Premiership picks 23.10.2010

Hello
back to the winning ways with strong picks this time

46. Tottenham - Everton Everton + 0.5 @ 1,87 SBOBET

47. Birmingham - Blackpool Home win @ 1,9 Betsson, 1,88 bet365, 1,87 SBOBET

48. Chelsea - Wolves Chelsea -2.25 @ 1,98 Stan James

49. Sunderland - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 0.25 @ 1,86 188bet

50. West Ham - Newcastle Home win @ 2,38 Boylesports, 2,31 Pinnacle

So far I am 0/3 in Handicap + 0.5 but this option is usually interesting and has chances up to the end of the game. Finally like Everton started winning games I will start cas in these kind of handicaps. Tottenham as predicted gave epic fight to Inter, could and should get something but one red face you know who conceded red card in second (!) minute and it could be over but it was not over at all. Such a run costs  lot of effort and I hope Everton will cash this in. Tottenham is winning a lot in the last time (and I am losing playing against them) won away at Fulham thanks to offside goal and is still better in terms of quality but let me indicate Everton arguments.
Everton finally started winning games, with a win today they from rock bottom two rounds ago can be two points from Campions League places. Draw this time is on our side Van Der Vaart has to have finally weaker game. The reason Everton may have a poor run is their lineup and lack of quality strikers OK they are good but let's say not top four in terms of Premiership and most goals are scored by midfield. I am going for Everton to finally get something and Tottenham should lose points finally - away win has also great odds.

Birmingham is maybe weaker than last season but Blackpool is much worse team which makes surprises away. Holloway with his avangarda comments about referees and FA is not most loved people at association and should be instructed that criticism is not the best option in terms of social behaviour. What he says is good way to find enemies and get relegated. Yes he was right with City their correct goals were disallowed but if it stood City would attack with double power and would have won this game anyway most probably especially as Adebayor got replaced. Game could be treacherous but I am going for a better team which gave hard fight at Emirates last week - should be even draw there but yet again penalty 'out of the blue' for Arsenal. I am sure Blackpool would attack blindly and can score but solid defence should know the way how to dismount their actions. Home win and also good cover option is away win -1 which has 7.20 odds at bet365 - draw is unlikely home win most probable result.

Chelsea simply enjoying games with 'sheams' and Wolves on the motorway for Championship (next fixtures Chelsea City United and Arsenal good luck) and minimum absolutely minimum of decency is scoring at least two. Wolves are actually one league up they should be last season have very lucky fixtures at Tottenham (Spurs secret Christmas party 24 hours before game) and when facing Burnley they started to lose everything.     I am definitely not the best admirer of Ancelotti but he inherited close to perfection tam and they can still win something over next two - three seasons. Sometimes good atmosphere and dealing with conflicts and pressure  is best treatment for club. Chelsea facet nearly all  bottom teams and this will be one of the last apart from Liverpool. 2-0 is absolutely minimum although I know odds are very very low and handicap is big it is hard to imagine everything but a rout and brutal Wolves with be shot by fast and skillful team.

Aston Villa better with every game and today nice handicap on them. They lost two away games clearly but this was before Houllier appointment with yes man an the managerial bench. For the second season running they have hole in team but I hope they will deal with this especially if they get only slightly worse replacements and twenty something millions int the bag. Team still has 95 percent of quality and speed from the last season and with 'Coolier' will be getting results. Of course hard to win today but generally I will be backing them so far 100% yield on them despite defeat with Van Der Vaart. Sunderland weaker than Tottenham, over reliance on Bent and many draws stopped me from playing straight away win. Aston Villa DNB also good option but + 0.25 is a nice, nice handicap.

West Ham should win this game. They had correct goal disallowed and should win at Wolves, are unbeaten in last four, lost to United, Chelsea and Aston Villa which are not most desired games. Defeat with Bolton was in a fight game - did not score penalty in second half and conceded shorly after. They play better than their league positions indicates. Newcastle very unpredictable and cashing games with rivals in turmoil. Problems with Carroll, Campbell out, Calderwood leaving team. West Ham have a very wide squad to choose from and even in last drawn games they were closer to winning than losing. Home win

No bet in games WBA - Fulham and Wigan - Bolton. Maybe WBA DNB is good option but they are overachieving so far, odds is low low low and Fulham mad about last defeat. Bolton may not lose this game but yet again unpredictable game and hard to take position. Biggest no bet of the season

Tomorrow also three games to choose from and bet of the week yet again. Have a nice day