Premiership picks 31.10.2010

65. Aston Villa - Birmingham home win @ 1,98 IBCBet

66. Newcastle - Sunderland Sunderland + 0.5 @ 1,74 188bet

67. Bolton - Liverpool Bolton +0.5 @ 1,77 188bet, Canbet

Aston Villa second year in a row weakened by departure one of the biggest talent but finding slightly worse replacements for much lower price. This determines slow start but team sooner or later goes back into right track. This is a home team for the moment a bit unstable but definitely with potential to compete even with top teams. Last game lost but plenty of situations give us a  hope today. Wooden Carew returns and even with him we will see only a bit less dangerous situations in attack than Arsenal created yesterday. Villa is a stronger team than Birmingham maybe guests not losing a lot but with injuries they did not won away for 13 games. Home win

Sunderland should win North - East derby if you ask me about current form and which time is better, but already this season Newcastle proved everyone wrong. They fielded absolute rubbish players against Arsenal in last Carling Cup game if their second goalkeeper Krul will play away win is sure thing. He was extremely stressed although Arsenal fielded second team and Gunners did everything they need in that game and would not mind to get away from cups. On that night even amateurish team could beat Newcastle. Sunderland I was twice against them but wrongfully they drew away at Blackburn very much thanks to red card for one of my 'brains' and won with Aston Villa thanks to own goal. If they keep results(and luck and 'intelligence' of rivals) beating Newcastle is very much in options. Away win DNB is good option, +0.25 also but +0.5 is the best compromise between options included and payout - I need to recover after bad week

After one  Liverpool win many of their supporters will believe good things start to happen and club will climb up table. This is not going to happen many teams feel they have short squad, key players identity crisis, strikers not scoring, now anyone is in race to kiss new owners anywhere which have not a clue about football managing. They need professionals to run the club. Beginning with blind manager who sees 'good performance' after clearly lost game and is happy with 'club staying in the league' will be hard to escape bottom regions of the table especially with teams giving hard  performance. Bolton is a positive surprise of the season unbeaten at home and this factor will prevail my bet here - they should not lose today's game. Home win or draw again includes a lot of options and we have a lot of possible results in our side Liverpool has maybe 25 % chances to win today


Please watch Napoli game I will not play this officially so they should win away with ease today. Someone is owing them points and results for defeat at home to Milan which crashed out yesterday. Bokies are steering some teams in Italy and Milan is number one for strange connections - explanation is simple you did something to Milan you will get something from somebody and Milan will give something to somebody - Napoli has to win to clear bills

Some suggestions on tomorrow's games

Hello back from bowling party

As you see there is no mercy in business as Milan lost at home in the first corner. This club is totally steered by bookies and getting results which are ordered by some dark powers. Please read my suggestions as there are important indications - even if I have poor results 75% of thoughts go into correct direction. Derby will repeat Nottingham' success last year and should get playoffs because this team has potential. Leicester also delivered as swedish playboy escaped cup but this is old fox and will get sometning, maybe not play offs but they are capable of winning some more games.
As Milan lost at home to Juventus please watch out Napoli game at Brescia Napoli played shit in cup and in league with Milan so they should be rewarded by easy away win. I will not play if officially so you can easily bet Brescia - Napoli away win even Napoli -1 is playable.

If anyone saw game between MU and Tottenham has black on white picture who gets help from  behind the scenes. Another huge help from referees to United makes me sick but this is the life. Lack of creativity upfront and wasted place by Keane OK Tottenham did not deserve to win this game but did not deserve to lose it by two goals. I saw recorded game and can only curse how much 'heaven help' United will get more. Some participation in second goal for United had idiot Gomes if goal was controversial he should not drop the ball away

Tomorrow many interesting games and for recording straight as maket is big enough

Aston Villa - Birmingham Home win @ 1,88 %Dimes
Newcastle - Sunderland Sunderland + 0.5 @ 1,82 IBCBet
Bolton - Liverpool Bolton + 0.5 @ 1,72 Canbet, IBCBet, SBObet

Handicaps are wide trends are strong but let's not make atmosphere of success too early

MU - Tottenham

64. MU - Tottenham 2 DNB @ 4,55 Betsafe 4,5 VC

After analysing Tottenham squad they go for a win at Old Trafford. With Bale in back and Van Der Vart in attack suggests very offensive lineup. It'a a pity pensioner Keane plays up front instead of Defoe but Modric creates another dangerous situations. It should be reversed odds MU is definitely not a firepower. I can write a long story about them success build on debts, good relations and special protection is coming to an end. Some 'young well educaties from big cities' fans will believe Chicarito is a legend maybe in Mexico. You will see how Berbatov's form will decrease with season going and Van Der Sar is in low fuel but will be exploited till the end
United is fading. Away win

Premiership picks 30.10.2010

61. Arsenal - West Ham over 3 @ 1,69 188bet
62. Blackburn - Chelsea  Blackburn +1,25 @ 1,88 Stanjames
63. Everton - Stoke Home win @ 1,62 Paddy Power 1,6 Unibet


Arsenal the best bet is over 3 goals. Last time I played was only 2-1 so bet void but Arsenal at home means dozens of situations and only miracle can prevent of heavy scoring against lower teams. West Ham lost last game being just worse after scoring first and Robert Green ehhhh everyone in England is telling jokes about him. Not sure about handicap for Arsenal they already lost at home with WBA but they NEVER had this season less than 3 goals at home in their games.
Blackburn - I remember this team much better than table suggest, much of league position is determined by last two games when they lost Chris Samba which is back for tonight's clash. Very hard exam is waiting for Chelsea big fight and definitely not walk in the park. Even with win by exactly one goal we are on the winning side and score should vary from Chelsea lead by one goal and draw. 0-5 score may happen once in the season not with this hard and barely beaten at Ewood Park team. Draw
Everton is on the roll and when they catch the momentum no one can stop them including title challengers which Stoke does definitely not belong to. Only two outcomes in this game  - overish like 4-1 5-1 or underish home win - this is the question. Stoke put hard resistance to United and they regret Tuncay played so shortly before but this is so called 'home team' and Everton has the edge at Goodison. Champions League aspirations, imho fully justified as Tottenham may have hurdles because of eurpoean participation. A lot of situations and goals from far distance expectd. I see rather nderish result like 1-0 or 2-0 and I will choose straight home win as moment of inattention may be punished by guests capable to score.
Other Premiership games
Fulham - Wigan Fulham will win this game or Fulham will not win this game I have nothing to say more about this game.
Wolves - City too many rotations in guests team last year's 3-0 does not give right picture (it was soon after Mancini arrived and in bad weather) Wolves will rather strong performance presented in Stamford Bridge where they forced Cech to make record 10 saves. They evacuated themselves from Carling Cup removing strikers in 85th minute and conceded last minute goal to havethem ready for today. Away win is under serious question because of squad rotation probability.


United - Tottenham preview later very much depends on squad Bale may be rested. For Tottenham game of the season on Tuesday. See you in the afternoon

Back to the winning ways on Saturday

Hello
Last rounds in Carling Cup and European Cups were horrible for me anyway on Saturday a lot of picks and at least 50% should be won.
Something very new was happened in cups and I have to adjust to situation as it costs me money and reputation but I will analyse some facts why it went wrong
1. MU - Wolves game is even to win by Wolves but 85th minutes McCarthy does another blowjob to Ferguson and removes top strikers - result last minute goal for United. Game was even to win by Wolves as United played 3rd team selection but Wlves did not want to stretch game and surrended on pitch.
2. Napoli and Lech Poznan played shit in cup and in the league but they are strong teams (Lech yesterday easily 4-1 win) sometimes it is stupidity of club sometimes is an order from authorities and they have to step back in decisive moment. Usually when club resignes in one competition gives strong performance in another one this time it did not happen. If I resign of Napoli and Milan games be sure Milan will lose or draw at home and Napoli will win convincingly because this is a strong team.
3. Red cards SEVEN red cards for my teams last weekend just one for rivals in last minute this trend will be reversed someday just a bad luck and stupidity of players like Boyata or Gomes.

Anyway in Premiership there is no time and place for lack of motivation and we will see normal performance.
I am skipping cup and next leagues games now (but Juventus not to lose at Milan and Napoli win at Brescia even with handicaps are very good bets and will win silently but convincingly) instead of this I will add some Championship picks as normal results there started to deliver - Middlesbrough should be stronger after managerial change, Nottingham started winning games, Derby also playing very well and even Leicester should deliver something after clown surrended in cup
See you on Saturday I will be very surprised if balance for this weekend will be negative another strong selections o its way

Carling Cup 2010.10.27

60. Newcastle - Arsenal home win @ 4.50 VC or 4.39 Pinnacle

 
Arsenal with 90% fringe players of course crowd thinks they anyway will advance and care about the cup because of no success since 2005 (if yes why don't they field the strongest squad then?). Money flowing on Arsenal odds are dropping etc. We haven't had so far upset in CC this round (United won in last minute thanks to McCarthy's evacuation of key players Doyle and Bent) and I'm sure Wolves will put hard fight against City and may even have chances especially if Adebayor will play and I feel it's time for a trap.
As for Newcastle always one recipe play big odds and you are much ahead. Extremely unpredictable team won strange game in West Ham and lost at home to Stoke or Blackpool. Hughton als rests biggest players for Sunderland game but I,m here against crowd. Arsenal are back in league contention and it's time to escape from cup. Home win

Carling Cup 2010.10.26

57. Leicester - WBA home win @ 3,20 Ladbrokes

58. Wigan - Swansea Swansea + 0.5 @ 1,83 Pinnacle

59. MU - Wolves Wolves + 0.5 @ 3.55 Bet365

Yesterday another red card for one of my idiots and another miss of course last week my players conceded SEVEN red cards rivals just one (in 90th minute when it was all over). I wonder in decisive moments some teams must step back to so called 'big teams' or they are just stupid no matter one week rivals will get seven reds and we will see then.

Without squads but I don't thing odds will be declined

Leicester since Swedish playboy took controls want to run towards promotion but direct one will be very hard. Ericsson announces he wants to play at Wembley (means cup semifinal or play off final) because as England manager never had opportunity to play  there - they have a lot of time to catch play off zone and are three games till Wembley. WBA fantastic start in the league and another winnable game this weekend at Blackpool. This is not big club and should focus on the league one day you are in the run another one they want to strangle you. Chance to throwing game away
Wigan - Swansea Wigan fully involved in relegation fight till 36-37th gameday and maybe for stealing manager they owe them something. Let's take draw or away option.
And my traditional dish United. Many spculations about this club which way they want to go. I am with option club is bankrupt and domination is over rooney will go etc. Club makes very well every Carling cup in last years. Two days rest only for United after hard very hard fought wina are with us. I expect early goal for Wolves and then everything should happen. Guest bottom team but very good performance at Chelsea if they repeat it may get something today. Extremely hard schedule for Wolves now, chance for United reserves and Wolves will not field fringe players because already been punished last year and are being watched. United will screw game in next two three weks definitely because Ferguson anniversary coming and alohol will be all over again.
Thank you and good night

Pick for 25.10.2010

56. Napoli - Milan Home win @ 3.05 Pinnacle

Despite missed decision go into european cups I will consistently back teams which failed in recent cups game or played not in full power just to remeber. So far I was not rewarded as Lech played shit in cups and in the league (their village PE teacher manager should be fired tomorrow) but consistent support for teams failed to win. Absolute circus in Napoli - Liverpool game players tired after 12 minutes let's take it for misleading circumstances. Home win hopefully bookie friend of Milan will not call for their win anyway home team is strong and another tme I hope will not get scared like Stoke yesterday.
Bad week main reason red cards including for idiot from Tottenham and City in 5th minute. In many cases losses limited and whoever will play against United or Liverpool should not complain throughout the season.

Picks for 24.10.2010 not only Premiership

51. Stoke - MU Stoke + 0.75 @ 2.03 188bet
52. Liverpool - Blackburn Blackburn + 0.75 @ 2.06 Pinnacle

53. City - Arsenal City -0.25 @ 2.18 188bet

54. Celtic - Rangers Rangers DNB @ 2.35 188bet

55. Gornik Zabrze - Lech 2 @ 2.55 Unibet

Yesterday not so good day in terms of fiancial result and what pains all the dropped games were correct conclusions and all that would be missed have been chosen.
Tottenham finally lose points which owe us something and with new game we will have clean assumptions bill is cleared. Chelsea definitely not 100% play but absolutely minimum 2-0 done unfortunately this was exact score - positive losses limited. Birmingham won easier than I expect and Blackpool on the road to hell (Championship). Aston Villa huge domination and draw would include more justice result but Sunderland is also quality team and I will back them against Newcastle most probably. As for West Ham like Newcastle strange game but no indication before.

United making strange steps in current club situation. Club has bilion pounds debt and it clearly affects club policy, transfers, way of play by specific players and even lineups. Still no away win, losing leads, wins with bottom teams. They re - signed Rooney doubling his wages and either it is a crime or this is a game for big transfer and desperately search for money from transfering him. When one player gets wages double you have of course another players demanding the same silently or loudly. Van Der Sar is making big mistakes anyway pick against United is '24 hours unlimited' on my mind. Stoke plays really well and for the first time when you see goal for them there is not necessary penalty, throw in, corner or free-kick. This is hard battling team hopefully will not be scared by not 'big monster' anymore.

Liverpool another season loser and Health Secretary is warning against betting on Liverpool (if you don't want stroke or heart attack). What is worse Hodgson sees only 'positive sides' and 'good performances' and is definitely going not to resign. Liverpool saved Torres and Gerrard for this game but Gerrard is completely out of form and Torres is undergoing something like 'identity crisis'. Balls played by skippers are slow it is hard to find the way to goal for Liverpool and yet again a lot of arguments against Liverpool win. Even if they will win this win will be accidental and I will not believe in redemption. Short squad, no clue owners, self-satisfaction at Hodgson make Blackburn chances even for winning this game like never before in last 15 years

Arsenal very little chances to get something against City on their Eastlands stadium. City strongest team since Mansour arrival and deals with this kinds of rivals every year. Hard to see more than one point for Arsenal after what I sam in many Premiership games this season they are number one title challenger this season. Tevez make a difference on highest level. Fresh City team against giving everything in CL Arsenal in midweek should win this battle with many goals expected especially when Arsenal has this unstable defence and fast shots and strikers will be enormous hard exam for Fabianski - he always lets something in hopefully this time will do this repeatedly if he will get a chance.

Rangers one argument - manager old fox against greenhorn. Someone must be mad giving so called big team to guy without managerial experience for me at least couple of seasons are required to manage in highest level. Away win

Lech Poznan should win away game in Zabrze - team was rested in 'friendly' loss to City. They wrote game off before going into the pitch and are third from bottom in Polish league. Time to get up they are stronger than Gornik
On Monday another pick good night

Premiership picks 23.10.2010

Hello
back to the winning ways with strong picks this time

46. Tottenham - Everton Everton + 0.5 @ 1,87 SBOBET

47. Birmingham - Blackpool Home win @ 1,9 Betsson, 1,88 bet365, 1,87 SBOBET

48. Chelsea - Wolves Chelsea -2.25 @ 1,98 Stan James

49. Sunderland - Aston Villa Aston Villa + 0.25 @ 1,86 188bet

50. West Ham - Newcastle Home win @ 2,38 Boylesports, 2,31 Pinnacle

So far I am 0/3 in Handicap + 0.5 but this option is usually interesting and has chances up to the end of the game. Finally like Everton started winning games I will start cas in these kind of handicaps. Tottenham as predicted gave epic fight to Inter, could and should get something but one red face you know who conceded red card in second (!) minute and it could be over but it was not over at all. Such a run costs  lot of effort and I hope Everton will cash this in. Tottenham is winning a lot in the last time (and I am losing playing against them) won away at Fulham thanks to offside goal and is still better in terms of quality but let me indicate Everton arguments.
Everton finally started winning games, with a win today they from rock bottom two rounds ago can be two points from Campions League places. Draw this time is on our side Van Der Vaart has to have finally weaker game. The reason Everton may have a poor run is their lineup and lack of quality strikers OK they are good but let's say not top four in terms of Premiership and most goals are scored by midfield. I am going for Everton to finally get something and Tottenham should lose points finally - away win has also great odds.

Birmingham is maybe weaker than last season but Blackpool is much worse team which makes surprises away. Holloway with his avangarda comments about referees and FA is not most loved people at association and should be instructed that criticism is not the best option in terms of social behaviour. What he says is good way to find enemies and get relegated. Yes he was right with City their correct goals were disallowed but if it stood City would attack with double power and would have won this game anyway most probably especially as Adebayor got replaced. Game could be treacherous but I am going for a better team which gave hard fight at Emirates last week - should be even draw there but yet again penalty 'out of the blue' for Arsenal. I am sure Blackpool would attack blindly and can score but solid defence should know the way how to dismount their actions. Home win and also good cover option is away win -1 which has 7.20 odds at bet365 - draw is unlikely home win most probable result.

Chelsea simply enjoying games with 'sheams' and Wolves on the motorway for Championship (next fixtures Chelsea City United and Arsenal good luck) and minimum absolutely minimum of decency is scoring at least two. Wolves are actually one league up they should be last season have very lucky fixtures at Tottenham (Spurs secret Christmas party 24 hours before game) and when facing Burnley they started to lose everything.     I am definitely not the best admirer of Ancelotti but he inherited close to perfection tam and they can still win something over next two - three seasons. Sometimes good atmosphere and dealing with conflicts and pressure  is best treatment for club. Chelsea facet nearly all  bottom teams and this will be one of the last apart from Liverpool. 2-0 is absolutely minimum although I know odds are very very low and handicap is big it is hard to imagine everything but a rout and brutal Wolves with be shot by fast and skillful team.

Aston Villa better with every game and today nice handicap on them. They lost two away games clearly but this was before Houllier appointment with yes man an the managerial bench. For the second season running they have hole in team but I hope they will deal with this especially if they get only slightly worse replacements and twenty something millions int the bag. Team still has 95 percent of quality and speed from the last season and with 'Coolier' will be getting results. Of course hard to win today but generally I will be backing them so far 100% yield on them despite defeat with Van Der Vaart. Sunderland weaker than Tottenham, over reliance on Bent and many draws stopped me from playing straight away win. Aston Villa DNB also good option but + 0.25 is a nice, nice handicap.

West Ham should win this game. They had correct goal disallowed and should win at Wolves, are unbeaten in last four, lost to United, Chelsea and Aston Villa which are not most desired games. Defeat with Bolton was in a fight game - did not score penalty in second half and conceded shorly after. They play better than their league positions indicates. Newcastle very unpredictable and cashing games with rivals in turmoil. Problems with Carroll, Campbell out, Calderwood leaving team. West Ham have a very wide squad to choose from and even in last drawn games they were closer to winning than losing. Home win

No bet in games WBA - Fulham and Wigan - Bolton. Maybe WBA DNB is good option but they are overachieving so far, odds is low low low and Fulham mad about last defeat. Bolton may not lose this game but yet again unpredictable game and hard to take position. Biggest no bet of the season

Tomorrow also three games to choose from and bet of the week yet again. Have a nice day

Explanation of poor run in cups 2010.10.22

Hi
i conceded reverse gangbang on cups nearly everything was reverse but let's analyse my recent games:

Blackburn - Sunderland - draw was absolutely in option and it was hard to choose any other asian option. Red card for brain of my team and still they played better. Sunderland over reliance on Bent and did not score despite one man more on pitch.

Arsenal undisputed win

Chelsea should share points with Spartak but Russians unexperienced coach got cooked. Couple of dangerous situtions for Spartak before goal for Chelsea - Smurfs win in Russia was not best in terms of diplomacy.

Tottenham what a chase by Bale. They should even win this but again red card for one of my red heads

United very very strange lineup suggested they want to mix something with result. I played also United win by exactly one goal which is in POD competition at BA forum and it was cashed in I know it does not count here
Anyway United is bankrupt and will desperately search for money I oppose them nearly all season and is a matter of time they will bring us money back

Valencia did not necessarily have to win after early goal for MU and expecting another goals by Red Turkeys - if simultaneuosly  Bursasopr would be getting something I am sure Valencia would be running more but also draw was not excluded and bad result for them

Napoli played friendly game by strongest team total circus with 40% Liverpool squad. They have Champions League clash with Milan and rested themselves standing

Lech Poznan fielded also reserves against City reserves that even with Adebayor scored more than one goal  conclusion Lech should win in the league and we will regain our money

Premiership from tomorrow and apart from Wigan - Bolton game I should play every single game - including big confidence games.

Europa League fixtures - Liverpool and City games

43. Napoli - Liverpool over 3.5 @ 4.25 Centrebet
44. Napoli - Liverpool Napoli -1 @ 2.75 bet365
45. City - Lech under 1,5 @ 5 bet365 5.50 bwin
Liverpool is 'on fire' after just one win 19th in Premiership. Much better in Europa League but time to concede something. Italians very long waiting for cups and they do not won to finish their participation on group stage. How dngerous they are showed game with Steaua when they scored three gols very early and could even more. Liverpol underish general but I am hoping to see a fast ball game or/and mistakes by defenders odds 4 for such quality and fast players are just too high and anything could happen. It means Liverpool will most probably get smashed I am also choosing over which also includes scenario Liverpool will surprise everybody and score early goal or two. I strongly doubt they will hold the lead so this written scenario would be even good for us also people betting on Napoli will have some heartache - I wish you 4-0 for Napoli guys but for me over.Last argument about Anglo - Italian battle - did you see what happened on yoesterday's game Inter - Tottenham?? This ca happen when we have two quality teams bags of goals could be shipped in minutes. Let's go for an over
Liverpool  resting Torres and Gerrard another argument to go for Napoli.
City - Lech - value bet but with Hart on goal and Adebayor in attack 1-0 is not excluded. Adebayor is anemic player when he was subbed on Sunday City scored in two minutes let's hope he will play 90 minutes today. I tell more if Adebayor will play 1-0 is most probable result today. Under 1.5

Champions League - MU, Tottenham and Rangers games 2010.10.20

40. Inter - Tottenham Tottenham +0.75 @ 2.12 Canbet

41. MU - Bursaspor 2 @ 16,47 Pinnacle

42. Glasgow Rangers - Valencia 2 @ 2,20 many, many bookies

Previews:
Since Benitez took over Inter is on a mudslide and this process of dismounting team will be continued. This team still has majority of Mourinho men machine team and money of course but I doubt they will be winning Serie A title and they have no chance in Champions League for many reasons. So far I doubted them in CL fixtures but they proved me painfully in the game with Werder where they smashed German team.
I see Tottenham game a lot harder. Club has not so many injuries, is on a good run, is well managed by Redknapp (no difference here with Werder) and has stable squad with a lot of money - let's enjoy their first Champions League season. They can advance to the next round but they can not have paper legs. Inter is absolutely not the best club in the world anymore (if ever was). If Spurs will not be scared they could even win away. They should not lose this game and I see enough quality not to lose.

Manchester United is dying at the moment (and also Liverpool the only difference with those clubs is MU know how to collect points). I oppose them nearly everytime this season espeecially away as they have old core of the team older and older, and they will not sign any new costly players over next years. Times of big transfer are over for them this is selling club - reason one billion debt. I wrote Rooney is over and I was convinced this all the time and they will sell him to get some money for rescue. Of course he has an option to buy his contract out but he will not do this because of unofficial agreement between top clubs and will be sold for significant amount of monay in January. His time is up. I was convinced WBA will get something on Saturday game and it was a draw I was too cautious taking big handicap.
Bet on Bursaspor is cheeky but there are reasons on United side. I don't know why odds are United are 1.20s - it would be justified if they keep winning but they don't do this and are vulnerable. It is a bit strange how Bursaspor loses games in CL (this is because a debut seasons in cups) and I hope they are developing towards first point or even a win tomorrow.

Glasgow Rangers like Scottish clubs and national teams are overestimated. Big shout and always disappointment. We can not compare top Scottish club witremiership clus this is definitely anther league. If Celtic and Rangers would join Premiership one of these clus would e relegated straight and second will be struggling till the end of season. They can not attract big players because the wages just pensioners like Robbie Keane and such kind of players are still at top in Scotland. This season anyway Rangers did very well but Valencia after selling Villa Zigic and Silva before season plays exceptionally well. They are much stronger than Scots might settle for a draw but nothing is sure in this group yet. Every combination of clubs may advance - even Bursaspor especially if they win tomorrow. Away win
Let's go for a win at least in two cass including Bursaspor.

Champions League - Chelsea and Arsenal fixtures 2010.10.19

38. Spartak - Chelsea Spartak +0.5 @ 1,88 Pinnacle

39. Arsenal - Shakhtar over 2,5 @ 1,80 Stan James

Due to political reasons (owner of Chelsea is Russian) it is hard to imagine for me Chelsea will go and win in Russia. They could go for a win if they have played against another English team like 2008 CL final. Did not read a lot about game yet but maybe I have a clean head and not biased thanks to it. Anway these teams on six points and if they share points practically one point in last two games would be enough to advance to last 16. Spartak for win here. 0 degrees in Moscow, artificial pitch and Chelsea injuries means Spartak will win here but with draw no one will complain. Good game is on the carda. Home win
Arsenal should concede and score. Odds for home win are too big to home win something may be wrong here or some big fishes  play against Arsenal and they know more. Despite bad weather over 2,5. Guests not to lose is also not a bad bet and 1-1 correct score I would recommend as a cover option for someone who places his last penny into this bet.
It's time for English teams slashing after  last unbelievable round

Blackburn - Sunderland point of view

37. Blackburn - Sunderland Blackburn -0.25 @ 1,88 Pinnacle


This game is very similar between Saturday game Bolton - Stoke (I had also this handicap, I did not place a bet, it would be won finally but thanks to last minute goal). Home team no masterpiece but hard work,  manager sometimes with megalomania  and Chris Samba brain of team. Since Allardyce replaced complete failure at this level Paul Ince Blackburn is home power and can challenge the biggest boys from time to time. They very rarely and narrowly lose at Ewood Park.
Sunderland appointed Steve Bruce to finally finish with yoyo club tradition and this is good appointment if you just want to stay in the league calmly. They won't  be fighting for biggest challenges will be resting their stars (Darren Bent doubtful), and have solid squad just to stay in chill area. Draw is not excluded in this game home team should not lose it (if they will that will be incident) but I am going for home win secured partially with draw. Blackburn to win

Blackpool - City Sunday Supplement

36. Blackpool - Man City 2 @ 1,61 Pinnacle

Only two up to three clubs will be fighting for Premiership season and only two of them have money (City and Chelsea). Big pressures on Mancini to finally deliver something with his resources and fantastic pportunity to make some distance up as yesterday war predicted slaughterhouse for favourites apart from Tottenham which had an offside goal (Gallas) and that goal denied us jackpot. Strong offensive lineup for City and Blackpool definitely will play attacking style. I rely on Joe Hart and lethal counterattacks from Tevez apart from attacking style of City. I was suppused to play nothing more but after studying solid squad of MC and free money delivered by Everton (bet of the week with big confidence) This time I am choosing the favourites here. Straight away win is the best bet here . Away win

Pick of the week!!

35. Everton - Liverpool 1 @ 2,65 Pinnacle

With a win at Birmigham Evertou the usually slowly starters began turning things around. Club is stable, manager once again proved me wrong and seems to stay with club and Everton is really well organised. I could have some reservations about lineup 4-5-1 even at home games with bottom teams which denies winning convincingly.

Liverpool saga about taking over seems to have and and and even if the future may be bright without new signings this team just can not target highest achievements. Roy Hodgson is good but maybe for bottom clubs, if Liverpool has high aspirations managers must be ot good but excellent, one of the top managers in the world. Squad is not deep, some players are tired, Torres has bad healths conditions from time to time. Even if takeover is a good kickstart for the club I doubt they achieve wins anytime soon with this squad. They can not count on mercy on Merseyside derby.

Absolute cracker game for today let's hope Everton will take advantage of Liverpool turmoil. Home win

I will not touch the second game because one of my main sins is that I stick for or against club - maybe it's sometimes profitable but clubs like Tottenham and Man City are winning a lot in the last times. I personally doubt Blackpool wil lose this game but no bet.

Have a nice day

Premiership picks for weekend 16-17.10.2010

30. Arsenal - Birmingham over 3 @ 1,9 Pinnacle

31. Fulham - Tottenham Fulham + 0.5 @ 1,58 188bet

32. MU - WBA WBA +1,75 @ 1,9 SBObet

33. Wolves - West Ham 2 @ 3,52 Pinnacle

34. Aston Villa - Chelsea Aston Villa + 0.75 @ 1,77 Expekt

A few words as usual ;)
Arsenal in big injury crisis; also they have shaky and unstable goalkeepeers which make fans scared everytime they touch the ball. In scenario 'over 3 goals' we have: fried or scrambled eggs by Arsenal (6-0 or 4-0) which is very unlikely before Champions league games or high scoring draw - another Arsenal defeat is hard to imagine. With Cameron Jerome, Zigic or MacFadden they have strikeforce able to hurt unstable defence of hosts. As Arsenal plays at home we can also be certain they will create twenty something situations, hopefully they will cover line.
75 % of Tottenham power represents new signing Rafael Van Der Vaart. He wol game with Aston Villa through one man show and this club owes me something. Before CL midweek they can save top strikers and Fulham unbeaten this season this game has draw painted all over the pitch.
Wolves are s(t)inking towards Championship steadily, they started good but only win was with depleted Sunderland at that time. West Ham after extremely tough schedule and unlucky defeat with Bolton started collecting pints. This is relegation battle and Wolves are not favourites at all.
MU is also sinking (of course let's save proportions for them sinking is fourth place). Rooney is over there - totally bad form and I really doubt he will ever be pitched maybe for some kind of farewell game nothing mre. Valencia out and strikeforce relies on Berbatov. WBA sensation of the season after very tough schedule just behind Champions League spot and hopefully they will survive and get something of this game. United are vulnerable at the moment and they will have ifficulties to sign notable players as debts are at critical level.
Chelsea has only two days rest until Spartak game and draw for them will definitely not be a tragedy. Big chance to rest strikers, anyone can check squad before kickoff but I am going for Villa. They are still power at home and very inconvenient rival for Chelsea.  I see the score 2-1 for the Villains but let's take huge handicap in current situation.
Good luck for today and tomorrow BET OF THE WEEK with big confidence. Have a nice day

EM 2012 Qualifiers 2010.10.12

28. England - Montenegro under 2,75 @ 1,9 bet365

29. Scotland - Spain 2 +

Faroe  Islands - Northern Ireland 2 @ 1,86 Unibet

I see England game as a similarity between games on WC with Algeria or Slovenia, not sure they score goal or not but hard to see guest scoring and in current squad crisis 1-0 is completely satisfying.
Scotland this time can be overish Levein announces changes in formation so Spaniards if only a bit improve their efficiency will score at least three.
Northern Ireland very good start and also huge gap between teams. Away wins

EM 2012 Qualifiers

26. Wales - Bulgaria 2 @ 2.89 Pinnacle

27. Czech Rep - Scotland 1 @ 1.67 William Hill

I am very sceptical as it goes for teams like Wales, Scotland etc. They have big ambitions without justification and level of play is low. Wales for this game without manager and core of team, of course Bulgaria no much better level and motivation also big players jumped away of the ship but I see rather Bulgaria than Wales.
Craig Levein for Scotland on the bench means as they play without manager. Lee McCulloch suspended for the trip to Prague and Scott Brown, Paul Hartley and Kevin Thomson missing through injury. Home win

September Summary:
After 25 picks we have -1,81 units maybe not the best start but also not worst. After ten first picks it was nightmare but the difference with me is life goes on and will go on. It was good decision to stick with teams who failed to win in first weekend like Stoke or Blackburn as they outplayed rivals despite draws and won next games away.
It was a little bit strange for Champions League all English teams were depleted by injuries and all of them won so I decided to take midweek action it did not pay back this time.
Recent picks: Wigan with Al Habsi means clean sheet usually, what a difference from joker Kirkland, Wolves should this time go down finally, Liverpool confirmed they are much lower even from my expectations and we will play against them unless big investor will come. It's a big pity they did not lose at home with Sunderland where I set a trap for them but with much weaker Blackpool I cashed in much lower odds. Tottenham - Aston Villa - game went my way but then one man show turned it over - it happens. Chelsea - Arsenal very obvious pick in current situation and it could not go other way. Everton surprisingly won first game of the season with team unbeaten at home for over a year. As I expected MU failed to win another away game but with this case I put too much belief in Sunderland and City - Newcastle was unsuccessful hunting for high odds.
Now international break I will try to pick results for teams like England, Wales or Scotland. Anyway life goes on and is not boring definitely :)
Have a good week everybody and see you around Friday

Premiership picks for weekend 02-03.10.2010

Premiership picks for weekend 02-03.10.2010

23. Man City - Newcastle 2 DNB @ 5,50 William Hill

24. Liverpool - Blackpool Blackpool +1,5 @ 2 188bet

25. Chelsea - Arsenal Chelsea -0.75 @ 1,92 Pinnacle

Today extremely tired (also from thinking and discussing over games) so no long preview. Newcastle pick looks strange but look at their last result, under very realistic. Liverpool of course can win 4-0 but I just don't believe - all the time against Reds. Chelsea just too strong

Tomorrow after 25 picks summary and conclusions

Premiership picks for weekend 02-03.10.2010

19. Wigan-Wolves 1 @ 2,32 188bet
20. Birmingham - Everton Birmingham DNB @ 2,10 188bet
21. Sunderland -MU 1 @ 5,50 Ladbrokes
22. Tottenham - Aston Villa Villa + 0.5 @ 2,08 188bet

Early game: mugfest but to have some emotions 1. To be honest both 'sheams' should be relegated last year Wigan rescued themselves winning at home with Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool, Wolves done double against Tottenham and Burnley - today full focus on clean sheet by Wigan - Al Habsi in goal and it makes slight edge - for 2,32 worth to try
I think tim is up this time for Moyes - no conclusions, all the time the same line-up and tactics, how to win a game without scoring goals? I thought many times he can run away to richer club or he's gonna be dismissed - nothing such like this happened yet. This time after defeat everything could be over.
Miracles in Champions League - all four English teams were with injuries ald all of they won  -at weekend before they got saghtered - today 'I predict a riot' and another slaghterhouse - still many injuries United tragic defence, I decided to play on Sunderland because they drew already with Arsenal - this time another scenario must be.
Aston Villa brilliant results under Houllier last hard fought win and they can snatch a draw if nothing more from tired Tottenham - it's a bit strange teams playing on Wednesday play today and teams from Tuesday play tomorrow - where is a logic here? This is argument agaist Champions LeagueTeams - Sunderland home win! Villa win or draw
See you tomorrow