Always Remember you are the winner Agata

140. Chelsea - Bolton Bolton + 2 @ 1,66 Canbet

141. Wigan - Arsenal Wigan + 1 @ 2 Stan James

142. Liverpool - Wolves Wolves DNB @ 9,55 Betfair

Hello

more interesting things to do this evening than writing a long story and West Ham does not play today ;)

In normal circumstances no way Chelsea wins by more than one goal - team is in slump and there is no way out possibly players are against manager Ancelotti. Bolton has good position in table and plays attacking football hopefully they will not be scared

Wigan a lot of easy games until end of February apart from two games with Arsenal. One of them should be won like last year

Wolves plays with teeth grit with top teams. Won over City and lost in last minutes with Chelsea or MU away. Reds are a joke team this season top players have identity crisis - Wolves has no other choice than go for a win here

That's it for today have a nice evening AGATA

28th December Premiership picks

133. MC - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 1.25 @ 1,82 Canbet

134. Stoke - Fulham Fulham + 0.25 @ 2,42 188bet

135. Sunderland - Blackpool 1 @ 1,65 Gamebookers, 5 Dimes

136. Tottenham - Newcastle Newcastle + 1 @ 2 bet365 x2 or away win also playable

137. WBA - Blackburn Blackburn + 0.5 @ 2,16 Pinnacle

138. West Ham - Everton West Ham + 0.5 @ 1,77 IBCbet

139. Birmingham - MU Birmingham + 1 @ 2,07 188bet

Hello

Today's picks are mostly against the public. Everyone thinks that Blackburn or Fulham are rubbish because of last time's pathetic display. I told you West Ham and Stoke went for a win there especially first heroes because of 'off the pitch reasons' - time for balloon t explode and teams like WBA or Stoke will explode very soon

City should win game with Villa please read Boxing Day comment what is going on in Villa but I have a sneaky feeling handicap is way too high on guests which will be irritated by second home defeat on Saturday. Team still has some quality and may surprise one time or another especially if City struggle at home many times this season. Handicap + 1.25 means we are cashing in even if City will win by one goal which also will not be easy - Newcastle game was won in first five minutes thanks to giveaway day by Tim Krul City is also not 100% team

After Fulham - West Ham result majority of people think Fulham is near the bottom and lose this game easily or not but lose - I don't think so. I will write special post about situation with West Ham in free time but tragic team wo game in Craven Cottage and Stoke won away - this is potential trap  - Stoke is not quality team to take such games easily remember game with Blackpool. Fulham not to lose this game

Sunderland will win today. Some miracles happened and half of the city is healthy one day after game with Man United. Fit Sunderland is way too strong for anonymous newcomers and will cook them. Handicap options also playable but straight home win we have nice odds and I'm on it.

I see Tottenham - Newcastle game as a potential landmine. Those are friendly teams at least as far as owners are concerned. Mike Ashley is pure Londoner and fan of Tottenham (bought northern team because bigger power bought Tottenham) but 'Cockney fatman' is still in good relations with Tottenham management. He shipped them already Sebastian Bassong and big transfer may be done in January: swap Andy Carroll - Robbie Keane + Peter Crouch + money is possible and may bring a lot of beefits for every side apart from Newcastle fans side. Great display of Andy Carroll today may only increase the price. Other reasons are: Defoe red card, Van Der Vaart still not 100% fit after what I saw on Villa park and Newcastle result with City deludes everyone. This team can afford epic performances as proven many times this season already. Even away win is possible today!

I can write a long story about West Ham in my opinion they will win game over Everton and don't believe 'Experts' West Ham is tired after Fulham game. This team will be winning and safe because of 'far from the pitch' reasons the question is only which games they will select to win. Everton is a partner to talk in this case like in 2007.

What can I say about West Ham roster? From what I saw yesterday I would not risk a single penny on this team if I did not study their connections. Victor Obinna should be back to reinforce forward yesterday's forward was tragic players like Ben Haim means someone has big laudry in this club

Nevertheless West Ham at least not to lose this game is my pick of the day yet again

Good luck for today let's go for clean sweep again

Boxing Day Premiership picks

124. Fulham - West Ham West Ham + 0.5 @ 1,97 Pinnacle

125. Blackburn - Stoke Stoke + 0.5 @ 1,69 5Dimes

126. Blackpool - Liverpool Blackpool + 1 @ 1,71 IBCBet

127. Bolton - WBA  Bolton -0.25 @ 1,84 188bet

128. Everton - Birmingham Birmingham + 1 @ 2 Canbet

129. MU - Sunderland Sunderland + 1,75 @ 1,88 VCBet

130. Newcastle - MC MC -0.25 @ 2,05 188bet

131. Wolves - Wigan Wigan + 0.5 @ 1,84 SBObet

132. Aston Villa - Tottenham Tottenham DNB @ 1,7 188bet

A lot of games today and I have an early view which is I admit based more on weather and behind the scenes action than on sport based factor. Many positive handicaps as I think it will be hard to break theoretically weaker teams and in Christmas period we generally not see many goals.

First game is ne of the most obvious for me as West Ham has no choice must start collecting points now, before games with Chelsea or Arsenal come again. This team has a lot of FA connections and gets a helping hand many times should be relegated many times but still treading above the water. This seasoon thy just have to stay in league pressure is huge. Team has no manager I mean no manager hired on content-related basics just on national basics and results are poor. Team has interesting squad and plays better than results indicate and has no other choice tha go for a win in every match every point is priceless. Fulham trip they definitely treat as opportunity to make some points up and know this rival very well. West Ham were so close many times to away win (hit the post last week in Blackburn and being much better in second half) so they will go for point(s) on Craven Cottage. I think West Ham has squad able to get at least draw from this game.

Blackburn new manager without experience and I wonder who gives ideas to new club owners - they hired manager delivering constatntly certain level of services and entertainment and hired Mr Nobody. I bet they will pay for this team will struggle players like chris Samba will leave - Stoke are vultures in such situations and will go for a win here.

Liverpool woeful away form and another game they seem to gt nothing away because of Hodgson policy nothing more to talk about here as game could be called off - regardless of absences and rivals Liverpool should be naver favourite in away games

Bolton - WBA is a bit suspiciously high odds on home win taht's why I will not choose straight home win which in normal cirrcumstaces is the most obvious pick. 70% chances home team will win here but they already stumbled with Blackpool so the handicap -0.25 seems to be logical conclusion

Everton - Birmingham after away win with City where they had 4 shots and zero corners in whole game they have to face defensive-minded team quite hard to beat although rarely winning. I am sure Everton in home games where they seem to be clear favourite will be in trouble to break the opponent. They lost ad drew many 'easy' home games this season and I will never trust this team without quality strikers anymore. Birmingham should not even lose this game but + 1 handicap is so large it is hard not to take. One of the two most obvious picks for today

MU nearly always struggling this season winning the most games with one goal margin scoring often in injury time but they still win a lot and are clear leaders (with two games in hand). Sudderland for this game has suddenly seven absentees (which I thing will be fully back for next game) and I think what is going one. The fact is both managers are friends but for Steve Bruce duels with Ferguson are prestigious and he gives a hard fight. Even if United will winwith one goal margin handicap is on our side - playing Rooney means relax for Sunderland goalkeeper it should not be MU - Blackburn repeat

Man City will meet definitely hard resistance in Newcastle - home team has big firepower: Carroll, Nolan and will give a fight like in the game with Chelsea about month ago. City is a bit better team and last home defeat should help them to put things together and go for a win if they still want to be in contention. They won clearly a lot away games this season and in my opinion have slight but edge here. Away win DNB is also option because to be honest draw is more realistic result than away win - City will not have an easy life in that game

Wolves is a 'sheam'  and odds for home win in Wigan game are far too short. It could have a point if it would be an arranged home win which will not be a case. Relegation battle and away team will give a desperate fight. They have 'striker killer' Al Habsi on goal which already denied many teams from scoring in last months. Wigan is not rival you can win 4-0 or 6-0 anymore for some time. They have players which can have a bright moments out of the blue and experience from rescuing themselves from relegation. They have to fight today.

Aston Villa is youngster's selling club according to Randy Lerner and club will be in huge trouble this and maybe next season. It is their choice I only regret beguiled fans which are 90% of them very nice and friendly people. Some power is steering from above and behind and club with heart and tradition is a business tool in last fourteen games they won only two with surrounding clubs (WBA and Wolves) I see no way they win today with wide developed and rostered guests. Away win DNB

GL and cheers

20th December City - Everton game

123. Man City - Everton 1 @ 1,83 Pinnacle 

Only one result for me here. Everton can give sometimes hard resistance against top teams but this will not be the time to get anything in my opinion. Tevez will play and has to play and when he plays he always gives 100%. Unles big striker signings or Donovan will arrive Everton will sink in the table they are already deep. Too big quality difference, too big opportunity for leading the table efor Christmas. In my opinion Citizens will beat Everton. Good luck

18th December only one game today

122. Blackburn - West Ham West Ham DNB 3.66 Pinnacle


1. Blackburn sacked manager Allardyce on Monday
2. There is a big rumour Allardyce will be new West Ham manager
3. Blackburn play West Ham tomorrow at home
4. Blackburn paid Allardyce compensation for breaching contract few millions => hole in budget - new Blackburn owners are not too generous
5. West Ham has to stay in the league just has
6. For an away win theoretically West Ham may cover budget hole for West Ham and three points are won - I am considering away win very strong at delicious odds
7. 'Great escape' in 2007 started from away win at Blackburn - this was a big circus
From WHU website
Jonathan Spector knows a thing or two about Hammers survival battles.
The US defender was a big part of the West Ham United squad that won seven of the last nine matches in the 2006/07 to stay up against all the odds. The first match of that memorable magnificent seven? Blackburn Rovers away on 17 March 2007.
8. This club should be relegated years ago and struggling nearly every season after Curbishley departure but has very good relations with FA and in my opinion club has special treatment
9. I am not saying West Ham has bought three points tomorrow but there are some strange moves around this game
10. There is also contradiction: if West Ham wins away Grant will be safe (I believe Jew will never give a Jew bad treatment so Grant is safe) and Allardyce will not come to West Ham - so in my opinion even if spread well rumour is still a rumour

11. Blackburn new owners are under heavy fire from British media and sport people but I believe they know what they are doing and will be OK - in my opinion they will lose today and appoint new manager next week and fans and media will be calmed down

I m going for away win in this game never would risk a pence in club on artificially triggered turmoil. Away win

17th December Carlos Tevez situation

Hi let me write about Carlos Tevez's dispute wit Man City management - my point of view.

He is a little child crying but cashing big money to play for Man City - he is to play football not comment situation - if I was manager I would never let him go but placed on a bench and break his career - with this approach he has nothing to search for in a world of professional football. He is good but his behaviour outside the pitch is childish and adolescent. The same if I was a manager of any club I would never hire him this is potential ticking bomb.
I repeat Teves should focus on playing football nothing more as he has in contract - conflicts have nothing to do in adult life you have to sort it out he is not six years old come on be a man.
e is a very simple man from Argentinian village on etime missing for his home and family another one wants transfer request - this is ridiculous and for me City board should put him in reserves or in a bench if after talk he will still criticise club. They have all the cards contract until 2014 and the lub is side which set rules here.
Probably it's all aboutth money (like Rooney but I still believe Rooney will go out) some misterious agents (Kia Joorabchian) are around Tevez (and Macherano) and they adviced him to argue  - anyway club's  way of dealing all this  may be man to man talk and radical action. Carlos  Tevez has little (if nothing) to say

See you tomorrow another Premiership day

15th December Blackburn new owners

Hi
Let me tell you few words about Blackburn's owners Balaji Rao and brother Venkatesh.
Many people claimed sacking Allardyce is a crazy move but I do not see things so bad. They bought Blackburn Rovers to steer club higher than they used to be. Of course Jack Walker times in Abramovich or City era is little realistic but Blackburn may be top six club for few seasons in a row.
These businessmen are very respectable for me although first test will be new managerial appointment. Somehow I have belief in them they are serious not like this yankee joker from FC Liverpool or pornography sellers from West Ham - they want a good and stable future for the club. Not the biggest money are behind them but well managed club may fully fulfill everyone's expectations. Blackburn is not an expensive club for English circumstances and although we can not expect radical improvement things will be better for a long time
Anyway decent guys deserving at least some credit - good luck

14th December special pick

121. Martin Jol next Blackburn manager
odds will check later two hours ago was 3.5 update 4.4 Betfair 4.3 Betdaq 2.87 Bodog

Club fired Sam Allardyce out of the blue this means one. New owners have plan to get better results and have a vision and maybe already proper person to realise this vision.
Allardyce sacking does not reflect current club situation which is absolute not bad and results were not disappointing at all. Martin Jol is free man - Newcastle did not sign him and he may lead Rovers into new way with even more attacking style. He has good reminiscences in England at Tottenham butthat bulgarian bitch Berbatov caused him to lose this job. I feel Martin Jol will be enjoying return to England and he still has something to prove here. He is main bookies's favourite
No Premiership game  today but odds are worth attention.

Crazy things are happening in the last days that even days without any game are interesting. I could ask myself was Bolton - Blackburn if Blackburn players were convinced by someone to lose this game deliberately to have justification for remowing Big Sam? Even if it was not the case sacking has no objective reasons and they have to bring big name to improve things.

Out of the candidates for managerial position from Blackburn I can say Alan Curbishley will definitely not be in this position  he does not want to move outside London and people from London have disrespect in other parts of England so he does not want to be stressed - besides Blackburn board is interested in something more than midtable position - and definitely Sven Goran Eriksson is out of options. Martin o'Neill will not accept this job as  Diego Maradona is a total joke. Martin Jol very much in options.

Have a nice day!

13th December Man Utd - Arsenal

120. Man Utd - Arsenal Arsenal DNB @ 3,33 Betfair, 3,25 Bet365 away win also to consider big recommendation

End of fairytale for Manchester United believers - dream is over. They have not a single Premiership defeat this season but after one week they will have two - this club is definitely not for a top four and some top teams will show them lesson. Only Arsenal con is goalkeeper unexperienced Wojciech Szczesny but Chamakh, Arshavin, Nasri, and so on means heavy fire Arsenal goes for a win here - they are much much better team in terms of quality - this game is the beginning of Manchester United demise - no one more will give them game on a plate like Wigan Wolves or Blackburn this game is hard, very hard exam - in my opinion United will fail it completely. Certain away win!

12th December Premiership picks

117. Bolton - Blackburn Blackburn + 0.5 @ 1,85 188bet
118. Wolves - Birmingham Birmingham DNB @ 2,38 188bet
119. Tottenham - Chelsea 1 @ 3,21 Pinnacle

Hi
thanks for good opinion about my work I will continue this job and will not change approach as long as we are winning in the long term

Blackburn and Bolton are quite similar teams and they reside not far away from each other. This is Lancashire derby and Blackburn will not go there for a head slashing but will put heart and effort. What will be result? Like everytime everything is possible but odds should be more equal as for me away win has the same chances as home win. These are mirror teams and Allardyce has slightly bigger managerial experience and is in Rovers for years and I repeat he assures certain game of playing. Away side not to lose this game

Many people said Wolves are an adult team before start of this season. Of course they made some promising signings but this is not a team for top tier of football - not many people like hyenas and vultures and in normal fight Wolves usually have nothing to say with experienced teams. They can put best effort against carefully selected teams (always giving away games to Machester United) and play reserves against others. This will be decisive factor as this is surely team for last place in the table at the end of season. Birmingham is well managed club, this is a derby so guests are not without chances to get something out of this game

And cherry on cake

Tottenham - Chelsea - I just can't understand someone claiming Chelsea will get something here. This club is in turmoil and Abramovich makes stranges moves like firing Wilkins. Teams plays bad, Ancelotti has not a clue when problems appear and he has no dignity at all when owner fires his comrades and he even does not xomment it. Tottenham is developing constantly, collects a lot of experiences from interational games and are well managed financially. Club has stability allowing it to fight for biggest prizes after playing very attractive football.
Call me crazy (fans of both teams will) but I like both teams I have reasons. Chelsea is on turbulent period Tottenham is developing and on the rise and future is bright. Home win

11th December Premiership picks

112. Aston Villa -WBA Aston Villa DNB @ 1,88 188bet

113. Everton - Wigan Wigan + 1,25 @ 183 bet365

114. Fulham - Sunderland Fulham -0.25 @ 188bet

115. Stoke - Blackpool 1 @ 1,67 Paddy Power

116. WHU - Man City 2 @ 2,02 Pinnacle

Everton brilliant performance at Chelsea but this is crisis club. I had a feeling that they will not lose at Chelsea and they were even closer to win the game - Chelsea penalty was incorrect decision by referee. Yes Leighton Baines played brilliant game but this is young player very vulnerable after beautiful performance may have nine averages ones. Wigan have one factor - unpredictability and they may stune hosts like WBA did. Everton until Landon Donovan will come in January I will be always against when they will play against lower-midtable teams especially at home they will disappoint fans and backers 90% of games. It will be hard game for hosts even if Rodallega will not play and chances of Everton winning by two goals and more are approximately 10%. I don't believe in current Everton when they are favourites constantly

Despite Tevez is suspended City announced very strong squad for West Ham game and goes for a win although it will be hard. LEt's analyse the lineup: rocksolid Hart on goal,  strong defence without 'brains' like Boyata (who normal gets red in 5th minute??), always stone midfield although without James Milner but with many other options and forward without this Togolese loser and parachute but with Balotelli and Silva - this means Robert Green under heavy fire City goes for a win here and I am backing them despite hard resistance which hosts will definitely put. Anyway away win City is stronger

6th Decembet Liverpool - Aston Villa game

111. Liverpool - Aston Villa Aston Villa +1 @ 1,95 gamebookers, 1,93 bet365

Friendly match against teams in clear downtrend. I have a cheeky feeling that Villa +1 will be returned money at least let's elaborate why. Liverpool with doubtful Gerrard and Torres in identity crisis - they played magnificent game at Tottenham so I feel now it's the time for weaker game. The chairmen are both Yankees so maybe it's a deal between them to help one other who knows these guys both know what they are doing. Sport factors are much behind when it comes to politics in English football. I was watching last time Aston Villa game this team would be OK if scored more goals and when scores at least one they do not need to make dozens of tragic mistakes in defence like Arsenal game. Awa side not to losing this game is my point of view

5th December game of the day and maybe of the weekend

110. Sunderland - West Ham Draw or away win (West Ham + 0.5) @ 2,03 Pinnacle

Let's face some truth about West Ham United - I wrote a lot last week about situation in this club but they unexpectedly started winning run confirming good form with red turkeys smashing.
Truth is this club should be relegated three years ago but had fantastic run ending last day's away win at Old Trafford. I am fully convinced it was a deal you will sell Tevz to United you will winn at United you will stay in the league.
This club also has good relations with many FA officials hired there as former West Ham players like Trevor Brooking for example they are receiving special protection no one will say it opennly but everything indicates on it for me at least.
I will say as a maniac West Ham will not be relegated despite league position there is too much money involved the question is only they achieve safe status with Avram Grant or without him. Last events show they will try to save him as Jew (David Gold) always will protect Jew (Avram Grant) they have it stated in their bible and respect this.
Poilitics is much more decisive in this club results than sport form but this is still much better club than league position shows us sure thing is there are few weaker teams in Premiership than they. Even with presented backgrounds they still have chances to draw today's game (and with handy +0.5 we have still great deal of counter options if West Ham will score first) - Sunderland is very convnenient rival for them out of last eleven head to head games only one Sunderland win and Avram Grant never lost with Steve Bruce in six premiership games including leading Portsmouth.
Draw or away win the only pick for me for today

As for second game result is unstable. In normal circumstances home win should be option but Newcastle is unpredictable and although they will most probably lose this game I am skipping it
Good luck

4th December Premiership picks

Welcome back I was in business trip last weekend miracles happened luckily I lost a few aftre trhee great rounds. Went sick this week and cold days here so be careful with picks. Here are my

104. Arsenal - Fulham Fulham +1.5 @ 1,9 Stan James

105. Birmigham -Tottenham Birmingham +0.5 @ 1,83 188bet

106. Blackburn - Wolves 1 @ 1,8 Stan JAmes

107. Chelsea - Everton Everton +1.5 @ 1,78 SBObet

108. MC - Bolton Bolton + 1,25 @ 1,86 188bet

109. Wigan - Stoke Wigan DNB @ 2,28 188bet

Arsenal many surprises at home this season even lost games and at least one closely won game and Fulham very rarely losses by more than one goal even away. This is derby game so no problem for travel Arsenal with Flappyhandski could mean trouble. They still have to secure CL promotion and have Man Utd away as next game so with exactly ole goal win they will be extremely happy. In this winter circumstances even this is not certain as we may see surprise

No one had more effort and harder games schedule in last time than Tottenham. They beat Liverpool Arsenal Werder in just ten days and must rest sooner or later. Maybe some kind of party after CL promotion was forbidden but they beat Liverpool and deserved one 'easy lover' game. Besides from this Birmingham is a solid and well managed team very very rarely losing at home and will put hard resistance it is hard to break them even if you do the best like Chelsea two weeks ago. In this circumstances I can't see them losing today's game

Chelsea very weird news from this club ald detrimental results on the pitch. Juto one win in last five ok some of them lost by injuries but some by attitude. Everton always doing well at Stamford and players like Cahill will cause trouble for defence and goalkeeper. Everton very low in table they have no other choice than put a solid fight in every game they can not afford to drop games they want. I think they even will not lose

Blackburn is my most certain bet for today. This is a team and manager which will put best effort at home and fans are used to some standards. They are just stronger and too strong for such kind of opponents like Wolves and should convert advantage into beating. Wolves bottom team and they even think they will stay in league dropping some games like United everytime - this will be decisive factor in sinking them into Championship. Blackburn two home defeats already but with Chelsea and Arsenal so no shame and Wolves 0-1-6 away so 'good luck' for them today. Home win in handy is also in options

Weekend Premiership picks

Hello as I am going to Birmingham tomorrow here are some picks for weekend this time unofficial because I can not control situation fully. I will be watching Aston Villa-Arsenal game and will have fun in pubs around later.

Here are picks

MU - Blackburn
Pick: Blackburn + 1.5 @ 2.03 

Reason: United is a dying club and in this year it's really obvious they play very weak football. Even if they are on second place this is big coincidence and I could discuss about it for hours face to face even with Alex Ferguson. 
Let me explain what happened yesterday in Champions League: United sent no defence and Rooney in forward - that means either they did not care about Rangers game or they knew they won the game before kick-off. 
Look at fact: when player is back from injury usually (95% cases) playing whole game straight is a big risk and player like Rooney should go off from the pitch or should come from substitution he played for some reasons whole game. That suggested he had a role in the game I felt it watching game and was not wrong although I picked Rangers before game. I was 100% sure he will score penalty.
What is going on: media in England and fans need hero although Rooney is in total rubbish form for nine months he will be pitched because of some mysterious reasons - I can speculate they can create myth to sell him because United is a selling club for last 3 years. If Rooney will play he will not score if the opposition is normal and United can even lose this game very much depends on defence and Van Der Sar.
Allardyce has good record with United but only at home United very rarely beats his teams away from home also very much depends on Blackburn players approach new owner and I believe it is a boost like with Aston Villa game. Allardyce and Ferguson are sitting in the same pot (as goes for agent's provision both were accused and both refused to talk to BBC) conclusion for one more time I am against United this can be one goal win and nothing more if only sports factor will decide definitely not smashing. If Blackburn will not be afraid and I believe they won't they can even beat United as this is not a big power for some time
Blackburn +1.5


Aston Villa - Arsenal
Pick: home win or draw 
Reason: To be honest I don't believe in Houllier for long term there are many indications that if Randy Lerner will sell his top player every summer this club will not progress. Also appointment of Gary McAllister is something I can't understand maybe you are more secure when your assistant has not clue about football as he does not make conspiracy against you with players or management this could be the reason.
But anway Villa does not lose at home they stopped United so draw or home win are definitely in options. Arsenal has rubbish goalkeeper which makes many mistakes Wenger has secret romance with french waitress so this is more in his head than team preparation and Arsenal is in trouble - four defeats in last five games. Very similar teams of 'virgins' I mean twenty years old players against another youngsters Villa youngsters are weaker and have less experiece but I believe they are able to stop Arsenal and even win over them extending their agony.
Villa +0.5


More picks will follow without analysis later this week

24th November Champions League unofficial picks

Tottenham - Werder Werder + 1,5 @ 1,81 over is good option but primarely Werder 1.5 not bad
Rangers - United Rangers DNB @ 4,10 bet 365 Rangers + 0.75 @ 2,17 IBCBet also good option

Tottenham before this game had Arsenal in league and thay won imo they will smash Liverpool on Sunday but look t fixtures they have what a hard schedule. Majority of people will be on Tottenham side today of course they can win but one goal win apart from ny surprise is on our side. Werder stable team doing their jobs despite results no one is afraid there of anything. Manager will stay whatever happens players know each other very well Werder can be champion on year in league and close to relegation another season

It is cear for me United and Rangers helping each other and and I don't think Rangers will lose this game. Question is Rangers has third place rather secure if United want to push their brothers for second. If rangers win today they have a chance to romote but this is a big risk for United Valencia can win over them over last day because United is a bad team this season. Anyway for sports reasons case of advance is open till the end and Rangers are not a bad team especially on their own pitch. United already gave them a draw which complicated things a bit and reality is United need just one point. I rely on Rangers can even win here if strange things will not happen again in United match. Rubbish Rooney will play, defence rocksolid Vidic and Ferdinand are sidelined means United may prepare a gift for their scottish friends - this could also mean United win is certain they can afford to send for holiay some key players but I am going for a  Home win!

22th November Sunderland - Everton pick

103. Sunderland - Everton Everton DNB  @ 2,02 Canbet

Majority of people will praise Sunderland's marvellous win at Chelsea but I wrote (and stated before the game) that Chelsea defeat was a result of mysterious internal problems. Suddenly they forgot how to play football and Sunderland adressed precisely 50-50 yards balls into Chelsea penalty area with ease. Something was not normal there something fishy in that game Chelsea suddenly forgot how to play football although despite their absences they still pitched better team in terms of quality!! I do not mention great h2h of Everton against Sunderland even during Steve Bruce era Everton are able to win there. Many teams lost points and winning this game Everton is closer to Europa zone. As for Sunderland don't overestimate Darren Bent's return - without him they won at Chelsea so may be boost may be detrimental influence. I believe after team selection analysis Toffees are able to win there but this is definitely not easy game - let's say if I did not pick this game Everton would win 4-0 and I would regret so this is my pick
P

21th November Sunday Premiership picks

101. Blackburn - Aston Villa 1 @ 2,43 Canbet 2,41 Pinnacle
102. Fulham - Man City 1 @ 3,50 5Dimes

What a day yesterday I also cheated destination not betting on West Ham. Be careful after fantastic day may be way down but selections for today hard to find arguments against above presented leans. Let's go

 Before the season Villa was traditionally weakened by selling Milner and O'Neill stepped down because of disagreement with club owners. Club appointed new manager I gave them many opportunities they did not convince me they are able to win games, not mentioning about winning games convincingly. OK pace is fast but they have lack of fire power and experience. Even if they lead they are not able to finish the opposition like MU game. This could be winning team but not yet and never will be if Randy Lerner will treat Villa as selling club. They have good image in media because many English 'young talents' play for club and there is not much noise about off-pitch problems. Gary McAllister is hopeless assistant of manager and Houllier this is not the same young bright Houllier with fresh look as we remember from Liverpool spell - they did noc convince me they are able to win games - sorry but one win with Blackpool reserves is definitely not enough.
Blackburn has new owner and even in normal circumstances they are favourite in this game but new owner presence is additional boost. I am sure this will be positive influence not stage fright as Blackburn has experienced manager and players. Fans are used to certain level of decent game since Allardyce arrived there. So many arguments do you see any for Villa side?  Home win

Second game is absolute clash and dignity game for Mark Hughes. He was fired from City 11 months ago and many fans remember him as better manager than Mancini - the fact is he had less desired players and City played much better football - it was very attractive football. This italian clown bought many expensive players and maybe 30% of them are giving heart in the game. City play ugly - they are afraid to attack even in home games, some players are treated like rubbish and they open mouth after leaving - many good players could not find place in basic eleven so thay are on loans or on bench - there are conflicts in City and I doubt Mancini can be a fire man here - someone else decides in City. Another pick aginst City from my side and I am pretty sure Hughes will prepare some 'surprises' for guests. Cracker game. Home win

20th November Premiership picks

94. Arsenal - Tottenham Tottenham + 0,5 @ 2,42 Canbet
95. Birmingham - Chelsea Birmingham + 1 @ 1,72 Canbet
96. Blackpool - Wolves Blackpool DNB @ 1,87 Canbet
97. Bolton - Newcastle 1 @ 2,25 188bet
98. MU - Wigan Wigan + 2 @ 1,84 Canbet
99. WBA - Stoke Stoke +0.5 @ 1,81 VCbet
100. will be Liverpool game here and I want to win this game

Hi
I am taking all games not to miss good leans. Let's begin
Arsenal is no revelation in last three home games. They barely beat low-mid table West Ham and Birmingham lost to unpredictable Newcastle - for this game Jermaine Defoe is back it means attack options are very strong hopefully they will not field useless Robbie Keane. Arsenal as shaky goalkeeper which will screw five more games in this season. Also more Arsenal players played during international midweek friendlies and this is a derby everything can happen. Tottenham will go for a win here as they are getting more and more experience in international games and definitely are not afraid to go with Arsenal into dead end. I believe they will get something out of this game as they have to keep watching fourth place. Draw
Next analysis after squad announcements about 14:00

Before season big majority of fans claimed Wolves are grown team but I am saying from the bginning till the end: this is a 'sheam' - which means team completely changed way of play after promotion and this strategy will not pay off in the long term - Wolves will be relegated sooner or later, may be next victim of  'second season syndrome'. Blackpool plays offensively creates a hell of situations and have nothing to lose, they can only surprise us in a positive way. Wasted a handful of situations at West Ham should have won that game but were extremely unlucky. Look: Blackpool won over WBA which are stronger than Wolves after red cards for guests but opening goal was scored before. This is a relegation clash and defeat will be painful for Blackpool they will be relegated anyway in my opinion but will give 'a head and hand'. Blackpool should not lose this game.
Bolton are surprising me in a positive way. Tey have decent players in correct positions and a boss is 'from the heart' grown there. All this is making perfect connections, they give hard and fast performance when you are not giving 100% against them you can not count on mercy. Newcastle very good appointment of Chris Hughton and won a lot of games unexpectedly new national team starter Andy Carroll has water in brain and smart and cheeky approach to him will force him to make mistakes in forward. Goalkeeper could be perfect but could be very unstable and generally speaking Bolton is a stronger team. Home win

14th November picks

91. Chelsea - Sunderland  Sunderland +2 @ 1,77  Asia and bet365 definitely
92. Swansea - Middlesbrough Middlesbrough DNB
93. Inter - Milan home win @ 2,62


I believe in Chelsea case minimum in return of the stake. Something wrong at Chelsea at the moment with assistant leaving club out of the blue. Because of general recession in English football they win a lot despite internal problems and potential conflicts have been exinguished. Ancelotti is definitely not top manager in the world but he inherited good team for two or three years able to compete and is very good in h2h with top of the table. Lampard and Alex missing for this game Essien also started ssupension. Last year's 7-2 makes me feel this time will be no goal fest and 2-0 is standard procedure in this game which makes us neutral but I believe in one goal margin win here - that is result Chelsea would settle four

Middlesbrougn new manager and won two games. Swansea may splash them but this is not going to happen if Boro will not give game away. In my opinion they should get at least a draw

As for Milan derby Inter will win this game this is a bonus pick

13th November Premiership picks

Just one for now later the rest (after analysing squad)

83. Aston Villa - MU 2 @ 1,8 Ladbrokes

84. MC - Birmingham Birmingham +1,5 @ 1,72 188bet

85. Newcastle - Fulham Fulham +0.5 @ 1,95 Stan James

86. Tottenham - Blackburn Blackburn + 1 @ 1,85 188bet

87. West Ham - Blackpool Blackpool DNB @ 3,05 Betsson not much less serious bookies

88. Wigan - WBA Wigan DNB @ 1,88 188bet

89. Wolves - Bolton Bolton + 0.5 @ 1,58 188bet

90. Stoke - Liverpool Stoke DNB @ 3.00 Stan James

I can write and repeat many sad but true words about United. Last sentence of Ferguson 'We do not need any incoming players' please read as 'We have no money for new players, there is huge pressure on finance from owners and creditors club is sinking' but as I wrote this is icon ang will get silet help so they always will benefit  referee factor. Aston Villa is weaker comparing to last year's Houllier still has to convince us he is a right man. Got eough credit from me problem for this team is lack of efficiency and not enough firepower. He has bad assistant McAllister which managerial career was failure but Gerard is responsible for recruiting staff as he is a manager there. Winning 3-2 with Blackpool reserves does not convince me at all. United clearly better from City in last derby and draw was result that allowed them keep unbeaten run and would settle for this if given for above. Away win

There are conflicts in City. Tooo many useless overpaid players and without productivity. Bad rotation by Mancini ugly performances some bright points like Joe Hart. Birmingham weaker than last season but good in defence and it's hard to imagine them losing by more than one goal ok maybe derby game or unlucky game but not this game for me. I'm on Birmingham side they will be hard to beat especially if Adebayor will be on the pitch. I am very pesimistic about City

Newcastle as I said many times very unpredictable winning hard games away losing easy games at home. Just another home defeat to average team will be too much but why not draw. Away win also will not surprise me but draw is also very much in options as Fulham are kings of draws. I won last time on Newcastle home defeat and apart from unpredictability of NUFC and kings of draws for Fulham there's not really much more to say about this game. No way I can touch home win at this odds and from what I saw

Tottenham in obvious crisis. Van Der Vaart playing but is sick. Bale on defence not in midfield so not his natural position - with Inter he was brilliant in midfield. They are throwing all the forces to go for a win as thy have many days off after this game but these power is not full players are tired. Tottenham no value at all. Blackburn manager old fox and we can be sure he has something in mind to surprise Tottenham we are justified to expect this. I don't think Blackburn will even lose this game but et's compromise Totttenham will not smash thhem in current situation

I will play Stoke DNB. You know situation of Liverpool. I will study financial background but let's focus on the manager. Imagine old grandfather is bragging himself because he can have sex once a month and is very happy. But his neighbour can have sex three times a day with girlfriend, has a lover and goes for a quickie with girl from work from time to time. This is picture of situation Liverpool play bad and Hodgson sees positives.
Stoke has many stings and is extremely hard to beat at their fortress. Dangerous from set pieces and will not be afraid of Liverpool because no one is afraid of them now. Liverpool is an average team and it is not hard to win with them as many teams proved this season. I'm up for Stoke

Have a good day!!

12th November

1. No time today too many things up
2. I will write a lot more about Liverpool owners will do the study of their background many interestig things will be disclosed about Monday
3. Tomorrow all the games very strong picks from Premiership as usual

See you tomorrow

11th November Truth about Manchester United

Some people are calling Manchester United 'The Saintssaint' and the same goes for Alex Ferguson. I will write some words why it is cheap lies.

United is in agony. The truth is club has huge debts and owners are not eager to pay huge amount for club any longer. Players are in queue for bigger contracts demanding more money as Rooney did. Imagine you having old grandfather dead and still not report him to get his pension every month. This is club's policy. Why they keep winning?

1. Referees decisions nearly everytime they benefit of them. Even ex referees give interview about special treatment for United players

2. This is a league's and country's symbol. They have silent support in football federation because United are still good selling product around the world and have to play in Champions League, popular in Asia etc

3. Blackmail of media - Ferguson says I will not speak to them if'... and everyone is silent. Why if some things are not right? Ferguson is definitely not the saint LOL

4. Rivals are afraid of them without reasons. This club is now anemic players are 'tesco value' and some icons are getting older and older. Rivals play defensively not going for the clash and United win most games by one goal scored at the end

5. Good relations with some clubs some clubs give hardest performance against their rivals and lose easily or not but lose with them like Wolves which wins over MC or fight till the blood with Chelsea.


Real and Barca have exclusive television rights deals and in England money from TV is shared more eaqually. Real sells just his rights for huge amounts record in the world amount. MU has television money from joint agreement between Premier League and Sky and ESPN. Second thing in therms of debt to value of the club United has dramatically bigger rate of debt and for Real is very easy to cancel debts in one click like selling estates and Manchester have just stadium and training grounds. They also have socios which pay for club every year at least Barca United membership is few quids a year. Very easy for Real to find businessman which will throw 250 millions of euro and bring big transfer like Flores. United already billion of pounds debt and if new owner comes must deal with this or club is sold and asset is not enough to cover creditors.


As for media BBC was right son of Ferguson was agent of Louis Saha and wanted make share in transfer fee. Scheme : United makes transfer pays 10 millions two millions is fee for agent which was Ferguson's son. In this situations transfers can be made not in the name of quality or demand but more important who will get the cash. What makes Ferguson? Silence and red nose and offended. Why? Can you tell me?

I can write much more about United no point strange that so many fans are blind.


Tomorrow truth about Liverpool's future and stats of my picks. Today another busy (and rest) day. See you

10th November Premiership picks

Hi
sorry for lack of activity last time I was mega ultra busy. Some people which know me got Premiership picks on private basis and only they can state what it was - I will not brag ablut Liverpool. Back to blog activity - statistics on its way but I am working about shape and dimensions how it should look like and priority is quality not rushing

76. Aston Villa - Blackpool 1 @ 1,71 Betsson

77. Chelsea - Fulham Fulham + 1,75 @ 2,01 Pinnacle

78. Newcastle - Blackburn 2 @ 4,62 Pinnacle

79. West Ham - West Bromwich West Ham -0.25 @ 1,95 Bet365

80. Wigan - Liverpool Wigan + 0.5 @ 2.10 188bet

81. Everton - Bolton 1 @ 1,67 Ladbrokes

82. MC - MU 2 @ 2,90 Unibet 2.87 Pinnacle

Aston Villa still believe will catch the momentum and convert wide range of opportunities into efficiency. Blackpool is the weakest opponent since Houllier's arrival and if not now when? Next game is United and it will be harder when it goes for full stake. I don't like McAllister he is useless in this team but full responsibility on Houllier. These players even replacements like Ireland or Dunne have quality to win such games and they have to hurry up if they don't want to have lost season anyone is losing points and still in contact.

Chelsea dropped away game at Liverpool I was not surprise as on private meetings I said to anyone I will play for Liverpool and there is no one which I told bet on Chelsea. Drogba had malaria last week. Large handicap on Fulham and they are kings of draws. Fulham not easy to beat and Stamford Bridge is very close for them if they lose very narrowly. Guests are quality team well organised maybe not the best away but unconvenient for Chelsea.

Newcastle prefer to be unpredictable that means let's play highest odds - simple. Blackburn hard schedule and 'brain' Samba missed games so they are maybe close to relegation zone but will finish league higher than they are at the moment. Benjani and Djouf injured but they still won over Wigan on Saturday. They are able to draw this game if not even win. Newcastle just too many wins in the last time crash will be unexpectedly for just one more time - away win

West Ham unlucky in lost and drawn games also played hard schedule. In addition to this they miraculously lost games where they were supposed to win but now they have to make points up. I still think this is an artificial club stayed in the league thanks to hidden support in authorities (winning 8 out of last 10 games three years ago) and somehow they manage to stay in league year by year. They have to start collect points sooner or later and teams from Birmingham surrounding area are paper tiger. Some people may think WBA is sensation and after two games it changes dramatically. It is not and it will not be stable winning team they have just ambition to rescue league. No time and place for draw in such games. Home win

Time to stop Liverpool. All this media attention and shout about fantastic time coming is bunch of lies. Owner is typical yankee yuppie with wife 30 years younger and has no clue about football. Hodgson is not manager for big calibre clubs and squad is average. They will not replace manager because club started winning run and it has no point at the first sight. Reality is Torres is tragic Gerrard not much better and Chelsea game was an exception. Wigan no win for longer time and time to beat someone in order to stay out of relegation zone, they have not much worse squad and fans will equal the balance even more - I believe they will get something out of this game because Liverpool is not hard opponent at the time.

Everton - Bolton similar to Everton - Stoke game underish and 1-0 2-0 or 0-0 or 1-1 :)

MAIN BET City United. United is in agony. The truth is club has huge debts and owners are not eager to pay huge amount for club any longer. Players are in queue for bigger contracts demanding more money as Rooney did. Imagine you having old grandfather and still not report him to get his pension every month. This is club's policy. Why they keep winning?
1. Referees decisions nearly everytime they benefit of them. Even ex referees give interview about special treatment for United players
2. This is a league's and country's symbol. They have silent support in football federation because United are still good selling product around the world and have to play in Champions League, popular in Asia etc
3. Blackmail of media - Ferguson says I will not speak to them if'... and everyone is silent. Why if some things are not right? Ferguson is definitely not the saint LOL
4. Rivals are afraid of them without reasons. This club is now anemic players are 'tesco value' and some icons are getting older and older. Rivals play defensively not going for the clash and United win most games by one goal scored at the end
5. Good relations with some clubs some clubs give hardest performance against their rivals and lose easily or not but lose with them like Wolves which wins over MC or fight till the blood with Chelsea.

Point four plus inferiority complex at City plus conflicts at MC plus homeseek crisis for Tevez plus everyone is on City today makes me backing United. Away win

6th November Premiership picks

Hi
Today just plain picks as I am megabusy and on the road to see Bolton - Tottenham game

68. Bolton - Tottenham Bolton +0.25 @ 1,92 VC 1,9 Asia

69. Birmingham - West Ham 1 @ 2,06 Pinnacle

70. Blackburn - Wigan 1 @ 1,77 Pinnacle 1,8 Expekt

71. Blackpool - Everton 2 @ 1,83 Stan James

72. Fulham - Aston Villa Fulham -0.25 @ 1,95

73. MU - Wolves Wolves +1,75 @ 1,89 Canbet

74. Sunderland - Stoke Stoke +0.5 @ 1,88 Canbet

75. Middlesbrough - Crystal Palace 1 @ 1,8 Ladbrokes

All picks strong, official etc. No time to make templates of statistic yet will be around Monday.
Middlesbrough apart from Championship but new manager and time to win with bottom team

4th November Analysis of losing picks end of October and Europa League picks

37. Blackburn - Sunderland red card 1st half and even though Blackburn better team
38. Chelsea - Spartak Chelsea did not respect hospitality of Russians, unexperienced coach for Spartak, bad lick Spartak did not convert situations they also have
40. Inter - Tottenham - Idiot Gomes red card 2nd minute game was to be won by Tottehnam which they proved in second half in that game and in second match
41. MU - Bursaspor - it is a long story about MU they scored early and saved guests there are some teories they don't beat asian handicaps (with Rangers or WBA also) on many games we have no reason to believe ;)
42. Rangers - Valencia - as an early lead by MU Valencia did not need to win away home slashing of Rangers is enough to be promoted if draw was not out of option I risked straight away win and lost my bet
43-44 Napoli - Liverpool absolute parody of game Liverpool traveled without key players both clubs played friendly the only 0-0 result from rthat day of EU bad luck I counted on Italians
45. City - Lech - City is rubbish with Adebayor in squad in all occasions apart from Lech game when he had hattrick - next two games City lost . Anyway bets 43-45 were hunting for high odds with definite reasons
48. Chelsea - Wolves Wolves gave very hard performance 10 saves by Cech and 2-0 could be only 1-0 or draw hard game and unexpectedly hard resistance but minimum was 2-0 and it was 2-0
49. Sunderland - Aston Villa lucky win for Sunderland Villa has still too week attack to win games by lack of scoring  hopefully they will sort it out befor it's too late for Europe. Sunderland lost 1-5 next game when I bet they will get something record defeat for them
50. West Ham - Newcastle good game for home team for 20 minutes and than turnaround. WHU give good performances generally and this weekend I will be on them again
51. Stoke - MU again Stoke one of the teams which are afraid of nothing special United. They scored equaliser but played with shaked legs last 10 minutes and MU restored lead.
52. Liverpool - Blackburn best performance of the season for Liverpool and I was again at bad time on wrong place. Blackbburn cashed next game with Chelsea Liverpool won.
53. City - Arsenal again idiot red card in 5th minute and game over. I wonder was it beginning of a conspiracy against Mancini or sheer stupiditytime will tell.
54. Gornik - Lech Lech went for a win but again red card and defeat manager was fired after that game and Lech won next two games and Gornik lost next game
55. Napoli - Milan  again red card for my team and I predicted Milan will lose next game to Juventus Napoli win next game away. I think still it was an order Milan to win this and if Milan won with Juventus I believed bookies do not interfere with some teams and sport is clean
56. Leicester - WBA completely evacuation of Leicester from the cup Eriksson make fool everybody including me he wants to play in Wembley. Maybe - but in play off final. West Bromwich lost next game Leicester won next game away
57. Wigan - Swansea Swansea gave up game and won next league game and Wigan lost next game, another pick bad time and place
58. MU - Wolves - game x2 under every circumstances and Wolves gave game removing strikers. This game will have consequences on Saturday as clubs play again in league. I will describe it
59. Newcastle - Arsenal - 'mighty' Newcastle 'stars' rested their asses and sent reserves. Tim Krul was a trance master but nexh game Newcastle wins 5-1 and Arsenal won very very lucky and yesterday lost
61. Arsenal - West Ham the only game of Arsenal with under at home this season bad time and place
64. MU - Tottenham Gomes idiot strikes back and even if United won even if deservedly (post for Tottenham) definitey not with two goals margin

65. Aston Villa - Birmingham - Aston Villa advantage not converted (post) too small power up front absolutely acceptable and possible draw but Villa is better team

66. Newcastle - Sunderland - worst performance of season for Sunderland match of life for Nolan acceptable loss

67. Bolton - Liverpool no complaints here 

A bunch of losing picks with many different reasons: flood of red cards, controversial referee decisions, bad moment bad place, some of money rescued on next games like Napoli or Juventus and life is going on. This is a long term project and if next month using the same approach will be red I will chenge approach. Sometimes I am romantic and wishful thinking pushes me to bet what I like to be but if November is again red I will play against 'my' teams which should bring better results. Counting that referees will not whistle for United is starting to beeing naive but what to do this is reality of English football.

I am still creating template of summary it will be prepared tomorrow as there are picks for today again unofficial. Strong picks back on Saturday

1. Napoli + 0.5 @ 2.11 Pinnacle - Liverpool awaiting Chelsea and I am strongly convinced for Liverpool  - Chelsea game which I will describe on time. It will be even stronger if Liverpool will not win today.

2. Lech - City home win @ 6.05 Pinnacle draw no bet also to play. Lech is not a bad team there is obvious conflict with City and Mancini may be soon gone. Maybe City even will win but even if they will get smoked in league as players are clearly against manager. Absolutely not worth away win at these odd but faders have my point of view

Respect

3rd November Champions League

1. later tonight will be analysis of the month with hammering conclusions
2. Champions League may be good for faders as well as I am on vacations until weekend so unofficial

Shakhtar - Arsenal home win @ 2,80 Ladrokes
Chelsea - Spartak Spartak + 2 @ 1,75 Canbet

1st fixture Arsenal does not have to win at al qualification is safe trip is into cold area for hom team they will not suffer seriously if they will not win but anything more than defeat is a bonus and huge boost, also crazy odds on Arsenal and they already spanked Partizan on hugely appreciating odds

Chelsea also won away unexpectedly with Spartak, very weak young coach is big disadvantage  for Russian club which can be cooked by old fox on every corner. Today again dozens of situations I hope Russian will at least convert something in first game very unlucky with situations also. Spartak + 2

2nd November thoughts

1. Sorry no time for analysis in details last month's performance today - it will be tomorrow

2. Champions League suggestions - just one sentence may be present for faders ;)
Tottenham - Inter away win DNB odds 2.16 catchable too many good words about Tottenham 2nd part performance in Milan Gareth Bale has brilliant flashes but it is young player and will have such performance every half a year - maybe Spurs think they will beat easily Inter away side is underrated here
Bursaspor - United Bursaspor +0.75 again score between draw and away win by one goal Bursaspor no chance for promotion United comfortable situation win not necessary but they still win a lot through different reasons
Valencia should be home win but recommended by all bookmakers and connections of club with Unibet I would not risk money for 1.40 odds there are better games too predict at odds 1.4

 3. Mancini is 'dead man walking' at City. Huge disrespect to him by players, newspapers publishing pictures of drinking players, Toure run away at halftime of last game, of course two defeats there are powers which want to remove him from the club. I am afraid players will fire sim soon

Last match for October Blackpool - WBA game

Hello everybody

yesterday picks went wrong but at least for the first time I have not reservations about own goals, red cards, controversial referees decisions (maybe small exception penalty for Bolton but rest OK) and 'helping hand from heaven' - Aston Villa did not convert advantage, Sunderland finally bad game when I counted on them. Every wrong pick webt wrong in acceptable way
as in last time only unofficial picks succeed I 'wish' to see WBA to win this game. Tey made good signings it is not the case DiMatteo is genious - it is too short time to say this. Blackpool running down the hill and will lose more and more - surprise factor gone this team is lowly skilled. Should be around Championship bottom promoted last year but dream is coming to an end. Things that worry me is odds dropping so very possible draw in today's game. I wish to see away win a lot of people plays this et's say if I will not pick this game officially away team will win

Tomorrow summary of the month and now vacation until next weekend

Premiership picks 31.10.2010

65. Aston Villa - Birmingham home win @ 1,98 IBCBet

66. Newcastle - Sunderland Sunderland + 0.5 @ 1,74 188bet

67. Bolton - Liverpool Bolton +0.5 @ 1,77 188bet, Canbet

Aston Villa second year in a row weakened by departure one of the biggest talent but finding slightly worse replacements for much lower price. This determines slow start but team sooner or later goes back into right track. This is a home team for the moment a bit unstable but definitely with potential to compete even with top teams. Last game lost but plenty of situations give us a  hope today. Wooden Carew returns and even with him we will see only a bit less dangerous situations in attack than Arsenal created yesterday. Villa is a stronger team than Birmingham maybe guests not losing a lot but with injuries they did not won away for 13 games. Home win

Sunderland should win North - East derby if you ask me about current form and which time is better, but already this season Newcastle proved everyone wrong. They fielded absolute rubbish players against Arsenal in last Carling Cup game if their second goalkeeper Krul will play away win is sure thing. He was extremely stressed although Arsenal fielded second team and Gunners did everything they need in that game and would not mind to get away from cups. On that night even amateurish team could beat Newcastle. Sunderland I was twice against them but wrongfully they drew away at Blackburn very much thanks to red card for one of my 'brains' and won with Aston Villa thanks to own goal. If they keep results(and luck and 'intelligence' of rivals) beating Newcastle is very much in options. Away win DNB is good option, +0.25 also but +0.5 is the best compromise between options included and payout - I need to recover after bad week

After one  Liverpool win many of their supporters will believe good things start to happen and club will climb up table. This is not going to happen many teams feel they have short squad, key players identity crisis, strikers not scoring, now anyone is in race to kiss new owners anywhere which have not a clue about football managing. They need professionals to run the club. Beginning with blind manager who sees 'good performance' after clearly lost game and is happy with 'club staying in the league' will be hard to escape bottom regions of the table especially with teams giving hard  performance. Bolton is a positive surprise of the season unbeaten at home and this factor will prevail my bet here - they should not lose today's game. Home win or draw again includes a lot of options and we have a lot of possible results in our side Liverpool has maybe 25 % chances to win today


Please watch Napoli game I will not play this officially so they should win away with ease today. Someone is owing them points and results for defeat at home to Milan which crashed out yesterday. Bokies are steering some teams in Italy and Milan is number one for strange connections - explanation is simple you did something to Milan you will get something from somebody and Milan will give something to somebody - Napoli has to win to clear bills

Some suggestions on tomorrow's games

Hello back from bowling party

As you see there is no mercy in business as Milan lost at home in the first corner. This club is totally steered by bookies and getting results which are ordered by some dark powers. Please read my suggestions as there are important indications - even if I have poor results 75% of thoughts go into correct direction. Derby will repeat Nottingham' success last year and should get playoffs because this team has potential. Leicester also delivered as swedish playboy escaped cup but this is old fox and will get sometning, maybe not play offs but they are capable of winning some more games.
As Milan lost at home to Juventus please watch out Napoli game at Brescia Napoli played shit in cup and in league with Milan so they should be rewarded by easy away win. I will not play if officially so you can easily bet Brescia - Napoli away win even Napoli -1 is playable.

If anyone saw game between MU and Tottenham has black on white picture who gets help from  behind the scenes. Another huge help from referees to United makes me sick but this is the life. Lack of creativity upfront and wasted place by Keane OK Tottenham did not deserve to win this game but did not deserve to lose it by two goals. I saw recorded game and can only curse how much 'heaven help' United will get more. Some participation in second goal for United had idiot Gomes if goal was controversial he should not drop the ball away

Tomorrow many interesting games and for recording straight as maket is big enough

Aston Villa - Birmingham Home win @ 1,88 %Dimes
Newcastle - Sunderland Sunderland + 0.5 @ 1,82 IBCBet
Bolton - Liverpool Bolton + 0.5 @ 1,72 Canbet, IBCBet, SBObet

Handicaps are wide trends are strong but let's not make atmosphere of success too early

MU - Tottenham

64. MU - Tottenham 2 DNB @ 4,55 Betsafe 4,5 VC

After analysing Tottenham squad they go for a win at Old Trafford. With Bale in back and Van Der Vart in attack suggests very offensive lineup. It'a a pity pensioner Keane plays up front instead of Defoe but Modric creates another dangerous situations. It should be reversed odds MU is definitely not a firepower. I can write a long story about them success build on debts, good relations and special protection is coming to an end. Some 'young well educaties from big cities' fans will believe Chicarito is a legend maybe in Mexico. You will see how Berbatov's form will decrease with season going and Van Der Sar is in low fuel but will be exploited till the end
United is fading. Away win

Premiership picks 30.10.2010

61. Arsenal - West Ham over 3 @ 1,69 188bet
62. Blackburn - Chelsea  Blackburn +1,25 @ 1,88 Stanjames
63. Everton - Stoke Home win @ 1,62 Paddy Power 1,6 Unibet


Arsenal the best bet is over 3 goals. Last time I played was only 2-1 so bet void but Arsenal at home means dozens of situations and only miracle can prevent of heavy scoring against lower teams. West Ham lost last game being just worse after scoring first and Robert Green ehhhh everyone in England is telling jokes about him. Not sure about handicap for Arsenal they already lost at home with WBA but they NEVER had this season less than 3 goals at home in their games.
Blackburn - I remember this team much better than table suggest, much of league position is determined by last two games when they lost Chris Samba which is back for tonight's clash. Very hard exam is waiting for Chelsea big fight and definitely not walk in the park. Even with win by exactly one goal we are on the winning side and score should vary from Chelsea lead by one goal and draw. 0-5 score may happen once in the season not with this hard and barely beaten at Ewood Park team. Draw
Everton is on the roll and when they catch the momentum no one can stop them including title challengers which Stoke does definitely not belong to. Only two outcomes in this game  - overish like 4-1 5-1 or underish home win - this is the question. Stoke put hard resistance to United and they regret Tuncay played so shortly before but this is so called 'home team' and Everton has the edge at Goodison. Champions League aspirations, imho fully justified as Tottenham may have hurdles because of eurpoean participation. A lot of situations and goals from far distance expectd. I see rather nderish result like 1-0 or 2-0 and I will choose straight home win as moment of inattention may be punished by guests capable to score.
Other Premiership games
Fulham - Wigan Fulham will win this game or Fulham will not win this game I have nothing to say more about this game.
Wolves - City too many rotations in guests team last year's 3-0 does not give right picture (it was soon after Mancini arrived and in bad weather) Wolves will rather strong performance presented in Stamford Bridge where they forced Cech to make record 10 saves. They evacuated themselves from Carling Cup removing strikers in 85th minute and conceded last minute goal to havethem ready for today. Away win is under serious question because of squad rotation probability.


United - Tottenham preview later very much depends on squad Bale may be rested. For Tottenham game of the season on Tuesday. See you in the afternoon

Back to the winning ways on Saturday

Hello
Last rounds in Carling Cup and European Cups were horrible for me anyway on Saturday a lot of picks and at least 50% should be won.
Something very new was happened in cups and I have to adjust to situation as it costs me money and reputation but I will analyse some facts why it went wrong
1. MU - Wolves game is even to win by Wolves but 85th minutes McCarthy does another blowjob to Ferguson and removes top strikers - result last minute goal for United. Game was even to win by Wolves as United played 3rd team selection but Wlves did not want to stretch game and surrended on pitch.
2. Napoli and Lech Poznan played shit in cup and in the league but they are strong teams (Lech yesterday easily 4-1 win) sometimes it is stupidity of club sometimes is an order from authorities and they have to step back in decisive moment. Usually when club resignes in one competition gives strong performance in another one this time it did not happen. If I resign of Napoli and Milan games be sure Milan will lose or draw at home and Napoli will win convincingly because this is a strong team.
3. Red cards SEVEN red cards for my teams last weekend just one for rivals in last minute this trend will be reversed someday just a bad luck and stupidity of players like Boyata or Gomes.

Anyway in Premiership there is no time and place for lack of motivation and we will see normal performance.
I am skipping cup and next leagues games now (but Juventus not to lose at Milan and Napoli win at Brescia even with handicaps are very good bets and will win silently but convincingly) instead of this I will add some Championship picks as normal results there started to deliver - Middlesbrough should be stronger after managerial change, Nottingham started winning games, Derby also playing very well and even Leicester should deliver something after clown surrended in cup
See you on Saturday I will be very surprised if balance for this weekend will be negative another strong selections o its way

Carling Cup 2010.10.27

60. Newcastle - Arsenal home win @ 4.50 VC or 4.39 Pinnacle

 
Arsenal with 90% fringe players of course crowd thinks they anyway will advance and care about the cup because of no success since 2005 (if yes why don't they field the strongest squad then?). Money flowing on Arsenal odds are dropping etc. We haven't had so far upset in CC this round (United won in last minute thanks to McCarthy's evacuation of key players Doyle and Bent) and I'm sure Wolves will put hard fight against City and may even have chances especially if Adebayor will play and I feel it's time for a trap.
As for Newcastle always one recipe play big odds and you are much ahead. Extremely unpredictable team won strange game in West Ham and lost at home to Stoke or Blackpool. Hughton als rests biggest players for Sunderland game but I,m here against crowd. Arsenal are back in league contention and it's time to escape from cup. Home win

Carling Cup 2010.10.26

57. Leicester - WBA home win @ 3,20 Ladbrokes

58. Wigan - Swansea Swansea + 0.5 @ 1,83 Pinnacle

59. MU - Wolves Wolves + 0.5 @ 3.55 Bet365

Yesterday another red card for one of my idiots and another miss of course last week my players conceded SEVEN red cards rivals just one (in 90th minute when it was all over). I wonder in decisive moments some teams must step back to so called 'big teams' or they are just stupid no matter one week rivals will get seven reds and we will see then.

Without squads but I don't thing odds will be declined

Leicester since Swedish playboy took controls want to run towards promotion but direct one will be very hard. Ericsson announces he wants to play at Wembley (means cup semifinal or play off final) because as England manager never had opportunity to play  there - they have a lot of time to catch play off zone and are three games till Wembley. WBA fantastic start in the league and another winnable game this weekend at Blackpool. This is not big club and should focus on the league one day you are in the run another one they want to strangle you. Chance to throwing game away
Wigan - Swansea Wigan fully involved in relegation fight till 36-37th gameday and maybe for stealing manager they owe them something. Let's take draw or away option.
And my traditional dish United. Many spculations about this club which way they want to go. I am with option club is bankrupt and domination is over rooney will go etc. Club makes very well every Carling cup in last years. Two days rest only for United after hard very hard fought wina are with us. I expect early goal for Wolves and then everything should happen. Guest bottom team but very good performance at Chelsea if they repeat it may get something today. Extremely hard schedule for Wolves now, chance for United reserves and Wolves will not field fringe players because already been punished last year and are being watched. United will screw game in next two three weks definitely because Ferguson anniversary coming and alohol will be all over again.
Thank you and good night

Pick for 25.10.2010

56. Napoli - Milan Home win @ 3.05 Pinnacle

Despite missed decision go into european cups I will consistently back teams which failed in recent cups game or played not in full power just to remeber. So far I was not rewarded as Lech played shit in cups and in the league (their village PE teacher manager should be fired tomorrow) but consistent support for teams failed to win. Absolute circus in Napoli - Liverpool game players tired after 12 minutes let's take it for misleading circumstances. Home win hopefully bookie friend of Milan will not call for their win anyway home team is strong and another tme I hope will not get scared like Stoke yesterday.
Bad week main reason red cards including for idiot from Tottenham and City in 5th minute. In many cases losses limited and whoever will play against United or Liverpool should not complain throughout the season.

Picks for 24.10.2010 not only Premiership

51. Stoke - MU Stoke + 0.75 @ 2.03 188bet
52. Liverpool - Blackburn Blackburn + 0.75 @ 2.06 Pinnacle

53. City - Arsenal City -0.25 @ 2.18 188bet

54. Celtic - Rangers Rangers DNB @ 2.35 188bet

55. Gornik Zabrze - Lech 2 @ 2.55 Unibet

Yesterday not so good day in terms of fiancial result and what pains all the dropped games were correct conclusions and all that would be missed have been chosen.
Tottenham finally lose points which owe us something and with new game we will have clean assumptions bill is cleared. Chelsea definitely not 100% play but absolutely minimum 2-0 done unfortunately this was exact score - positive losses limited. Birmingham won easier than I expect and Blackpool on the road to hell (Championship). Aston Villa huge domination and draw would include more justice result but Sunderland is also quality team and I will back them against Newcastle most probably. As for West Ham like Newcastle strange game but no indication before.

United making strange steps in current club situation. Club has bilion pounds debt and it clearly affects club policy, transfers, way of play by specific players and even lineups. Still no away win, losing leads, wins with bottom teams. They re - signed Rooney doubling his wages and either it is a crime or this is a game for big transfer and desperately search for money from transfering him. When one player gets wages double you have of course another players demanding the same silently or loudly. Van Der Sar is making big mistakes anyway pick against United is '24 hours unlimited' on my mind. Stoke plays really well and for the first time when you see goal for them there is not necessary penalty, throw in, corner or free-kick. This is hard battling team hopefully will not be scared by not 'big monster' anymore.

Liverpool another season loser and Health Secretary is warning against betting on Liverpool (if you don't want stroke or heart attack). What is worse Hodgson sees only 'positive sides' and 'good performances' and is definitely going not to resign. Liverpool saved Torres and Gerrard for this game but Gerrard is completely out of form and Torres is undergoing something like 'identity crisis'. Balls played by skippers are slow it is hard to find the way to goal for Liverpool and yet again a lot of arguments against Liverpool win. Even if they will win this win will be accidental and I will not believe in redemption. Short squad, no clue owners, self-satisfaction at Hodgson make Blackburn chances even for winning this game like never before in last 15 years

Arsenal very little chances to get something against City on their Eastlands stadium. City strongest team since Mansour arrival and deals with this kinds of rivals every year. Hard to see more than one point for Arsenal after what I sam in many Premiership games this season they are number one title challenger this season. Tevez make a difference on highest level. Fresh City team against giving everything in CL Arsenal in midweek should win this battle with many goals expected especially when Arsenal has this unstable defence and fast shots and strikers will be enormous hard exam for Fabianski - he always lets something in hopefully this time will do this repeatedly if he will get a chance.

Rangers one argument - manager old fox against greenhorn. Someone must be mad giving so called big team to guy without managerial experience for me at least couple of seasons are required to manage in highest level. Away win

Lech Poznan should win away game in Zabrze - team was rested in 'friendly' loss to City. They wrote game off before going into the pitch and are third from bottom in Polish league. Time to get up they are stronger than Gornik
On Monday another pick good night

Premiership picks 23.10.2010

Hello
back to the winning ways with strong picks this time

46. Tottenham - Everton Everton + 0.5 @ 1,87 SBOBET

47. Birmingham - Blackpool Home win @ 1,9 Betsson, 1,88 bet365, 1,87 SBOBET

48. Chelsea - Wolves Chelsea -2.25 @ 1,98 Stan James

49. Sunderland - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 0.25 @ 1,86 188bet

50. West Ham - Newcastle Home win @ 2,38 Boylesports, 2,31 Pinnacle

So far I am 0/3 in Handicap + 0.5 but this option is usually interesting and has chances up to the end of the game. Finally like Everton started winning games I will start cas in these kind of handicaps. Tottenham as predicted gave epic fight to Inter, could and should get something but one red face you know who conceded red card in second (!) minute and it could be over but it was not over at all. Such a run costs  lot of effort and I hope Everton will cash this in. Tottenham is winning a lot in the last time (and I am losing playing against them) won away at Fulham thanks to offside goal and is still better in terms of quality but let me indicate Everton arguments.
Everton finally started winning games, with a win today they from rock bottom two rounds ago can be two points from Campions League places. Draw this time is on our side Van Der Vaart has to have finally weaker game. The reason Everton may have a poor run is their lineup and lack of quality strikers OK they are good but let's say not top four in terms of Premiership and most goals are scored by midfield. I am going for Everton to finally get something and Tottenham should lose points finally - away win has also great odds.

Birmingham is maybe weaker than last season but Blackpool is much worse team which makes surprises away. Holloway with his avangarda comments about referees and FA is not most loved people at association and should be instructed that criticism is not the best option in terms of social behaviour. What he says is good way to find enemies and get relegated. Yes he was right with City their correct goals were disallowed but if it stood City would attack with double power and would have won this game anyway most probably especially as Adebayor got replaced. Game could be treacherous but I am going for a better team which gave hard fight at Emirates last week - should be even draw there but yet again penalty 'out of the blue' for Arsenal. I am sure Blackpool would attack blindly and can score but solid defence should know the way how to dismount their actions. Home win and also good cover option is away win -1 which has 7.20 odds at bet365 - draw is unlikely home win most probable result.

Chelsea simply enjoying games with 'sheams' and Wolves on the motorway for Championship (next fixtures Chelsea City United and Arsenal good luck) and minimum absolutely minimum of decency is scoring at least two. Wolves are actually one league up they should be last season have very lucky fixtures at Tottenham (Spurs secret Christmas party 24 hours before game) and when facing Burnley they started to lose everything.     I am definitely not the best admirer of Ancelotti but he inherited close to perfection tam and they can still win something over next two - three seasons. Sometimes good atmosphere and dealing with conflicts and pressure  is best treatment for club. Chelsea facet nearly all  bottom teams and this will be one of the last apart from Liverpool. 2-0 is absolutely minimum although I know odds are very very low and handicap is big it is hard to imagine everything but a rout and brutal Wolves with be shot by fast and skillful team.

Aston Villa better with every game and today nice handicap on them. They lost two away games clearly but this was before Houllier appointment with yes man an the managerial bench. For the second season running they have hole in team but I hope they will deal with this especially if they get only slightly worse replacements and twenty something millions int the bag. Team still has 95 percent of quality and speed from the last season and with 'Coolier' will be getting results. Of course hard to win today but generally I will be backing them so far 100% yield on them despite defeat with Van Der Vaart. Sunderland weaker than Tottenham, over reliance on Bent and many draws stopped me from playing straight away win. Aston Villa DNB also good option but + 0.25 is a nice, nice handicap.

West Ham should win this game. They had correct goal disallowed and should win at Wolves, are unbeaten in last four, lost to United, Chelsea and Aston Villa which are not most desired games. Defeat with Bolton was in a fight game - did not score penalty in second half and conceded shorly after. They play better than their league positions indicates. Newcastle very unpredictable and cashing games with rivals in turmoil. Problems with Carroll, Campbell out, Calderwood leaving team. West Ham have a very wide squad to choose from and even in last drawn games they were closer to winning than losing. Home win

No bet in games WBA - Fulham and Wigan - Bolton. Maybe WBA DNB is good option but they are overachieving so far, odds is low low low and Fulham mad about last defeat. Bolton may not lose this game but yet again unpredictable game and hard to take position. Biggest no bet of the season

Tomorrow also three games to choose from and bet of the week yet again. Have a nice day

Explanation of poor run in cups 2010.10.22

Hi
i conceded reverse gangbang on cups nearly everything was reverse but let's analyse my recent games:

Blackburn - Sunderland - draw was absolutely in option and it was hard to choose any other asian option. Red card for brain of my team and still they played better. Sunderland over reliance on Bent and did not score despite one man more on pitch.

Arsenal undisputed win

Chelsea should share points with Spartak but Russians unexperienced coach got cooked. Couple of dangerous situtions for Spartak before goal for Chelsea - Smurfs win in Russia was not best in terms of diplomacy.

Tottenham what a chase by Bale. They should even win this but again red card for one of my red heads

United very very strange lineup suggested they want to mix something with result. I played also United win by exactly one goal which is in POD competition at BA forum and it was cashed in I know it does not count here
Anyway United is bankrupt and will desperately search for money I oppose them nearly all season and is a matter of time they will bring us money back

Valencia did not necessarily have to win after early goal for MU and expecting another goals by Red Turkeys - if simultaneuosly  Bursasopr would be getting something I am sure Valencia would be running more but also draw was not excluded and bad result for them

Napoli played friendly game by strongest team total circus with 40% Liverpool squad. They have Champions League clash with Milan and rested themselves standing

Lech Poznan fielded also reserves against City reserves that even with Adebayor scored more than one goal  conclusion Lech should win in the league and we will regain our money

Premiership from tomorrow and apart from Wigan - Bolton game I should play every single game - including big confidence games.

Europa League fixtures - Liverpool and City games

43. Napoli - Liverpool over 3.5 @ 4.25 Centrebet
44. Napoli - Liverpool Napoli -1 @ 2.75 bet365
45. City - Lech under 1,5 @ 5 bet365 5.50 bwin
Liverpool is 'on fire' after just one win 19th in Premiership. Much better in Europa League but time to concede something. Italians very long waiting for cups and they do not won to finish their participation on group stage. How dngerous they are showed game with Steaua when they scored three gols very early and could even more. Liverpol underish general but I am hoping to see a fast ball game or/and mistakes by defenders odds 4 for such quality and fast players are just too high and anything could happen. It means Liverpool will most probably get smashed I am also choosing over which also includes scenario Liverpool will surprise everybody and score early goal or two. I strongly doubt they will hold the lead so this written scenario would be even good for us also people betting on Napoli will have some heartache - I wish you 4-0 for Napoli guys but for me over.Last argument about Anglo - Italian battle - did you see what happened on yoesterday's game Inter - Tottenham?? This ca happen when we have two quality teams bags of goals could be shipped in minutes. Let's go for an over
Liverpool  resting Torres and Gerrard another argument to go for Napoli.
City - Lech - value bet but with Hart on goal and Adebayor in attack 1-0 is not excluded. Adebayor is anemic player when he was subbed on Sunday City scored in two minutes let's hope he will play 90 minutes today. I tell more if Adebayor will play 1-0 is most probable result today. Under 1.5