wtorek, 27 listopada 2012

97. Aston Villa - Reading 2 @ 4,44 5dimes
98. Sunderland - QPR 2 @ 3,3 5dimes

Hello everyone

sorry for tragic weekend but it was a result of horrible weather, managerial turbulences in some club (some of them firing manager, some of them escaped the chop) and mmy picks were 'with balls' let's say the cheeky one's. This strategy somehow has to fail after last weekend's surprises we saw relatively 'normal results'

I still believe Reading should have won Wigan game, that was a dogfight and game could go either way at least. This time Royals play even poorer team Villa and they have to pick points in dogfights like this. They definitely have a chance today and Aston Villa odds considering their roster is a joke. There are h2h advantages for Villa but since O'Neill's departure we have Villa as a top 16 clubs not top six anymore.

There will be Harry Redknapp effect sooner or later and I go straight away win at Stadium of Light today. QPR were not that bad at Old Trafford - actually Man Utd was poor for significant part of the game - and I am sure Harry has been tailored for this job earlier than last Saturday - QPR changed managerial support in the middleof the week  - such things are pretty uncommon as clubs sack their managers usually on ondays. Sunderland is poor in general although they createsituation thy don't really have firepower up front - haveto admit some of WBA goals were jokes but I believe QPR machine will start rolling today. Away win


niedziela, 25 listopada 2012

25. November - Premiership

93. Swansea - Liverpool 2 @ 2,11 5Dimes
94. Southampton - Newcastle Newcastle -1 @ 6,25 bet365
95. Tottenham - West Ham 2 @ 5,50 Ladbrokes - stream of poor results led by poor manager, Tottenham under Villas Boas is a mess
96. Chelsea - Man City 1 @ 2,63 Stan James - I go for a very good start made by Benitez. Dzeko is good as a joker, not as a starter

Everyone is on Southampton today because of poor run and injuries plague of guestes. Absolutely rubbish odds on poor team in defence and there is no point to bet on home team on much corrected odds. Away win - also straight win is worth of try, as Newcastle player's quality is still far greater than Southampton's ones. Away win

Liverpool to win today. Regardles of the lineups injuries. Let me explain:

1. Since Brendan Rodgers gone from Swansea to Liverpool special relations were opened between these teams like potential deals etc
2. Liverpool under Rodgers and Rodgers himself is one big shambles and misunderstanding and they had so many oportunities to get up and they failed somehow media still buy the story about 'potentially great and rising' Liverpool everytime they keep the ball (even on their own half) and Liverpool win would fuel the hopes about these 'sleeping giants'
3. Liverpool gave game to Swansea in League Cup losing at home
4. Swansea position in table is comfortable and they should give something to messy Liverpool back
5. Rodgers needs desperately time and space as Liverpool had worst start for 112 years and some

Swansea - Liverpool away win and I wish to be wrong but I feel Swansea will give three points to the Reds today

Stay tuned for further picks

sobota, 24 listopada 2012

87. Sunderland - WBA 2 @ 3,11 Pinnacle
88. Everton - Norwich 2 DNB - proportion of bets for 2 and draw - Pinnacle 7,54 for Norwich
89. Man Utd - QPR no bet because spanking for QPR at worthless odds
90. Stoke - Fulham 2 @ 3,74 Pinnacle
91. Wigan - Reading 2 @ 4,22 Pinnacle
92. Aston Villa - Arsenal 1 @ 5 Ladbrokes

Hello

these are no crazy picks by any means but I have a big feeling Fulham - Sunderland game was screwed thanks to red card for stupid Fulham midfielder and at least Fulham will claw back what they deserved a week ago.

WBA performance is in general much more impressive than Sunderland's ones that they although not lose a lot they don't wn either. Draw is of course in options but away win odds are so tasty and we should expect so many dangerous situation created by dangerous away midfielders and strikers that Suderland goalkeeper will be kept warm today. West Bromwich is flying let's hope they continue

Everton and Wigan are depleted by injury crisis, no point to repeat after BBC or teamtalk but their absences surely will affect their performance today. I will be extremely, extremely surprised if they both win. Do not bet on Everton and Wigan today.

There is something wrong in Arsenal game - odds direction suggest they gave game away to Aston Villa like Swansea last year but I believe anyway Arsenal are overachieving at the moment and there is time to rest. Villa should pick points today


Let's have a nice day


środa, 21 listopada 2012

21. November Champions LEague English teams

85. Man City - Real 1 @ 3,30 Pinnacle
86. Arsenal - Montpellier 2 @ 10 Stan James

Hello

City extreme offensive line up and no space for mistakes although I still believe they will be eliminated o the last day. Still City has greater potential, less injuries and this game is a must for them
Arsenal something tells me will be a strange game. Looks just too easy but Montpellier is not as bad as their results suggest. Let's hope for a surprise at Emirates

Good luck and have a nice day

New Chelsea manager

84. Rafa Benitez new Chelsea manager @ 1,62 William Hill

Hello

this is 99 % sure info as main favourite Guardiona EXCLUDED many ties publicly about managerial return this season. Benitez is huge favourite for the post and I believe deal has been strucked. Take before odds go down  - very smal chance of not agreeing managerial contract for Benitez both sides are negotiating now.

Good luck!

wtorek, 20 listopada 2012

20th November Champions League

82. Galatasaray - Man Utd Galatasaray - 1,5 @ 3,55 bet365
83. Juventus - Chelsea Chelsea + 0,5 @ 2,21 pinnacle  AND THIS DEFEAT COSTED DIMATTEO JOB SO THEY LOST MUCH MORE THAN US

Hi

I can't imagine Chelsea effectively eliminated from CL despite their poor form recently and odds on Juventus is way way down considering their results.
Manchester game is like a lottery, they have 2nd or even third team on the pitch and I believe they will lose for a second time in three days - if not let me turkish team the biggest suckers on this planet which should be banned for european cups for many years - whatever for poor quality or fixing games. Galatasaray win is an only option today if everything is clean

Good luck

niedziela, 18 listopada 2012

Fulham - Sunderland - 18. November

81. Fulham - Sunderland 1 @ 1,80 William Hill

Hello

fantastic day yesterday huge wins!

This time no philosophy here as Fulham is strong at home, Sunderland is without their topscorer Fletcher and they are also in a very poor form. Fulham win!

Have a nice day

sobota, 17 listopada 2012

17. November - Premiership

75. Liverpool - Wigan Wigan not to lose @ 2,80 Unibet
76. Man City - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 2 @ 1,95 bet365
77. Newcastle - Swansea 2 @ 3,8 Ladbrokes
78. QPR - Southampton 1 @ 2,05 William Hill
79. Reading - Everton 2 @ 1,85 Expekt, 1,82 any others
80. WBA - Chelsea 1 @ 3,8 Ladbrokes BET OF THE WEEK

Hello

no time for every preview but I would like to stress WBA pick as most important one this week. Chelsea new era started one year ago at WBA and I have the feeling they will lose again today. Anyway looking at the line-up I don't see Chelsea treats this game seriously ahead of important CL clash. Another home win for WBA!

Have a nice day

81. Norwich - Man Utd 1 @ 7 huge value

United without Rooney obviously neglecting fantastic home atmosphere and consistent Norwich team. They will offer resistance today after last season's marginal loss and they have a right to be angry until today considering circumstances they lost to United last year. this year is a different story, Norwich is on a run, full squad available, fanatic support, United does not treat this game seriously. Home win!


niedziela, 11 listopada 2012

11. November - Premiership

73. Man City - Tottenham 1 @ 1,53 Pinnacle
74. Chelsea - Liverpool 1 @ 1,91 PAddy Power, Expekt and many other

City with much better line up will create a lot of threats under Friedel's goal and will make up Champions League failures. Home win and stay tuned for next games
I also don't believe in Liverpool can cause any threat for rolling Chelsea with this team. Was leaning towards 'Liverpool not to lose' but this is Liverpool not Manchester United and referee should not help them - not Howard Webb!! Home win!

sobota, 10 listopada 2012

10. November - Premiership

66. Arsenal - Fulham Fulham + 1 @ 2,02 Pinnacle
67. Everton - Sunderland Sunderland DNB @ 6,60 BetVictor, 6,20 Unibet
68. Reading - Norwich Reading DNB @ 1,69 TheGreek
69. Southampton - Swansea 2 @ 2,92 Pinnacle
70. Stoke - QPR 1 @ 2,05 William Hill
71. Wigan - West Bromwich 2 @ 3,5 bet365

Hello everyone

due to lack of time plain picks today - high odds but I do not see a disaster for us;)

This is the time when Everton can slip as they meet quality although sleepy team. I believe steadily in Norwich but finally must take draw no bet option this time (and they most probably will win).
No chances for QPR for full stake at Stoke, draw is slightly in their reach but they will rather lose -  no Santa Claus yet.
Wigan is sky flying after Tottenham win but this is thanks to 'geniuos' Villas Boas not their achievement. Away win for WBA if they concentrate

Have a nice day!

wtorek, 6 listopada 2012

Tuesday, Nov thh, Arsenal and City CL games

64. Schalke - Arsenal Arsenal DNB @ 3,12 Pinnacle
65. Man City - Ajax Ajax not to lose (+0,5) @ 3 William Hill


Hi
The first match was with very strange high odds on home win as  rate Arsenal much higher than Schalke and Schalke not to lose at Emirates was big and easy fish. Today it's a different story, with Arsenal returns I see no way to win for Schalke and maybe there will be 3 for 3 game as Arsenal controls groups stage at many occasion to advance together with many teams. No Schalke win today and draw does not help anybody.

There are o many reasons to write why ity odds are rubbish and there are reasons on and  off the pitch. Bookies are not involved in this game, however they would love to Ajax not to lose this game but I repeat there are many sports reasons thiw game will not go into home side.

Good luck!

poniedziałek, 5 listopada 2012

WBA - Southampton

63. WBA  -Southampton 1 @ 1,91 William Hill

Home team is flying at home, away team struggles away. No smallest reason to suspect fishy game. Southampton with third (!) goalkeeper with failured one on the bench and another 'star' suspended.
Joker in the bench for WBA  - Lukaku. Home win today without a doubt

PS THERE WILL BE PICKS TOMORROW (Champions League English teams)

niedziela, 4 listopada 2012

4. November Liverpool - Newcastle

62. Liverpool - Newcastle 2 @ 5,76 5Dimes


Full stake for awy win today. Liverpool is one of the poorest team in this league and tthey will miss main goalkeeper today and will rely on Gerrard as this is his 600th game. That will mean that either he will be a hero or he will have awful performance which is much more probable due to his age. Newcastle is going for a win today when we look at their line up and they and they fans really believe they can win

Me too!! away win!

sobota, 3 listopada 2012

Premiership - November 3rd

56. Man Utd - Arsenal Arsenal DNB
57. Fulham - Everton 1 @ 2,75 William Hill
58. Norwich - Stoke 1 @ 2,6 William Hill
59. Sunderland - Aston Villa  1 @ 2,05 Expekt, Canbet
60. Swansea - Chelsea 2 @ 1,88 Pinnacle
61. Tottenham - Wigan Wigan + 0,5 @ 2,75 Pinnacle


Hello and let's hope there will be not many draws this week as odds for every team are tasty

Brave picks on home win in case of Norwich and Fulham. Cottagers should be too much for weakened Toffees and I doubt Felaini is fully fit after injury. If there will be a winner in Fulham - Everton game it will be home team.

Norwich plays very well in last games and they should have no relegation trouble as one and only team after turbulent changes in summer - their manager is capable of steering them into safety.

Sunderland will be too strong an Aston Villa will be eaten today as additionally special motivation comes into light - O'Neil was Aston Villa manager before and this is most prestigious win for him throughout the season. Home win

This is hot the same wobbling Arsenal - they have many ijnured players back today and there is no way referee will give favour to turkeys after last weekend events. If aaway team can secure back although it will be hard they can go for a win today.

More picks will follow fantastic odds, confident picks  and profits on the way - stay tuned!!