niedziela, 31 października 2010

Premiership picks 31.10.2010

65. Aston Villa - Birmingham home win @ 1,98 IBCBet
66. Newcastle - Sunderland Sunderland + 0.5 @ 1,74 188bet
67. Bolton - Liverpool Bolton +0.5 @ 1,77 188bet, Canbet

Aston Villa second year in a row weakened by departure one of the biggest talent but finding slightly worse replacements for much lower price. This determines slow start but team sooner or later goes back into right track. This is a home team for the moment a bit unstable but definitely with potential to compete even with top teams. Last game lost but plenty of situations give us a  hope today. Wooden Carew returns and even with him we will see only a bit less dangerous situations in attack than Arsenal created yesterday. Villa is a stronger team than Birmingham maybe guests not losing a lot but with injuries they did not won away for 13 games. Home win

Sunderland should win North - East derby if you ask me about current form and which time is better, but already this season Newcastle proved everyone wrong. They fielded absolute rubbish players against Arsenal in last Carling Cup game if their second goalkeeper Krul will play away win is sure thing. He was extremely stressed although Arsenal fielded second team and Gunners did everything they need in that game and would not mind to get away from cups. On that night even amateurish team could beat Newcastle. Sunderland I was twice against them but wrongfully they drew away at Blackburn very much thanks to red card for one of my 'brains' and won with Aston Villa thanks to own goal. If they keep results(and luck and 'intelligence' of rivals) beating Newcastle is very much in options. Away win DNB is good option, +0.25 also but +0.5 is the best compromise between options included and payout - I need to recover after bad week

After one  Liverpool win many of their supporters will believe good things start to happen and club will climb up table. This is not going to happen many teams feel they have short squad, key players identity crisis, strikers not scoring, now anyone is in race to kiss new owners anywhere which have not a clue about football managing. They need professionals to run the club. Beginning with blind manager who sees 'good performance' after clearly lost game and is happy with 'club staying in the league' will be hard to escape bottom regions of the table especially with teams giving hard  performance. Bolton is a positive surprise of the season unbeaten at home and this factor will prevail my bet here - they should not lose today's game. Home win or draw again includes a lot of options and we have a lot of possible results in our side Liverpool has maybe 25 % chances to win today


Please watch Napoli game I will not play this officially so they should win away with ease today. Someone is owing them points and results for defeat at home to Milan which crashed out yesterday. Bokies are steering some teams in Italy and Milan is number one for strange connections - explanation is simple you did something to Milan you will get something from somebody and Milan will give something to somebody - Napoli has to win to clear bills

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