rescued by De Gea's game of life).

Second sorry for no picks yesterday as I was extremely busy but they would not provide profits ultimately.

Short reasoningfor today's picks: I wrote many times I don't believe in Newcastle 'new' team and they will suffer after Thursday's Europa League game. As I predicted Southampton will rise and their last results are nt accidental in ayny way. Odds have fallen for away win but this is most probable for me than rotten and injured home side.

Originally wanted to bet on City at least not to lose but judging their line up I see they don't care championship fight anymore and without players like Komnany, Tevez, with Toure up front - well let's say at least Chelsea has a stronger line up today. Chelsea not to lose

See you tomorrow!

środa, 13 lutego 2013

Real will win today

223. Real - Man Utd 1 @ 1,61 Coral


Everyone in UK, at least bookies know Real will win the game today.

All their troubles are irrelevant. Let me just name three reasons:

1. Mannchester put serious lineup for Everton game on Sunday - ayway I expected they will play circus game but they did not rest on the pitch - United will pay heavy price for this tday and will get slaughtered - but if they prefer Premiership it's ok going out in 1/8 finals of CL for them

2. Many bookies give promotions 'if United win' so that means no chance for United to win today (ok let's say 99%) and looks like they know gme is arranged on home side

3. If United are so brilliant and Real are so shaky why do we have 1,59 on Real on Betfair at the moment

You know the answer. Real will win today

niedziela, 10 lutego 2013

Man Utd - Everton

222. Man Utd - Everton 2 @ 5,25 bet365 

Despite strong squad for United I am on away win

Aston Villa - West Ham

221.AstonVilla - West Ham 2 @ 2,88 PaddyPower, Stan James

Reasons in foreword

10. February - foreplay

A very good morning 

As I said professors forom Southampton will give a real rock to City which erased all the afternoon losses (really could not go worse on Saturday but such a situations are rarity in Premiership - still happens). If you bet on Tottenham following my advice you have profitable day. 

Southampton win was in no way accidental I blow the whistle this teams play very mature and attacking football and we were denying big win last week in last minute.

Today I am confident will be profitable day without hesitations and ups and downs.

First of all old fox Sam Allardyce will beat Aston Villa - he is such a games' specialist and knows how to motivate the team for certain games. Look at least 6 last fixtures Villa get decent result away and loses at home. I feel the meal for big, old fox is cooking

If Manchester are smart they will put reserve team today which most certainly will lose. If top players will play and will fight I am sure United will be dead in Mardid on Wednesday. They have a choice - win here or keep the gamein coming CL clash with Real and trying to catch two magpies will resuld escaping both of them. I believe Champions League is priority for United and Real despite their own troubles still can cut their head if Red Devils will not be focused on Wednesday

Picks before games - have a nice day

ETIHAD - Eleven Twats In Hiding After Defeat :D

sobota, 9 lutego 2013

Southampton - Man City

220. Southampton - Man City 1 @ 5,6 5Dimes

Bad day so far - bottom teams losing top teams winning means lways a bad day for me.

As I said Souuthampton will be hard nut to crack today. You will see ;)
215. Chelsea - Wigan Wigan DNB @ 7,5 Betway - Torres in starting line - up
216. Norwich - Fulham 1 @ 2,4 5Dimes
217. Stoke - Reading Reading + 0,5 @ 2,05 188bet
218. Sunderland - Arsenal Sunderland + 0,5 @ 2,08 bet365
219. Swansea - QPR 2 @ 5,46 Pinnacle

Good luck and see you before City game!

9. February - foreplay

Hello

Thanks to complete idiot from WBA receiving red card for spitting at the opponent home team lost despite being equal opponent to Tottenham by the time of red card.

I will bet on Tottenham today as they are still possessing too much quality for today's opponent - will wait for squads confirmation but I really not see home team will lose today - draw is absolute maximum for Newcastle. There will be hype on them as they bought many French players and Sissoko sank Chelsea in his debut but let's be honest anyone can beat Chelsea now. I do not believe in better times for Newcastle and see no reason they will be on a winning run suddenly - with all respect to their signings they are not equal to top Premiership teams in terms of quality. Even if - look at stats Newcastle wins every second home game and  have maybe one away win. Newcastle will not click - it is a sure thing for me

From the other games QPR to beat Swansea is a must take. Even stronger case than Southampton last week! Londoners have pumped too much money in the team and Rangers will be relegated ending in total disaster (even expulsed from the league like Portsmouth FC soon) and they will buy safety or go into hell. Last year they bought safety beating out of the blue Liverpool, Arsenal, Tottenham and Everton at the end of the season. Swansea will play for impression in the league (which means nothing) they are in League Cup Final and will be in a poor run. QPR lost at home to Swansea 0-5 (could lose 0-7 at least) and if you check it was my bet of the week for opening day of Premiership 2012/13. QPR is a strange team, losing or not winnig when no one expects and still safe thanks to wins when everyone think they are buried. Away win!

Southampton with new manager play like professors - even if they are not winning they give a good game and undoubtedly they will put hard resistance to City today.

Picks will be available 10 mins before the game but above conclusions will be taken by me as the strongest today. You know what ot do but last minute pick is the final pick

There will be hard to convince me to change of mind as far as Tottenham and QPR games go

niedziela, 3 lutego 2013

WBA - Tottenham

214. WBA - Tottenham 1 @ 3,75 Betway

Hi

short time to kick off - I told you yesterday Southampton odds are a gift and they converted and gave up in the last minute - anyone playing away win despite Wigan lead and selling out was profitable

Today much talk about Odemwingie but he is rubbish last season and home team unaffected and they will give a fine game

Home win DNB is a minimum of decency!!

See you later

sobota, 2 lutego 2013

2. Feb - Premiership

208. Arsenal - Stoke Stoke + 0,5 @ Odds will be updated if won, I think Stoke will resist
209. Newcastle - Chelsea 2 @ 2,05 Stan James
210. Reading - Sunderlad Reading DNB @ 1,75 BetVictor but big draw possibility striaght bet on drw is not bad
211. West Ham - Swansea 1 @ 2,5 Coral
212. Wigan - Southampton 2 @ 3,5 Pinnacle
213. Everton - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 1,5 


Hello

As I said do not bet on QPR I'm saying bet on Southampton

Good luck

Do not trust QPR

Sorry match is in play no pick from me but I recommend not in home team today. If you have play HT/FT 2/1

2. Feb - Premiership introduction

Hi

although midweek pick balance was horrible all I can say leans was correct and especially on Wednesday there was a moment when Norwich, Liverpool, Southampton and Everton were winning but nearly all of these teams squandered their lead in 70-th-80th minute.

I change the method for this season - picks are a bit sharper there is very rarely DNB option as I am convinced for longer time it brings more profit. Con of this system is when there is a draw it means weekl or two disastrous balance. Anyway I always bounce back and will bounce although I can not promise it will be today.

Very tricky games today - I am waiting for people's leans as there will be huge apetite for QPR win - I would not be so sure - this is suspicious team which buys games and big money is behind them and to make balance up they can afford to lose winnable game at home as there is much games remaining till the end of season. I will give you my decision 45 mins before match

Team very recommended is Southampton - since they changed manager their game even improved although almost everyone will bash board for Adkins sacking. They will play even better and odds like 4 or something are a gift for them. They are 'six points' game specialists - if you study their results with teams like Aston Villa, QPR, Reading and Newcastle you will see they know how to beat bottom teams. Losing at home to Wigan in August is just another argument they will claw something back today..

See you soon